Hunter Dollander P Birmingham Barons
+0.2 WAR
Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 232 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP
SIERA
K%22.8%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.5%
IP50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202225A+Winston-Salem Dash1410662657312719.2%5.7%3.1%3.683.90+0.8
202326AABirmingham Barons2735125657421117.6%18.3%5.2%7.716.77-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
202629MLBCWS50502124822722.8%10.2%3.1%4.554.55+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202730MLBCWS49492064721622.6%10.2%3.2%4.574.59+0.2
202831MLBCWS47471994520622.4%10.3%3.2%4.614.65+0.2
202932MLBCWS45451914220622.2%10.4%3.3%4.674.72+0.1
203033MLBCWS43431824019621.9%10.5%3.4%4.754.81+0.1
203134MLBCWS41411733719621.6%10.7%3.5%4.854.92+0.0
203235MLBCWS39391633518621.2%10.9%3.6%4.965.04-0.0
203336MLBCWS36361523217620.8%11.2%3.7%5.095.17-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career411311752196622118.4%11.9%4.1%5.455.31-0.0
/ 200 IP70222008881641063618.4%11.9%4.1%5.455.31-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hunter Dollander (OGILVIE) 4.55 22.8%10.2%3.1% 4.65 22.4%12.1%141 +0.10
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 29 SW 4.03 24.4%10.9%2.9%.311 2.38 20.9%12.6%25 -1.65 2.38 160 88
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 29 SW 4.25 19.2%8.5%3.1%.275 3.71 18.5%11.1%152 -0.54 3.46 295 86
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP 31 SW 3.73 24.5%8.2%3.0%.325 3.80 21.7%13.5%76 +0.07 3.65 137 86
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 29 SW 3.56 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.23 21.3%12.5%114 -0.33 2.83 228 86
Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP 28 SW 3.68 25.0%7.7%3.1%.289 3.07 24.2%17.9%130 -0.61 2.31 403 84
Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP 30 SW 3.72 20.4%11.7%1.6%.287 3.88 20.6%8.4%77 +0.16 3.38 129 84
Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP 31 SW 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.68 16.9%7.2%90 +2.22 3.46 160 84
Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 29 SW 3.81 19.5%7.3%2.6%.289 4.32 19.4%8.4%10 +0.51 2.26 172 83
Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 29 SW 3.41 20.4%9.8%1.4%.283 4.31 18.7%6.1%24 +0.90 3.41 104 83
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 28 SW 4.82 20.1%11.6%3.6%.275 6.70 13.9%-1.9%30 +1.88 3.88 180 83
Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.45 FIP 32 SW 3.45 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.18 22.5%11.1%91 -0.27 2.48 147 83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2028 · 3.38 FIP 31 SW 3.38 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.98 23.3%13.2%105 +0.60 3.38 212 82
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 29 SW 3.92 21.7%7.6%3.1%.272 3.62 22.3%11.3%62 -0.30 3.62 224 82
Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 29 SW 3.77 20.6%10.9%1.9%.281 3.74 21.6%12.6%179 -0.03 2.26 602 82
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 29 SU 3.75 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 3.12 17.8%11.9%54 -0.63 2.31 187 82
Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP 31 SW 5.21 19.1%9.4%4.6%.253 3.95 17.2%8.0%67 -1.26 3.80 132 82
Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 29 SW 3.81 20.8%9.7%2.2%.353 4.68 22.5%16.5%127 +0.87 2.67 279 82
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP 30 SW 4.30 21.3%13.9%2.3%.303 3.87 19.5%13.0%193 -0.43 3.01 260 81
Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.63 FIP 28 SW 3.63 22.4%8.6%2.4%.307 3.18 124 81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 21.3%8.5%3.6%.241 3.99 18.5%11.9%118 -0.34 3.47 149 81

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.