Grades · Statcast · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 137 | 564 | 99 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 2.69 | 4.16 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 137 | 564 | 99 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 1.8% | 2.69 | 3.35 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 68 | 283 | 75 | 14 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 5.2% | 18.6% | 4.0% | 4.66 | 3.95 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 68 | 283 | 75 | 14 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 4.9% | 21.6% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 3.23 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 7 | 55 | 255 | 55 | 29 | 9 | 27% | 2.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 6.42 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 7 | 55 | 255 | 55 | 29 | 9 | 27% | 2.1 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 6.42 | 4.82 | — |
| 2024 | 34 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 6 | 5 | 27 | 109 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 83% | 4.4 | 12.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 2.36 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 34 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 6 | 5 | 27 | 109 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 83% | 4.4 | 13.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 2.36 | 3.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | TB | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.85 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.5% | 2.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 8.69 | 6.82 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 131 | 0 | 200 | 875 | 160 | 16 | 80 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 2.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 8.69 | 6.82 | -3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 35 | 286 | 1211 | 214 | 89 | 38 | 34% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 3.83 | 4.25 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 24 | 200 | 846 | 149 | 62 | 26 | 34% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 3.83 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Sánchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 20.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.85 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 20 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 79 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 68 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 67 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 63 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 62 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 62 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 61 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 61 |
| Logan Duran R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 37 | SP- | 3.58 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 187 | 60 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2024 · 5.22 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.22 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 269 | 60 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 59 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 57 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 10.9% | 1.6% | .222 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 349 | 57 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 57 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 56 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 56 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 56 |
| Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.91 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 257 | 56 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 56 |
| Radhames Liz R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 56 |