Frankie Montas
P
New York Mets
Age 33
RHP
6'2" / 255 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.00
FIP5.12
K%20.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP81
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6595.6
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p150.353
SI (18%)
FB-3.8 (43%)
SL-5.8 (37%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 25 | 127 | 531 | 128 | 56 | 4 | 83% | 4.2 | 20.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 0.7% | 3.19 | 3.25 | +3.2 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 25 | 127 | 531 | 128 | 56 | 4 | 83% | 4.2 | 24.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 0.8% | 3.19 | 2.82 | +3.8 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 57% | 2.3 | 34.4% | 4.7% | 29.7% | 1.6% | 2.25 | 1.65 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 57% | 2.3 | 34.4% | 4.7% | 29.7% | 1.6% | 2.25 | 1.73 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 8 | 61 | 271 | 73 | 27 | 14 | 25% | 1.9 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 6.16 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 8 | 61 | 271 | 73 | 27 | 14 | 25% | 1.9 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 5.2% | 6.16 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 137 | 586 | 104 | 47 | 12 | 93% | 4.9 | 16.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 4.28 | 3.98 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 137 | 586 | 104 | 47 | 12 | 93% | 4.9 | 17.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 4.28 | 3.75 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 16 | 16 | 96 | 394 | 103 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 5.6% | 20.6% | 2.1% | 2.62 | 2.77 | +2.9 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 16 | 16 | 96 | 394 | 103 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 5.6% | 20.6% | 2.0% | 2.62 | 2.73 | +2.9 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 53 | 237 | 60 | 23 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.3% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 4.4% | 5.60 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 53 | 237 | 60 | 23 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.3% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 4.2% | 5.60 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 32 | 187 | 778 | 207 | 56 | 20 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.6% | 7.2% | 19.4% | 2.7% | 3.37 | 3.24 | +4.7 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 32 | 187 | 778 | 207 | 56 | 20 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.6% | 7.2% | 19.4% | 2.6% | 3.37 | 3.17 | +4.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 27 | 27 | 144 | 608 | 142 | 40 | 18 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.4% | 6.6% | 16.8% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 3.47 | +3.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 27 | 27 | 144 | 608 | 142 | 40 | 18 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.4% | 6.6% | 16.8% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 3.58 | +3.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 67% | 1.4 | 26.3% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.21 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 67% | 1.4 | 26.3% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.18 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 151 | 655 | 148 | 66 | 24 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.84 | 4.56 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 151 | 655 | 148 | 66 | 24 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 4.52 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 13 | 57 | 275 | 44 | 24 | 16 | 87% | 3.8 | 15.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.16 | 5.98 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 13 | 57 | 275 | 44 | 24 | 16 | 87% | 3.8 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.16 | 6.45 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 61 | 27 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 5.00 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 64 | 269 | 53 | 26 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 5.25 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 10 | 57 | 242 | 46 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 5.56 | 5.76 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 26 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 5.25 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 45 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 5.56 | 5.76 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 189 | 156 | 904 | 3868 | 891 | 322 | 127 | 83% | 4.8 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.01 | +14.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 35 | 200 | 856 | 197 | 71 | 28 | 83% | 4.8 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 231 | 194 | 1034 | 4418 | 1002 | 370 | 132 | 84% | 4.5 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 3.89 | +18.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 38 | 200 | 855 | 194 | 72 | 26 | 84% | 4.5 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Frankie Montas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | — | 5.58 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 121 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 66 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.88 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .288 | 3.86 | 19.0% | 12.4% | 171 | -1.02 | 3.16 | 248 | 63 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 60 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 59 |
| Elih Villanueva R 2024 · 5.43 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.43 | 14.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | .365 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 225 | 59 |
| Kris Medlen R 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.11 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.66 | 261 | 58 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.28 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .327 | 4.03 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 60 | -0.25 | 2.88 | 533 | 58 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.30 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 4.3% | .277 | 4.87 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 198 | -0.43 | 3.63 | 885 | 57 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.47 | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 244 | 57 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2024 · 5.44 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.44 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.44 | 117 | 56 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2025 · 5.10 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.10 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 250 | 56 |
| Stephen Strasburg R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.14 | 22.1% | 12.6% | 4.2% | .207 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 811 | 56 |
| Matt Shoemaker R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 33 | SP | 6.00 | 22.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | .194 | 4.84 | 18.0% | 10.3% | 131 | -1.16 | 3.24 | 592 | 56 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.37 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 56 |
| Johnny Cueto R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.83 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 4.9% | .190 | 3.89 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 352 | -1.94 | 2.85 | 1,148 | 56 |
| Manuel Flores R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 515 | 55 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.71 | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .270 | 4.97 | 8.9% | 0.0% | 51 | +0.26 | 4.71 | 160 | 55 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.15 | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 258 | 55 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.96 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 5.91 | 14.4% | -1.1% | 13 | +0.95 | 4.20 | 166 | 54 |
| Félix Hernández R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.62 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 682 | 54 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 1.68 | 5.25 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |