Frankie Montas
P
New York Mets
+0.1
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'2" / 255 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.08
FIP5.03
xFIP4.76
SIERA4.63
K%20.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%11.2%
IP81
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4545
CMD4545
K†5050
FB Velo
p6595.6
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p150.353
SI (18%)
FB-3.8 (43%)
SL-5.8 (37%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 30 | 25 | 127 | 531 | 128 | 56 | 4 | 20.2% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 3.19 | 3.27 | +2.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 7 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 22 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.25 | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 8 | 61 | 271 | 73 | 27 | 14 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 6.16 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 28 | 26 | 137 | 586 | 104 | 47 | 12 | 16.5% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 4.28 | 4.01 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 16 | 16 | 96 | 394 | 103 | 22 | 8 | 26.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.62 | 2.79 | +2.7 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 53 | 237 | 60 | 23 | 10 | 25.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 5.60 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 32 | 187 | 778 | 207 | 56 | 20 | 26.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 3.37 | 3.28 | +4.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 27 | 27 | 144 | 608 | 142 | 40 | 18 | 23.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 3.52 | +2.9 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 151 | 655 | 148 | 66 | 24 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.84 | 4.21 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | New York Mets | 15 | 13 | 57 | 275 | 44 | 24 | 16 | 15.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.16 | 6.15 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 64 | 27 | 11 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 4.91 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 51 | 23 | 10 | 21.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 5.07 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 40 | 19 | 8 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 5.15 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 31 | 16 | 7 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 5.28 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 231 | 194 | 1034 | 4418 | 1002 | 370 | 128 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 3.84 | +17.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 38 | 200 | 855 | 194 | 72 | 25 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 3.84 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Frankie Montas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 3.8% | — | 5.18 | 20.4% | 10.8% | 141 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 72 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 72 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 71 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 71 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 71 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 71 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.31 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.08 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.23 | 2.86 | 596 | 70 |
| Austin Adams R 2025 · 5.85 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.85 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 5.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 162 | 69 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 69 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 69 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 68 |
| Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.18 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 4.9% | .274 | 6.02 | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12 | +0.84 | 2.35 | 260 | 68 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 67 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 67 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 67 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 67 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2027 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 66 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.41 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 176 | 66 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.