Ryan Jennings
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
K%24.7%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 5 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.1% | 15.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.16 | 4.77 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 5 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.1% | 15.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.16 | 4.90 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 43 | 178 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 83% | 3.6 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 1.2% | 3.98 | 3.29 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 43 | 178 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 83% | 3.6 | 30.9% | 9.6% | 21.3% | 1.7% | 3.98 | 2.63 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 12 | 61 | 255 | 68 | 23 | 3 | 57% | 2.9 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 1.93 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 12 | 61 | 255 | 68 | 23 | 3 | 57% | 2.9 | 26.7% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 1.2% | 1.93 | 2.64 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 58 | 277 | 82 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.72 | 5.51 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 58 | 277 | 82 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 3.72 | 4.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 73 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 70 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 66 | 34 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 61 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 105 | 0 | 110 | 464 | 112 | 58 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 4.64 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 105 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 83 | 22 | 170 | 748 | 172 | 98 | 20 | 27% | 2.0 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.07 | 4.28 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 26 | 200 | 880 | 202 | 116 | 23 | 27% | 2.0 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.07 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Jennings (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 3.4% | — | 5.00 | 24.1% | 11.7% | 194 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 80 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 80 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 79 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 79 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 79 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 79 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 78 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 78 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 78 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 78 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 78 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 78 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.12 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 414 | 77 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 77 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 77 |
| Tayler Scott R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.45 | 24.1% | 10.8% | 3.7% | .352 | 3.45 | 24.8% | 16.1% | 56 | -1.00 | 3.20 | 528 | 77 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.38 | 4.92 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |