Stevie Branche — OGILVIE

Stevie Branche P Louisville Bats

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.28

K%21.1%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	58	250	100	35	2	3%	1.9	30.0%	16.4%	13.6%	1.1%	2.78	3.23	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	58	250	100	35	2	3%	1.9	40.0%	14.0%	26.0%	0.8%	2.78	1.92	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	28	0	35	176	46	33	6	0%	1.2	21.2%	20.6%	0.5%	4.1%	5.97	6.19	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	28	0	35	176	46	33	6	0%	1.2	26.1%	18.8%	7.4%	3.4%	5.97	5.55	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	43	196	61	33	2	0%	1.3	25.6%	19.1%	6.5%	1.2%	4.57	4.04	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	43	196	61	33	2	0%	1.3	25.6%	19.1%	6.5%	1.2%	4.57	4.04	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	43	196	61	33	2	0%	1.3	31.1%	16.8%	14.3%	1.0%	4.57	3.17	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	30	149	34	28	5	0%	1.2	18.6%	17.6%	1.0%	3.6%	4.75	5.73	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	30	149	34	28	5	0%	1.2	18.6%	17.6%	1.0%	3.6%	4.75	5.73	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	30	149	34	28	5	0%	1.2	22.8%	18.8%	4.0%	3.4%	4.75	5.77	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	CIN	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.1%	15.2%	5.9%	3.0%	5.28	5.28	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	18	13	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	14.9%	6.1%	3.2%	5.29	5.36	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	CIN	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.9%	6.1%	3.2%	5.29	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	5	1	0%	1.1	21.0%	14.9%	6.1%	3.2%	5.29	4.98	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	136	27	0%	1.1	21.0%	14.9%	6.1%	3.2%	5.29	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		118	1	167	771	190	141	18	1%	1.4	24.7%	18.3%	6.4%	2.3%	4.27	4.60	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	1	200	925	228	169	21	1%	1.4	24.7%	18.3%	6.4%	2.3%	4.27	4.60	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stevie Branche (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	21.1%	15.2%	3.0%	—	5.36	21.0%	6.1%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	86
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	84
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	78
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	78
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	78
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	77
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	76
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	76
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	75
Jordan Jankowski R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	21.8%	16.9%	2.5%	.396	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	196	73
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	73
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	73
Irving Jimenez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	27	SU	4.51	18.9%	12.4%	2.6%	.417	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	104	73
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	72
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	72
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	72
Roman Mendez R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	20.8%	11.1%	3.0%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	230	72
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	72