Drake Fellows
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 216 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.20
FIP5.20
K%15.8%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%4.9%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 40% | 2.3 | 16.1% | 17.9% | -1.8% | 1.8% | 3.09 | 4.98 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 40% | 2.3 | 16.1% | 17.9% | -1.8% | 1.8% | 3.09 | 5.24 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 45% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 20.4% | -3.3% | 2.7% | 8.25 | 5.70 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 45% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 19.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 8.25 | 4.77 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 13 | 75 | 335 | 68 | 40 | 6 | 54% | 3.1 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.39 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 13 | 75 | 335 | 68 | 40 | 6 | 54% | 3.1 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 5.67 | 3.93 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 33 | 19 | 112 | 483 | 94 | 46 | 11 | 58% | 3.4 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.58 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 33 | 19 | 112 | 483 | 94 | 46 | 11 | 58% | 3.4 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 4.41 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 9 | 9 | 38 | 165 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 4.2 | 13.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 43 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 103 | 439 | 69 | 43 | 13 | — | — | 15.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.94 | 5.05 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 6 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 15.8% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 46 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 43 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.6% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.38 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.6% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.5 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.38 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 18 | 104 | 441 | 72 | 50 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.29 | 4.99 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 138 | 96 | 29 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.29 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 48 | 249 | 1095 | 178 | 127 | 35 | 59% | 3.0 | 16.3% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.94 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 39 | 200 | 881 | 143 | 103 | 28 | 59% | 3.0 | 16.3% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drake Fellows (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | — | 5.36 | 16.5% | 5.2% | 186 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 80 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 79 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 77 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 77 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 77 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 76 |
| Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 76 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 76 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.26 | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 412 | 74 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 74 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 74 |
| Luis Niebla R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 74 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 73 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.03 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | 4.41 | 8.3% | -7.5% | 10 | -1.62 | 3.92 | 233 | 73 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 73 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 73 |
| Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 73 |
| Sugar Ray Marimon R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.08 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 107 | 73 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.53 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | 119 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 1.27 | 5.25 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |