Deylen Miley
P
Asheville Tourists
+0.7
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.7 · 2026
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%13.0%
IP87
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Astros | 5 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 28.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.07 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 24 | 15 | 83 | 378 | 111 | 59 | 5 | 21.7% | 18.4% | 1.8% | 4.64 | 4.58 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 25 | 13 | 88 | 414 | 120 | 63 | 14 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 3.3% | 5.81 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 87 | 369 | 86 | 38 | 11 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 85 | 361 | 83 | 36 | 11 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 15 | 15 | 83 | 350 | 79 | 35 | 11 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.54 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 15 | 15 | 80 | 337 | 83 | 31 | 11 | 24.5% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.33 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 14 | 14 | 77 | 324 | 78 | 30 | 11 | 24.2% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 74 | 30 | 10 | 23.9% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 13 | 13 | 70 | 293 | 69 | 29 | 10 | 23.5% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.62 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 64 | 28 | 10 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 4.67 | 4.74 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 59 | 26 | 9 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 29 | 185 | 849 | 191 | 148 | 21 | 22.5% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 5.02 | 4.74 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 31 | 200 | 919 | 207 | 160 | 23 | 22.5% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 5.02 | 4.74 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Deylen Miley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.46 | 23.4% | 13.6% | 248 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.98 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 88 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.94 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .324 | 3.78 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.16 | 3.62 | 224 | 85 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .274 | 4.61 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 310 | +0.33 | 3.40 | 556 | 83 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 82 |
| Taylor Cole R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.71 | 25.4% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.49 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 72 | -0.22 | 3.49 | 433 | 82 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 82 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.70 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .341 | 4.75 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.05 | 3.70 | 205 | 81 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.72 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.12 | 3.22 | 221 | 79 |
| Brett Sears R 2023 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.63 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 111 | 79 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.48 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | .333 | 4.46 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | -0.02 | 3.70 | 381 | 78 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 77 |
| Nate Karns R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.32 | 27.1% | 20.7% | 45 | +0.40 | 3.91 | 287 | 77 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.94 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 328 | 76 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .286 | 4.13 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.24 | 3.89 | 248 | 76 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 448 | 76 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.71 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .292 | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.8% | 118 | +0.10 | 3.16 | 254 | 76 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 152 | 76 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.57 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 302 | 75 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.78 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.17 | 2.49 | 373 | 75 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.98 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .299 | 5.18 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +1.20 | 3.15 | 678 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.