Tyler Stuart
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 26
RHP
6'9" / 250 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%21.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 67% | 1.2 | 35.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 9.82 | 2.04 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 67% | 1.2 | 35.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 9.82 | 1.74 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 111 | 447 | 112 | 32 | 7 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 2.20 | 3.59 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 111 | 447 | 112 | 32 | 7 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.1% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 1.6% | 2.20 | 2.77 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 122 | 521 | 135 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.2% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | 4.12 | 3.57 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 122 | 521 | 135 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 4.9 | 25.9% | 7.1% | 18.8% | 1.9% | 4.12 | 2.86 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 9 | 36 | 156 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 90% | 3.6 | 15.6% | 15.0% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 4.29 | 6.10 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 9 | 36 | 156 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 90% | 3.6 | 23.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 4.29 | 3.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 35 | 149 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 35 | 147 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 34 | 143 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 5 | 5 | 32 | 136 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 9 | 56 | 237 | 51 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.22 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 82 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 59 | 57 | 272 | 1144 | 229 | 103 | 28 | 97% | 4.6 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 3.44 | 3.90 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 42 | 200 | 840 | 168 | 76 | 21 | 97% | 4.6 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 3.44 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Stuart (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.58 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 101 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 81 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 81 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 79 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 79 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 78 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 77 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .275 | 3.52 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 123 | -0.00 | 3.11 | 159 | 77 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 75 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 75 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 75 |
| Zack Wheeler R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.75 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .327 | 3.09 | 23.0% | 16.8% | 449 | -1.66 | 2.31 | 1,536 | 75 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2024 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 74 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 74 |
| Mason Adams R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 254 | 74 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 1.5% | .264 | 3.82 | 24.9% | 12.4% | 117 | +0.30 | 3.12 | 187 | 74 |
| Jackson Finley R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 73 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 73 |
| Griffin Canning R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 73 |
| Alex Williams R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.23 | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 322 | 73 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 34 | 21.3% | 9.6% | 1.17 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |