Roman Angelo — OGILVIE

Roman Angelo P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%17.0%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%3.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	5	2	8	35	6	5	0	40%	1.5	17.1%	14.3%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.46	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	5	2	8	35	6	5	0	40%	1.5	17.1%	14.3%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.46	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	5	2	8	35	6	5	0	40%	1.5	17.1%	14.3%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.49	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	121	509	151	50	9	96%	5.3	22.6%	11.4%	11.2%	2.5%	3.49	3.99	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	121	509	151	50	9	96%	5.3	22.6%	11.4%	11.2%	2.5%	3.49	3.99	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	121	509	151	50	9	96%	5.3	29.7%	9.8%	19.8%	1.8%	3.49	2.81	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	129	587	125	74	23	100%	4.8	17.3%	13.4%	3.9%	3.7%	5.30	5.36	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	129	587	125	74	23	100%	4.8	17.3%	13.4%	3.9%	3.7%	5.30	5.36	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	129	587	125	74	23	100%	4.8	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	3.9%	5.30	5.20	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	25	5	48	226	59	31	13	20%	1.9	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	7.3%	7.31	6.91	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	25	5	48	226	59	31	13	20%	1.9	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	7.3%	7.31	6.91	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	ARI	19	3	40	181	50	22	11	16%	2.1	27.6%	12.2%	15.5%	6.1%	6.58	5.64	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	ARI	6	2	8	45	9	9	2	33%	1.4	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	4.4%	10.80	6.38	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	17.0%	14.0%	3.1%	3.3%	5.60	5.60	-0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	54	251	63	34	14	—	—	25.2%	13.7%	11.5%	5.5%	7.13	6.77	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	19	19	114	483	85	65	16	100%	6.0	17.5%	13.4%	4.1%	3.3%	5.49	5.50	-0.8
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	18	18	111	469	83	62	16	100%	6.2	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.4%	5.46	5.49	-0.7
2029	29	MLB MLE	ARI	18	18	106	448	79	59	16	100%	5.9	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.5%	5.50	5.56	-0.8
2030	30	MLB MLE	ARI	17	17	100	421	73	56	16	100%	5.9	17.5%	13.2%	4.2%	3.7%	5.61	5.71	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	7	7	43	182	32	24	6	100%	6.1	17.5%	13.4%	4.1%	3.3%	5.49	5.50	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	11	11	66	279	49	37	9	100%	6.0	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.4%	5.46	5.49	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	75	317	56	41	11	100%	6.2	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.5%	5.50	5.56	-0.5
2030	30	MLB CTX	ARI	13	13	78	329	58	44	12	100%	6.0	17.5%	13.2%	4.2%	3.7%	5.61	5.71	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		44	44	262	1107	195	146	39	100%	6.0	17.6%	13.2%	4.4%	3.5%	5.52	5.20	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	149	111	30	100%	6.0	17.6%	13.2%	4.4%	3.5%	5.52	5.20	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		80	56	306	1357	273	172	51	70%	3.8	20.1%	12.7%	7.5%	3.7%	4.82	5.06	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	37	200	887	179	112	33	70%	3.8	20.1%	12.7%	7.5%	3.7%	4.82	5.06	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roman Angelo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	17.0%	14.0%	3.3%	—	5.52	17.7%	4.4%	331	-0.08	—	—	—
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	87
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	80
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	80
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	80
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	80
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	78
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	78
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	77
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	77
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	77
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	76
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	76
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	76
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	75
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	75
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	75
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	75
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	75
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	104	17.5%	13.3%	1.32	5.53
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32