Mike Clevinger P Indianapolis Indians
Age 35 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.42
FIP4.58
K%19.6%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
K: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -2.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +8.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+9STAMTotal WAR: +0.45 (85 IP)+0.4WAR
0.0-0.3-0.5-0.6262829
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4545
SL+0.5 (19%)
CH (15%)
SI (3%)
CT (22%)
FB-2.1 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201524AAAkron RubberDucks272615863914540896%5.918.4%6.9%11.5%2.2%2.733.62
201524AAAkron RubberDucks272615863914540896%5.922.7%6.3%16.4%1.3%2.732.68
201625MIX2 levels3427146613147641679%4.322.1%10.7%11.4%2.5%3.823.96+2.5
201625MIX2 levels3427146613147641679%4.324.0%10.4%13.5%2.6%3.823.83+2.7
201726MIX2 levels3428156642175721682%4.626.5%11.3%15.2%2.4%3.013.60+3.3
201726MIX2 levels3428156642175721682%4.627.3%11.2%16.0%2.5%3.013.58+3.3
201827MLBCleveland Indians32322008102076721100%6.225.6%8.3%17.3%2.6%3.023.42+4.6
201827MLBCleveland Indians32322008102076721100%6.225.6%8.3%17.3%2.6%3.023.40+4.7
201928MIX3 levels23231335291783911100%5.833.9%7.4%26.5%2.0%2.832.28+4.9
201928MIX3 levels23231335291783911100%5.833.6%7.4%26.3%2.1%2.832.38+4.7
202029MLBSan Diego Padres884216240146100%5.224.7%8.6%16.0%4.0%3.024.30+0.1
202029MLBSan Diego Padres884216240146100%5.224.7%8.6%16.0%3.7%3.024.06+0.2
202231MIX3 levels2625123520106372196%4.718.8%7.2%11.5%4.4%4.174.86+0.8
202231MIX3 levels2625123520106372196%4.720.4%7.1%13.3%4.0%4.174.50+1.3
202332MLBChicago White Sox24241315491104016100%5.520.0%7.3%12.8%2.8%3.773.88+2.3
202332MLBChicago White Sox24241315491104016100%5.520.0%7.3%12.8%2.9%3.773.92+2.3
202433MIX2 levels10103817735158100%3.818.4%8.7%9.7%4.6%5.975.16-0.3
202433MIX2 levels10103817735158100%3.819.8%8.5%11.3%4.5%5.975.20-0.3
202534MIX2 levels302210645696441773%3.519.3%8.9%10.4%2.7%4.404.07+1.6
202534MIX2 levels302210645696441773%3.521.1%9.6%11.4%3.7%4.404.61+1.0
▸ 2026 Season
202635AAAIndianapolis Indians1622188209212%1.319.0%11.3%7.6%3.4%4.224.79-0.1
ROS35MLBPIT61064269532380%1.019.6%8.6%11.0%3.0%4.424.58+0.0
ROS35MLBPIT606255210%1.019.6%8.6%11.0%3.0%4.424.58-0.0
2026 TOT35MLBPIT8535773321020.4%9.0%11.4%2.8%4.374.63+0.4
2026 FULL35MLBPIT62752119.6%8.6%11.0%3.0%4.424.20+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736MLBPIT995623944228100%6.318.6%9.2%9.3%3.4%4.744.95-0.3
202837MLBPIT884920836218100%6.217.5%9.9%7.6%3.8%5.115.35-0.5
202938MLBPIT774217929198100%6.116.3%10.6%5.8%4.3%5.515.78-0.6
202736MLBPIT995623644228100%6.218.6%9.2%9.3%3.4%4.744.95-0.3
202837MLBPIT884920736208100%6.117.5%9.9%7.6%3.8%5.115.35-0.5
202938MLBPIT774217729198100%6.016.3%10.6%5.8%4.3%5.515.78-0.6
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career195167964400293736012386%4.923.4%9.0%14.4%3.1%3.793.94+16.4
/ 200 IP4035200830194752686%5.023.4%9.0%14.4%3.1%3.793.94+3.4
Career26422712545185119444614586%4.823.0%8.6%14.4%2.8%3.473.78+23.8
/ 200 IP4236200827190712386%4.823.0%8.6%14.4%2.8%3.473.78+3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mike Clevinger (OGILVIE) 4.58 19.6%8.6%3.0% 5.32 17.6%7.7%148 +0.74
Jesse Estrada R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 35 SP- 4.91 14.4%6.6%4.0%.312 3.71 257 60
Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 34 SP 4.56 10.9%6.2%2.9%.311 4.56 143 58
Brandon McCarthy R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 35 SP 4.69 19.2%6.2%4.4%.332 3.16 248 58
Alfredo Aceves R 2025 · 4.97 FIP 34 SP 4.97 8.9%8.9%2.7%.323 4.71 160 57
Angel Sánchez R 2025 · 3.80 FIP 34 SP 3.80 12.1%5.8%1.8%.302 3.80 284 56
Mitch Talbot R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 35 SP 5.05 13.2%4.3%4.6%.289 3.70 162 56
Josh Lowey R 2025 · 3.43 FIP 34 SP 3.43 22.4%6.8%2.5%.303 2.28 426 55
Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 35 SP 4.05 21.0%6.3%3.5%.271 4.34 19.6%12.4%278 +0.29 3.54 1,102 55
Sergio Mitre R 2027 · 5.02 FIP 36 SP 5.02 9.7%4.8%3.9%.282 4.48 11.8%5.3%103 -0.54 4.48 156 54
Walter Silva R 2029 · 3.95 FIP 38 SP 3.95 14.8%7.4%2.1%.311 3.96 10.4%3.7%209 +0.01 3.68 428 54
Clay Buchholz R 2025 · 5.36 FIP 34 SP 5.36 15.4%5.9%5.1%.316 2.49 433 54
Alfredo Simon R 2026 · 5.63 FIP 35 SP- 5.63 12.3%9.6%4.3%.335 4.69 261 53
Jose Oyervides R 2026 · 5.48 FIP 35 SP 5.48 18.0%6.3%5.7%.254 5.90 16.3%5.1%115 +0.42 2.98 407 53
Frankie De La Cruz R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 35 SP- 4.34 16.2%8.0%2.9%.322 3.70 240 53
Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 3.95 FIP 34 SW 3.95 15.0%6.4%2.4%.312 3.73 132 52
Matt Garza R 2024 · 4.74 FIP 33 SP 4.74 15.7%8.1%3.5%.283 4.12 365 52
Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 35 SP 4.69 14.4%6.2%3.7%.287 3.72 918 52
Homer Bailey R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 35 SP 4.49 20.0%9.0%3.5%.370 3.97 509 52
Roberto Hernandez R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 35 SP 4.22 13.8%7.0%2.5%.299 4.22 171 51
Edinson Volquez R 2025 · 4.14 FIP 34 SP 4.14 20.4%12.6%2.1%.271 6.14 13.3%-2.7%16 +2.00 3.72 498 50

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45318.2%9.5%1.384.88
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41