Noah Bremer
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 30
RHP
6'5" / 206 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%22.4%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.50 | 3.80 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.50 | 4.60 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 17 | 17 | 81 | 347 | 69 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 4.8 | 14.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 4.20 | 4.10 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 17 | 17 | 81 | 347 | 69 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 2.3% | 4.20 | 3.60 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 14 | 79 | 303 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 93% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 0.7% | 2.86 | 3.14 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 14 | 79 | 303 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 93% | 5.2 | 24.4% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 0.7% | 2.86 | 2.46 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 22 | 7 | 68 | 293 | 65 | 25 | 8 | 32% | 3.1 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.48 | 4.24 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 22 | 7 | 68 | 293 | 65 | 25 | 8 | 32% | 3.1 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.48 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 13 | 53 | 236 | 44 | 24 | 9 | 72% | 2.9 | 13.1% | 11.9% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 6.49 | 5.88 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 13 | 53 | 236 | 44 | 24 | 9 | 72% | 2.9 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 6.49 | 5.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 26 | 111 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 25 | 104 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.7 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 78 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.27 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 51 | 282 | 1185 | 190 | 115 | 27 | 70% | 3.9 | 16.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 4.41 | 4.24 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 36 | 200 | 841 | 135 | 81 | 19 | 70% | 3.9 | 16.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 4.41 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Bremer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.65 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 25 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 75 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 74 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 71 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 70 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 69 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 68 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 68 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 66 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 66 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 65 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 65 |
| Chris Mazza R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.90 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .348 | 3.84 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 111 | -0.06 | 3.27 | 563 | 64 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 63 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 63 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 63 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 63 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 63 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 62 |
| Anthony DeSclafani R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.35 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .309 | 3.93 | 21.0% | 15.4% | 286 | -1.42 | 3.41 | 981 | 62 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 1.22 | 4.51 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |