Stevie Branche
P
Louisville Bats
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%22.7%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 1 | 58 | 250 | 100 | 35 | 2 | 3% | 1.9 | 30.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 2.78 | 3.25 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 1 | 58 | 250 | 100 | 35 | 2 | 3% | 1.9 | 40.0% | 14.0% | 26.0% | 0.8% | 2.78 | 1.92 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 28 | 0 | 35 | 176 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 20.6% | 0.5% | 4.2% | 5.97 | 6.21 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 28 | 0 | 35 | 176 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 5.97 | 5.55 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 43 | 196 | 61 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.6% | 19.1% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 4.57 | 4.03 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 43 | 196 | 61 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.1% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 1.0% | 4.57 | 3.17 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 30 | 149 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.8% | 20.5% | -0.8% | 3.3% | 4.75 | 5.82 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 30 | 149 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 18.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 5.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 109 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 1 | 167 | 771 | 192 | 145 | 17 | 1% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 4.27 | 4.62 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 142 | 1 | 200 | 925 | 230 | 174 | 21 | 1% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 4.27 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Stevie Branche (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 20 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 86 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 83 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 81 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 78 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 77 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 77 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.37 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 163 | 76 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 76 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.97 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.1% | .237 | 4.27 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.70 | 2.40 | 231 | 76 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 76 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 76 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 76 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 76 |