Cody Tucker
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151141vR 132
ERA5.88
FIP5.88
K%16.7%
BB%17.2%
K-BB%-0.5%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 1.29 | -0.28 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 1.29 | 0.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 65 | 282 | 82 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 4.73 | 4.98 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 65 | 282 | 82 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.8 | 29.1% | 10.3% | 18.8% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 28 | 1 | 40 | 195 | 40 | 30 | 5 | 4% | 1.4 | 15.8% | 17.7% | -1.9% | 2.0% | 5.62 | 5.11 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 28 | 1 | 40 | 195 | 40 | 30 | 5 | 4% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 15.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 5.62 | 4.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 42 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 17.2% | -0.5% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 42 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 16.6% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 5.78 | 5.81 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 41 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 16.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.76 | 5.83 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 16.6% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 5.78 | 5.81 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 16.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.76 | 5.83 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 38 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 16.4% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.77 | 5.44 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 140 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 16.4% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.77 | 5.44 | -0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 1 | 112 | 502 | 103 | 68 | 15 | 1% | 1.6 | 20.5% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.77 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 2 | 200 | 899 | 184 | 122 | 27 | 1% | 1.6 | 20.5% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cody Tucker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.88 | 16.7% | 17.2% | 3.0% | — | 5.82 | 17.4% | 1.0% | 113 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Trey Haley R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 85 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 85 |
| Haden Erbe R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 82 |
| Mike Hepple R 2025 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 81 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.16 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.35 | 22.6% | 15.5% | 34 | -1.81 | 3.88 | 158 | 81 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2024 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 81 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.18 | 17.1% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .226 | 4.66 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 33 | -0.52 | 3.72 | 197 | 81 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.85 | 19.1% | 16.2% | 2.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 231 | 80 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 80 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.74 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 2.3% | .333 | 4.50 | 13.9% | 4.6% | 122 | -0.24 | 3.92 | 256 | 80 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 80 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 15.3% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .239 | 5.47 | 17.4% | 6.7% | 96 | +0.68 | 3.33 | 258 | 80 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 79 |
| Connor Law R 2026 · 6.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.22 | 16.2% | 17.2% | 4.2% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 110 | 79 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 79 |
| Stevie Branche R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 79 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2025 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 79 |
| Kyle McMyne R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 181 | 78 |
| Mitchell Osnowitz R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.36 | 16.5% | 18.7% | 2.3% | .366 | 5.45 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 42 | +0.09 | 4.47 | 132 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 17.1% | 16.7% | 1.19 | 5.81 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |