Ryan Jennings
P
Buffalo Bisons
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.2%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%11.4%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
OFP—40
STUF—50
CTRL—55
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 5 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.16 | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 12 | 10 | 43 | 178 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.6% | 3.98 | 3.48 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 21 | 12 | 61 | 255 | 68 | 23 | 3 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.7% | 1.93 | 3.60 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 45 | 0 | 58 | 277 | 82 | 42 | 8 | 25.3% | 16.2% | 3.8% | 3.72 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 54 | 28 | 7 | 24.2% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 53 | 27 | 7 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.75 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 52 | 26 | 7 | 23.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 50 | 25 | 7 | 23.7% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 48 | 25 | 7 | 23.4% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 45 | 24 | 7 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 22.9% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 22.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 22.1% | 12.9% | 3.7% | 5.22 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 21.7% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 5.34 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 83 | 22 | 170 | 748 | 172 | 98 | 19 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 4.18 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 26 | 200 | 880 | 202 | 115 | 22 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 4.18 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Jennings (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 24.2% | 12.5% | 3.2% | — | 4.79 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 154 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 87 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.41 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .360 | 5.38 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.97 | 3.46 | 173 | 87 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 85 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 242 | 85 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.62 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.2% | .252 | 4.15 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.53 | 3.07 | 307 | 85 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .247 | 3.31 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.52 | 3.31 | 159 | 84 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 84 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 83 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 176 | 83 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 82 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 82 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.99 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +1.06 | 3.83 | 181 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 81 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 81 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 81 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Matt Blackham R 2025 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 25.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | .206 | 6.88 | 26.9% | 8.7% | 25 | +2.97 | 2.08 | 187 | 81 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.93 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .269 | 2.95 | 32.2% | 22.0% | 79 | -0.98 | 2.65 | 550 | 81 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.