Zack Godley
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 36
RHP
6'3" / 250 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.56
FIP4.61
K%21.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.9
Whiff%
p5225.6%
K%
p3219.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.386
CT+0.9
FB-2.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 23 | 136 | 556 | 124 | 45 | 9 | 77% | 4.5 | 18.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 1.8% | 2.84 | 3.60 | +2.9 |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 23 | 136 | 556 | 124 | 45 | 9 | 77% | 4.5 | 22.3% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 1.6% | 2.84 | 3.13 | +3.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 23 | 157 | 682 | 129 | 46 | 20 | 55% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.04 | +2.5 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 23 | 157 | 682 | 129 | 46 | 20 | 55% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.94 | 3.99 | +2.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 28 | 183 | 737 | 194 | 68 | 15 | 90% | 5.9 | 25.9% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 1.9% | 3.25 | 3.17 | +4.8 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 28 | 183 | 737 | 194 | 68 | 15 | 90% | 5.9 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 2.0% | 3.25 | 3.16 | +4.8 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 33 | 32 | 178 | 791 | 185 | 79 | 16 | 97% | 5.4 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 1.9% | 4.74 | 3.45 | +4.1 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 33 | 32 | 178 | 791 | 185 | 79 | 16 | 97% | 5.4 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 2.0% | 4.74 | 3.52 | +3.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 33 | 9 | 92 | 407 | 70 | 40 | 14 | 27% | 2.8 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 5.97 | 4.78 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 33 | 9 | 92 | 407 | 70 | 40 | 14 | 27% | 2.8 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 5.97 | 4.86 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 8 | 7 | 29 | 143 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 88% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 8.16 | 6.11 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 8 | 7 | 29 | 143 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 88% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.16 | 6.69 | -0.7 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 102 | 450 | 90 | 57 | 15 | 83% | 4.4 | 17.4% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.94 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 102 | 450 | 90 | 57 | 15 | 83% | 4.4 | 20.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.93 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 14 | 2 | 22 | 118 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 14% | 1.6 | 21.6% | 16.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 8.06 | 5.05 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 14 | 2 | 22 | 118 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 14% | 1.6 | 24.6% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 8.06 | 5.97 | — |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 12 | 10 | 57 | 259 | 57 | 31 | 9 | 83% | 4.8 | 19.4% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.21 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 12 | 10 | 57 | 259 | 57 | 31 | 9 | 83% | 4.8 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 5.21 | 4.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 34 | 144 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.8 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 30 | 126 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 143 | 94 | 598 | 2600 | 572 | 239 | 77 | 66% | 4.2 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.04 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 31 | 200 | 869 | 191 | 80 | 26 | 66% | 4.2 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 226 | 153 | 956 | 4143 | 850 | 408 | 109 | 68% | 4.2 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.06 | +15.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 32 | 200 | 867 | 178 | 85 | 23 | 68% | 4.2 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Godley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.01 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 30 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 82 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 75 |
| Jake Peavy R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 262 | 71 |
| Chris Young R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 70 |
| Chris Smith R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.11 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 413 | 66 |
| Shaun Marcum R 2023 · 3.94 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.94 | 17.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 123 | 65 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 64 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 64 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 567 | 63 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.22 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 348 | 61 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.11 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 352 | 60 |
| Jason Hammel R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 645 | 60 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.16 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 393 | 59 |
| Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.91 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 257 | 59 |
| Aaron Harang R 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 57 |
| Scott Feldman R 2024 · 4.64 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.64 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 297 | 57 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2028 · 3.67 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.67 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 152 | 56 |
| Walter Silva R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.95 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.96 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | +0.01 | 3.68 | 428 | 56 |
| Dan Haren R 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.40 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 187 | 56 |
| James Shields R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.81 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 720 | 55 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 32 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 1.27 | 4.69 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |