Mason Black
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 228 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140130vR 121
ERA5.08
FIP5.37
K%15.9%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%3.9%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p3523.2%
K%
p2318.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.408
CT (8%)
SI (26%)
CU (4%)
FB (49%)
CH-0.5 (5%)
SL-0.6 (35%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 112 | 463 | 136 | 36 | 12 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 3.21 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 112 | 463 | 136 | 36 | 12 | 100% | 4.7 | 29.4% | 7.8% | 21.6% | 2.6% | 3.21 | 3.03 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 124 | 512 | 155 | 52 | 16 | 100% | 4.3 | 25.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 3.71 | 4.39 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 124 | 512 | 155 | 52 | 16 | 100% | 4.3 | 30.3% | 10.2% | 20.1% | 3.1% | 3.71 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 28 | 121 | 536 | 118 | 54 | 19 | 97% | 4.2 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 5.15 | 4.83 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 28 | 121 | 536 | 118 | 54 | 19 | 97% | 4.2 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 5.15 | 4.53 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 24 | 123 | 550 | 119 | 61 | 19 | 77% | 4.0 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.84 | 5.24 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 24 | 123 | 550 | 119 | 61 | 19 | 77% | 4.0 | 21.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 5.84 | 4.66 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 2 | 51 | 232 | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7% | 1.7 | 15.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.47 | 5.57 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.08 | 5.37 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.08 | 5.37 | -0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 90 | 396 | 66 | 43 | 16 | — | — | 16.7% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.30 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 56 | 239 | 66 | 43 | 16 | — | — | 27.7% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.43 | 6.76 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 14 | 14 | 87 | 366 | 62 | 45 | 13 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.47 | 5.60 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 14 | 14 | 87 | 366 | 63 | 44 | 14 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.50 | 5.58 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 59 | 42 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.47 | 5.60 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 60 | 42 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.50 | 5.58 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 35 | 262 | 1130 | 196 | 130 | 44 | 41% | 3.0 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.45 | 5.22 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 27 | 200 | 864 | 150 | 99 | 34 | 41% | 3.0 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.45 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 107 | 531 | 2293 | 482 | 243 | 85 | 75% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 4.60 | 4.70 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 40 | 200 | 864 | 182 | 92 | 32 | 75% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 4.60 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Black (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.73 | 15.9% | 12.4% | 3.7% | — | 5.59 | 17.1% | 5.0% | 174 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 78 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 76 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 74 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 74 |
| Noah Song R 2026 · 6.24 FIP | 26 | SP | 6.24 | 12.0% | 13.2% | 4.5% | .239 | 4.28 | 17.8% | 4.6% | 85 | -1.96 | 3.62 | 106 | 73 |
| Luis Niebla R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 72 |
| Drake Fellows R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.39 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .293 | 4.64 | 16.3% | 6.7% | 150 | -0.75 | 4.58 | 226 | 69 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 69 |
| Logan Martin R 2025 · 5.68 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.68 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 5.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 223 | 67 |
| Zac Kristofak R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.03 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 168 | 67 |
| Jimmy Endersby R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.93 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .257 | 2.73 | 17.2% | 12.8% | 36 | -2.20 | 2.73 | 357 | 66 |
| Troy Miller R 2027 · 6.49 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.49 | 15.3% | 11.0% | 6.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 168 | 66 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 66 |
| Tony Dibrell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.18 | 23.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .314 | 8.89 | 13.5% | -3.3% | 29 | +3.71 | 4.21 | 347 | 66 |
| Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.79 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 420 | 66 |
| Darien Smith R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.67 | 19.0% | 12.9% | 2.8% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 102 | 66 |
| Rafael Pineda R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.49 | 6.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 101 | 65 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.74 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .236 | 3.71 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 172 | -1.03 | 2.59 | 280 | 65 |
| Beau Blanchard R 2024 · 6.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.47 | 16.3% | 10.8% | 6.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 111 | 65 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.19 | 16.8% | 12.4% | 3.5% | .309 | 5.12 | 23.8% | 9.5% | 47 | -0.07 | 4.09 | 414 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 77 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.43 | 5.47 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Sal Romano ('21) | 3 | 86 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.29 | 5.10 |