Jacob Barnes
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 36
RHP
6'2" / 231 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.79
FIP4.88
K%18.9%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT+2.4 (38%)
FB-1.3 (38%)
SL-1.9 (18%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 39 | 6 | 75 | 317 | 84 | 29 | 2 | 15% | 1.9 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 0.6% | 3.36 | 2.92 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 39 | 6 | 75 | 317 | 84 | 29 | 2 | 15% | 1.9 | 26.5% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 0.6% | 3.36 | 2.37 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 52 | 201 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 6.5% | 17.8% | 1.2% | 1.92 | 2.51 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 52 | 201 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 6.0% | 20.4% | 1.0% | 1.92 | 2.25 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 73 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 80 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 4.00 | 3.59 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 73 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 80 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 2.6% | 4.00 | 3.53 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 57 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 1.9% | 2.98 | 3.55 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 57 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 2.98 | 3.51 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 49 | 231 | 53 | 23 | 10 | 2% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 6.39 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 49 | 231 | 53 | 23 | 10 | 2% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 6.39 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 5.1% | 25.6% | 1.3% | 5.50 | 1.88 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 5.1% | 25.6% | 1.3% | 5.50 | 1.82 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 43 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 4.40 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 43 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 3.9% | 4.40 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 40 | 173 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 1.6% | 4.02 | 3.45 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 40 | 173 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 4.02 | 3.35 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 65 | 282 | 53 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 3.20 | 3.51 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 65 | 282 | 53 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 3.20 | 3.22 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 0 | 74 | 304 | 65 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 3.89 | 4.23 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 0 | 74 | 304 | 65 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 3.89 | 3.91 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.36 | 6.85 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 7.36 | 5.31 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 47 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 40 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.79 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 5.08 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 5.08 | 5.28 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 334 | 1 | 337 | 1466 | 322 | 124 | 43 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 3.93 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 1 | 200 | 870 | 191 | 74 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 518 | 7 | 581 | 2492 | 536 | 220 | 64 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 3.99 | 3.81 | +10.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 2 | 200 | 857 | 184 | 76 | 22 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 3.99 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Barnes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 18.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% | — | 5.28 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 43 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 79 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 78 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 77 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 76 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 73 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 6.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 150 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 72 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 72 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 72 |
| Jason Motte R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 72 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 72 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.83 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 70 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 70 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 69 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 69 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.96 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | .292 | 5.23 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.27 | 2.82 | 316 | 67 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 18.4% | 8.6% | 1.44 | 4.93 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |