Zack Godley — OGILVIE

Zack Godley P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 36 RHP 6'3" / 250 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.53

FIP4.58

K%21.1%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.9

Whiff%

p5225.6%

p3219.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.386

CT+0.9

FB-2.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	23	136	556	124	45	9	77%	4.5	18.7%	8.8%	9.9%	1.8%	2.84	3.62	+2.1
2015	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	23	136	556	124	45	9	77%	4.5	22.3%	8.1%	14.2%	1.6%	2.84	3.13	+3.0
2016	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	23	157	682	129	46	20	55%	3.7	17.4%	7.0%	10.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.13	+1.4
2016	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	23	157	682	129	46	20	55%	3.7	18.9%	6.7%	12.2%	2.9%	4.94	3.99	+1.7
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	28	183	737	194	68	15	90%	5.9	25.9%	9.3%	16.5%	2.0%	3.25	3.21	+3.9
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	28	183	737	194	68	15	90%	5.9	26.3%	9.2%	17.1%	2.0%	3.25	3.16	+4.0
2018	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	32	178	791	185	79	16	97%	5.4	23.4%	10.0%	13.4%	2.1%	4.74	3.56	+2.9
2018	28	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	32	178	791	185	79	16	97%	5.4	23.4%	10.0%	13.4%	2.0%	4.74	3.52	+3.0
2019	29	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	33	9	92	407	70	40	14	27%	2.8	17.2%	9.8%	7.4%	3.4%	5.97	4.78	-0.2
2019	29	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	33	9	92	407	70	40	14	27%	2.8	17.2%	9.8%	7.4%	3.4%	5.97	4.86	-0.3
2020	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	8	7	29	143	28	14	9	88%	3.6	19.6%	9.8%	9.8%	6.5%	8.16	6.23	-0.4
2020	30	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	8	7	29	143	28	14	9	88%	3.6	19.6%	9.8%	9.8%	6.3%	8.16	6.69	-0.6
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	102	450	90	57	15	83%	4.4	17.4%	12.7%	4.7%	3.2%	4.78	5.00	-0.1
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	19	102	450	90	57	15	83%	4.4	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	3.3%	4.78	4.93	-0.0
2022	32	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	14	2	22	118	29	19	5	14%	1.6	21.6%	16.9%	4.7%	3.6%	8.06	5.41	—
2022	32	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	14	2	22	118	29	19	5	14%	1.6	24.6%	16.1%	8.5%	4.2%	8.06	5.97	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	12	10	57	259	57	31	9	83%	4.8	18.3%	10.8%	7.5%	3.8%	5.21	5.03	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	12	10	57	259	57	31	9	83%	4.8	18.3%	10.8%	7.5%	3.8%	5.21	5.03	—
2023	33	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	12	10	57	259	57	31	9	83%	4.8	22.0%	12.0%	10.0%	3.5%	5.21	4.78	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			138	89	569	2474	547	226	73	64%	4.1	22.1%	9.1%	13.0%	3.0%	4.92	4.04	+5.8
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	OAK	1	1	3	13	3	1	0	100%	3.0	21.1%	9.5%	11.7%	3.1%	4.53	4.58	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	OAK	5	5	30	126	25	13	4	100%	6.0	20.1%	10.1%	9.9%	3.5%	4.80	4.98	-0.0
2027	37	MLB CTX	OAK	5	5	30	127	25	13	4	100%	6.0	20.1%	10.1%	9.9%	3.4%	4.75	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		143	94	598	2600	572	239	77	66%	4.2	22.0%	9.2%	12.8%	3.0%	4.91	4.04	+6.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		48	31	200	869	191	80	26	66%	4.2	22.0%	9.2%	12.8%	3.0%	4.91	4.04	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		226	153	956	4143	847	404	114	68%	4.2	20.4%	9.7%	10.7%	2.7%	4.55	4.11	+5.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	32	200	867	177	84	24	68%	4.2	20.4%	9.7%	10.7%	2.7%	4.55	4.11	+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zack Godley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	21.1%	9.5%	3.1%	—	4.98	20.1%	9.9%	30	+0.40	—	—	—
Ryan Vogelsong R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	38	SP-	4.45	18.1%	9.4%	3.1%	.295	4.79	16.7%	6.3%	82	+0.34	4.45	217	82
Kyle Lohse R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	36	SP-	4.77	16.2%	6.0%	4.2%	.309	4.97	14.8%	8.8%	59	+0.20	4.77	211	78
Chris Young R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	36	SP-	4.69	16.6%	8.6%	3.5%	.209	6.33	21.1%	11.4%	119	+1.64	4.69	242	70
Jake Peavy R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP-	4.35	19.6%	6.7%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	262	69
Chris Smith R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	36	SP-	5.08	15.6%	7.5%	4.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	413	66
Shaun Marcum R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	33	SP	4.04	17.8%	6.0%	3.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	123	65
Jeremy Guthrie R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	36	SP-	5.44	12.7%	6.5%	4.7%	.309	4.85	11.6%	3.0%	87	-0.59	4.85	235	64
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	240	64
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	36	SP-	4.20	15.8%	5.6%	3.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	567	64
Josh Lindblom R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	35	SP	5.07	20.8%	8.8%	4.8%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	348	62
Tim Dillard R 2019 · 4.10 FIP	36	SP-	4.10	13.6%	5.5%	2.6%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	352	61
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	60
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	60
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	58
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	57
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	56
Dan Haren R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	34	SP	4.54	17.2%	4.7%	4.2%	.251	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	187	56
Edgar Gonzalez R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	36	SP	4.58	12.3%	5.8%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	450	54
Jorge Martinez R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	34	SP	3.71	16.3%	5.7%	2.3%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	214	54
Yoanner Negrin R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	35	SP	3.87	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	485	54

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	20.6%	9.8%	1.26	4.66
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21