Jacob Barnes
P
Buffalo Bisons
+0.1
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'2" / 231 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.68
FIP4.71
xFIP4.94
SIERA4.87
K%19.7%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%11.1%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†5050
FB Velo
p6295.4
Whiff%
p4925.1%
K%
p3419.9%
xwOBA vs
p240.342
CT+2.4 (38%)
FB-1.3 (38%)
SL-1.9 (18%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 39 | 6 | 75 | 317 | 84 | 29 | 2 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 0.7% | 3.36 | 2.96 | +1.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 47 | 0 | 52 | 201 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 24.3% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 1.92 | 2.48 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 73 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 80 | 29 | 8 | 26.3% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.00 | 3.46 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 60 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 57 | 29 | 4 | 21.7% | 9.7% | 1.7% | 2.98 | 3.44 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 50 | 1 | 49 | 231 | 53 | 23 | 10 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 6.39 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 30.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 5.50 | 1.76 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 43 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 43 | 15 | 7 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | New York Yankees | 42 | 0 | 40 | 173 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 19.7% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 4.02 | 3.47 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 48 | 0 | 65 | 282 | 53 | 25 | 3 | 16.9% | 9.3% | 1.2% | 3.20 | 3.49 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 70 | 0 | 74 | 304 | 65 | 20 | 10 | 19.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.89 | 3.97 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 28 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 7.36 | 6.22 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TOR | 31 | — | 31 | 133 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 19.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 518 | 7 | 581 | 2492 | 536 | 220 | 60 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 3.99 | 3.71 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 2 | 200 | 857 | 184 | 76 | 21 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 3.99 | 3.71 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Barnes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% | — | 4.78 | 19.9% | 11.1% | 31 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 79 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 78 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 75 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 73 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 72 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 72 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 72 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 71 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 70 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 70 |
| Jason Motte R 2025 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 69 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 69 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.64 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 404 | 69 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.02 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | .292 | 5.18 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.16 | 2.73 | 316 | 69 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 69 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.