Mason Black
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 228 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2028
ERA5.62
FIP5.08
xFIP4.69
SIERA4.51
K%20.4%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%9.4%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
OFP—40
STUF3030
CTRL4540
CMD4040
K†3040
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p1016.4%
K%
p2318.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.371
CT (10%)
SI (28%)
FB (39%)
CH-0.5 (9%)
SL-0.6 (42%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 24 | 24 | 112 | 463 | 136 | 36 | 12 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 3.21 | 3.93 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 29 | 29 | 124 | 512 | 155 | 52 | 16 | 25.5% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 3.71 | 4.33 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 29 | 28 | 121 | 536 | 118 | 54 | 19 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 5.15 | 4.87 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 31 | 24 | 123 | 550 | 119 | 61 | 19 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.05 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 6 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.66 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 15.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 6.13 | 5.68 | -0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 58 | 244 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 22 | 22 | 123 | 520 | 85 | 61 | 19 | 16.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 5.73 | 5.55 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 22 | 22 | 123 | 521 | 87 | 60 | 19 | 16.6% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 5.54 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 22 | 22 | 120 | 509 | 84 | 58 | 18 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 5.49 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 117 | 494 | 79 | 56 | 18 | 16.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 5.52 | 5.55 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 113 | 476 | 73 | 55 | 18 | 15.4% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 5.60 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 108 | 457 | 68 | 53 | 17 | 14.8% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 5.70 | 5.77 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | KC | 19 | 19 | 103 | 437 | 62 | 52 | 17 | 14.1% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 5.82 | 5.90 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | KC | 18 | 18 | 98 | 415 | 56 | 50 | 16 | 13.4% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 5.95 | 6.04 | -0.8 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | KC | 17 | 17 | 93 | 391 | 50 | 48 | 16 | 12.7% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 6.10 | 6.19 | -1.0 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | KC | 16 | 16 | 87 | 366 | 44 | 46 | 15 | 11.9% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 6.25 | 6.36 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 105 | 489 | 2102 | 450 | 223 | 73 | 21.4% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.51 | 4.54 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 43 | 200 | 859 | 184 | 91 | 30 | 21.4% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.51 | 4.54 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Black (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.68 | 15.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% | — | 5.51 | 16.4% | 4.9% | 367 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| David Holman R 2027 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.8% | .324 | 5.48 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.00 | 5.37 | 129 | 86 |
| Adrian Garza R 2027 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .360 | 4.17 | 13.1% | 6.5% | 84 | -1.31 | 3.95 | 229 | 81 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.33 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .310 | 4.55 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.78 | 4.49 | 247 | 81 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.14 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.3% | .331 | 8.65 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.51 | 4.59 | 108 | 80 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 15.9% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.64 | 12.8% | 4.9% | 48 | -1.04 | 3.64 | 162 | 80 |
| Tyler Burch R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 119 | 79 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.47 | 3.01 | 115 | 78 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.59 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .354 | 4.30 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.29 | 4.20 | 120 | 78 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.79 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 300 | 78 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.56 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 48 | -0.30 | 4.56 | 158 | 77 |
| Josh Hejka R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | .363 | 3.93 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 77 | -0.74 | 2.91 | 166 | 77 |
| Kenyon Yovan R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .340 | 3.31 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 51 | -1.20 | 1.18 | 145 | 77 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.84 | 9.1% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .302 | 4.00 | 17.1% | 10.6% | 110 | -0.84 | 4.00 | 125 | 77 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.95 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.95 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .346 | 4.86 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | -0.09 | 4.51 | 224 | 77 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 76 |
| Jordan Jackson R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.87 | 13.5% | 12.7% | 4.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 193 | 76 |
| Jose Campos R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.65 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .377 | 6.83 | 15.5% | 4.5% | 26 | +2.18 | 3.29 | 241 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 76 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.22 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 4.2% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 143 | 76 |
| Nick Mikolajchak R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.04 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 2.6% | .286 | 6.09 | 16.2% | 1.5% | 30 | +1.05 | 3.96 | 156 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.