Frankie Montas — OGILVIE

Frankie Montas P New York Mets

Age 33 RHP 6'2" / 255 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA4.98

FIP5.08

K%20.7%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6595.6

Whiff%

p4023.8%

p2118.0%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

SI (18%)

FB-3.8 (43%)

SL-5.8 (37%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	25	127	531	128	56	4	83%	4.2	20.2%	11.5%	8.8%	0.8%	3.19	3.28	+2.5
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	25	127	531	128	56	4	83%	4.2	24.1%	10.5%	13.6%	0.8%	3.19	2.82	+3.3
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	4	16	64	22	3	1	57%	2.3	34.4%	4.7%	29.7%	1.6%	2.25	1.65	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	4	16	64	22	3	1	57%	2.3	34.4%	4.7%	29.7%	1.6%	2.25	1.73	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	8	61	271	73	27	14	25%	1.9	25.3%	10.1%	15.2%	5.9%	6.16	5.49	-0.7
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	8	61	271	73	27	14	25%	1.9	26.9%	10.0%	17.0%	5.2%	6.16	5.01	-0.3
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	137	586	104	47	12	93%	4.9	16.5%	8.2%	8.3%	2.3%	4.28	4.00	+1.5
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	26	137	586	104	47	12	93%	4.9	17.7%	8.0%	9.7%	2.0%	4.28	3.75	+1.9
2019	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	16	16	96	394	103	22	8	100%	6.0	26.1%	5.6%	20.6%	2.2%	2.62	2.82	+2.5
2019	26	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	16	16	96	394	103	22	8	100%	6.0	26.1%	5.6%	20.6%	2.0%	2.62	2.73	+2.7
2020	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	11	11	53	237	60	23	10	100%	4.8	25.3%	9.7%	15.6%	4.6%	5.60	4.74	+0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	11	11	53	237	60	23	10	100%	4.8	25.3%	9.7%	15.6%	4.2%	5.60	4.59	+0.2
2021	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	32	32	187	778	207	56	20	100%	5.8	26.6%	7.2%	19.4%	2.8%	3.37	3.32	+3.7
2021	28	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	32	32	187	778	207	56	20	100%	5.8	26.6%	7.2%	19.4%	2.6%	3.37	3.17	+4.0
2022	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	27	27	144	608	142	40	18	100%	5.3	23.4%	6.6%	16.8%	2.8%	4.05	3.48	+2.5
2022	29	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	27	27	144	608	142	40	18	100%	5.3	23.4%	6.6%	16.8%	3.0%	4.05	3.58	+2.3
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	2	4	19	5	2	0	67%	1.4	26.3%	10.5%	15.8%	0.0%	2.08	2.21	+0.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	2	4	19	5	2	0	67%	1.4	26.3%	10.5%	15.8%	0.0%	2.08	2.21	+0.1
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	2	4	19	5	2	0	67%	1.4	26.3%	10.5%	15.8%	0.0%	2.08	2.18	+0.1
2024	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	30	30	151	655	148	66	24	100%	5.0	22.6%	10.1%	12.5%	3.5%	4.84	4.38	+0.9
2024	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	30	30	151	655	148	66	24	100%	5.0	22.6%	10.1%	12.5%	3.5%	4.84	4.38	+0.9
2024	31	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	30	30	151	655	148	66	24	100%	5.0	22.6%	10.1%	12.5%	3.7%	4.84	4.52	+0.7
2025	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	13	57	275	44	24	16	87%	3.8	15.2%	7.6%	7.6%	6.1%	8.16	6.15	-0.8
2025	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	13	57	275	44	24	16	87%	3.8	15.2%	7.6%	7.6%	6.1%	8.16	6.15	-0.8
2025	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	13	57	275	44	24	16	87%	3.8	16.0%	8.7%	7.3%	5.8%	8.16	6.45	-1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			169	136	783	3358	792	271	104	80%	4.6	23.6%	8.1%	15.5%	3.1%	4.20	3.84	+9.9
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	NYM	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	20.7%	9.2%	11.5%	4.0%	4.98	5.08	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	64	269	53	26	12	100%	5.8	19.8%	9.7%	10.1%	4.3%	5.22	5.39	-0.3
2028	35	MLB MLE	NYM	10	10	57	242	45	25	11	100%	5.7	18.8%	10.2%	8.6%	4.6%	5.52	5.72	-0.5
2027	34	MLB CTX	NYM	11	11	64	270	53	26	12	100%	5.8	19.8%	9.7%	10.1%	4.3%	5.22	5.39	-0.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	NYM	10	10	57	241	45	25	11	100%	5.7	18.8%	10.2%	8.6%	4.6%	5.52	5.72	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		189	156	904	3868	891	322	127	83%	4.8	23.0%	8.3%	14.7%	3.3%	4.35	4.01	+9.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	35	200	856	197	71	28	83%	4.8	23.0%	8.3%	14.7%	3.3%	4.35	4.01	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		231	194	1034	4418	1002	369	133	84%	4.5	22.7%	8.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.23	3.90	+8.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	38	200	855	194	71	26	84%	4.5	22.7%	8.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.23	3.90	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frankie Montas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	20.7%	9.2%	4.0%	—	5.55	19.3%	9.4%	121	+0.47	—	—	—
Jair Jurrjens R 2017 · 4.27 FIP	31	SP	4.27	16.3%	7.9%	2.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	125	67
Brandon McCarthy R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	33	SP	4.84	22.5%	11.5%	4.0%	.288	3.82	19.0%	12.4%	171	-1.02	3.09	248	64
Brad Peacock R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	33	SP-	4.70	21.0%	9.8%	3.9%	.327	3.82	23.9%	13.3%	60	-0.88	2.97	533	63
Matt Garza R 2017 · 4.57 FIP	33	SP	4.57	15.7%	8.1%	3.2%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	365	63
Kris Medlen R 2018 · 5.20 FIP	32	SP	5.20	16.2%	10.0%	4.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	261	61
Matt Shoemaker R 2020 · 6.00 FIP	33	SP	6.00	22.6%	7.8%	7.0%	.194	4.85	18.0%	10.3%	131	-1.15	3.17	592	60
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	60
Elih Villanueva R 2017 · 5.48 FIP	31	SP	5.48	14.1%	6.0%	5.1%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	225	59
Tyson Ross R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	32	SP	5.68	15.4%	11.1%	4.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	449	58
Stephen Strasburg R 2021 · 5.14 FIP	33	SP	5.14	22.1%	12.6%	4.2%	.207	—	—	—	—	—	2.42	811	58
Edwin Jackson R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	33	SP-	5.02	18.7%	9.5%	4.2%	.278	5.25	16.9%	6.9%	252	+0.23	3.77	521	58
Tim Lincecum R 2016 · 4.88 FIP	32	SP	4.88	17.9%	10.4%	3.6%	.351	5.87	14.4%	-1.1%	13	+0.99	4.20	166	57
Tyler Cloyd R 2019 · 5.21 FIP	32	SP	5.21	18.9%	9.5%	4.6%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	250	57
Diego Moreno R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	32	SP	4.08	12.4%	6.9%	2.1%	.376	4.75	18.6%	9.2%	30	+0.67	2.29	187	57
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	57
Sergio Valenzuela R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	32	SP	5.66	10.6%	6.5%	4.8%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	244	57
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	56
Mike Pelfrey R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	33	SP-	5.69	14.5%	10.6%	4.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	404	56
Manuel Flores R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	33	SP	4.32	17.1%	7.4%	3.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	515	56
Alfredo Aceves R 2016 · 4.78 FIP	33	SP	4.78	10.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.270	5.10	8.9%	0.0%	51	+0.32	4.78	160	55

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	19.8%	9.6%	1.65	5.22
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63