Mike Clevinger — OGILVIE

Mike Clevinger P Indianapolis Indians

Age 35 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.48

FIP4.68

K%18.9%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

SL+0.5 (19%)

CH (15%)

SI (3%)

CT (22%)

FB-2.1 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	27	26	158	639	145	40	8	96%	5.9	18.4%	6.9%	11.5%	1.8%	2.73	3.40	—
2015	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	27	26	158	639	145	40	8	96%	5.9	22.7%	6.3%	16.4%	1.3%	2.73	2.68	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	27	146	613	147	64	16	79%	4.3	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.6%	3.82	4.02	+1.5
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	27	146	613	147	64	16	79%	4.3	24.0%	10.4%	13.5%	2.6%	3.82	3.83	+1.9
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	28	156	642	175	72	16	82%	4.6	26.5%	11.3%	15.2%	2.4%	3.01	3.64	+2.4
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	28	156	642	175	72	16	82%	4.6	27.3%	11.2%	16.0%	2.5%	3.01	3.58	+2.5
2018	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	32	32	200	810	207	67	21	100%	6.2	25.6%	8.3%	17.3%	2.6%	3.02	3.42	+3.7
2018	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	32	32	200	810	207	67	21	100%	6.2	25.6%	8.3%	17.3%	2.6%	3.02	3.40	+3.7
2019	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	23	133	529	178	39	11	100%	5.8	33.9%	7.4%	26.5%	2.0%	2.83	2.28	+4.6
2019	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	23	133	529	178	39	11	100%	5.8	33.6%	7.4%	26.3%	2.1%	2.83	2.38	+4.4
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	8	8	42	162	40	14	6	100%	5.2	24.7%	8.6%	16.0%	3.6%	3.02	4.09	+0.4
2020	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	8	8	42	162	40	14	6	100%	5.2	24.7%	8.6%	16.0%	3.7%	3.02	4.06	+0.4
2022	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	25	123	520	106	37	21	96%	4.7	18.8%	7.2%	11.5%	4.0%	4.17	4.64	+0.4
2022	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	25	123	520	106	37	21	96%	4.7	20.4%	7.1%	13.3%	4.0%	4.17	4.50	+0.6
2023	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	24	24	131	549	110	40	16	100%	5.5	20.0%	7.3%	12.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.90	+1.6
2023	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	24	24	131	549	110	40	16	100%	5.5	20.0%	7.3%	12.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.90	+1.6
2023	32	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	24	24	131	549	110	40	16	100%	5.5	20.0%	7.3%	12.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.92	+1.5
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	38	177	35	15	8	100%	3.8	17.9%	8.1%	9.8%	4.7%	5.97	5.18	-0.1
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	38	177	35	15	8	100%	3.8	17.9%	8.1%	9.8%	4.7%	5.97	5.18	-0.1
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	38	177	35	15	8	100%	3.8	19.8%	8.5%	11.3%	4.5%	5.97	5.20	-0.1
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	22	106	456	96	44	17	73%	3.5	18.2%	7.6%	10.5%	3.3%	4.40	4.36	+0.7
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	22	106	456	96	44	17	73%	3.5	18.2%	7.6%	10.5%	3.3%	4.40	4.36	+0.7
2025	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	22	106	456	96	44	17	73%	3.5	21.1%	9.6%	11.4%	3.7%	4.40	4.61	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			164	142	810	3349	822	296	98	87%	4.9	24.5%	8.8%	15.7%	2.9%	3.55	3.74	+11.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	22	3	30	128	30	11	2	14%	1.4	19.0%	7.7%	11.3%	2.1%	4.15	3.63	—
YTD	35	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	22	3	30	128	30	11	2	14%	1.4	19.0%	7.7%	11.3%	2.1%	4.15	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	ROK RAW	PIT	3	2	3	12	3	0	0	67%	0.9	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	3.38	0.99	—
2026	35	A RAW	PIT	2	0	3	11	3	2	0	0%	1.5	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	35	AAA RAW	PIT	17	1	25	105	24	9	2	6%	1.5	22.9%	8.6%	14.3%	1.9%	4.74	3.30	—
ROS	35	MLB MLE	PIT	5	0	5	23	4	2	1	0%	1.1	18.9%	7.8%	11.1%	3.3%	4.48	4.68	-0.0
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	36	151	34	13	3	—	—	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	1.8%	4.20	3.78	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	56	239	43	20	9	100%	6.3	17.9%	8.4%	9.5%	3.7%	4.82	5.05	-0.1
2028	37	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	49	208	35	19	9	100%	6.2	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	4.1%	5.20	5.45	-0.3
2029	38	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	42	179	28	17	8	100%	6.1	15.6%	9.7%	5.9%	4.5%	5.61	5.88	-0.5
2027	36	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	56	236	42	20	9	100%	6.2	17.9%	8.4%	9.5%	3.7%	4.82	5.05	-0.1
2028	37	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	49	207	35	19	8	100%	6.1	16.8%	9.0%	7.8%	4.1%	5.20	5.45	-0.3
2029	38	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	42	177	28	17	8	100%	6.0	15.6%	9.7%	5.9%	4.5%	5.61	5.88	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		189	167	958	3977	928	352	123	88%	5.1	23.3%	8.9%	14.5%	3.1%	3.80	3.96	+10.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	35	200	830	194	73	26	88%	5.1	23.3%	8.9%	14.5%	3.1%	3.80	3.96	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		270	228	1263	5225	1196	439	143	84%	4.7	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	2.7%	3.48	3.74	+10.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	36	200	827	189	70	23	84%	4.7	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	2.7%	3.48	3.74	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mike Clevinger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	18.9%	7.8%	3.3%	—	5.42	16.9%	7.9%	148	+0.74	—	—	—
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	62
Brandon McCarthy R 2018 · 4.69 FIP	35	SP	4.69	19.2%	6.2%	4.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	248	61
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	59
Alexi Ogando R 2018 · 4.10 FIP	34	SW	4.10	15.0%	6.4%	2.6%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	132	58
Alfredo Aceves R 2017 · 5.10 FIP	34	SP	5.10	8.9%	8.9%	3.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	4.78	160	57
Alfredo Simon R 2016 · 5.55 FIP	35	SP-	5.55	12.3%	9.6%	4.1%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	261	57
Mitch Talbot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	35	SP	5.01	13.2%	4.3%	4.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	162	57
Clay Buchholz R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	34	SP	5.36	15.4%	5.9%	5.1%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	433	57
Sergio Mitre R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	36	SP	4.76	9.7%	4.8%	3.4%	.282	4.54	11.8%	5.3%	103	-0.22	4.54	156	55
Jose Oyervides R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	35	SP	5.38	18.0%	6.3%	5.5%	.254	5.66	16.3%	5.1%	115	+0.28	3.01	407	55
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	54
Matt Garza R 2017 · 4.57 FIP	33	SP	4.57	15.7%	8.1%	3.2%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	365	53
Roberto Hernandez R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP	4.38	13.8%	7.0%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	171	53
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	240	52
Homer Bailey R 2021 · 4.37 FIP	35	SP	4.37	20.0%	9.0%	3.3%	.370	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	509	52
Yohan Pino R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	33	SP-	5.33	15.2%	3.6%	5.6%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	50
Jake Peavy R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP-	4.35	19.6%	6.7%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	262	50
Corey Kluber R 2021 · 3.50 FIP	35	SP	3.50	24.0%	9.7%	2.2%	.303	4.19	19.2%	14.9%	219	+0.69	2.26	1,190	49
Jerome Williams R 2016 · 5.81 FIP	34	SW	5.81	11.7%	6.1%	5.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.72	195	49
Guillermo Moscoso R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP	4.35	12.6%	6.7%	2.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	264	49

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	53	17.5%	8.6%	1.48	4.96
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79