Tyler Davis
P
Chicago White Sox
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.18
FIP4.18
K%22.7%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7496.2
Whiff%
p3723.4%
K%
p4120.8%
xwOBA vs
p750.288
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 26 | 1 | 42 | 179 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 4% | 1.6 | 21.0% | 18.8% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 3.46 | 6.67 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 26 | 1 | 42 | 179 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 4% | 1.6 | 26.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 3.46 | 4.44 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 41 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 64 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 0.9% | 3.17 | 3.34 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 41 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 64 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.2% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 0.4% | 3.17 | 2.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 34 | 0 | 38 | 155 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 4.46 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 59 | 242 | 54 | 30 | 6 | — | — | 22.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.36 | 4.02 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 47 | 198 | 54 | 30 | 6 | — | — | 27.1% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 66 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 62 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 63 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 164 | 0 | 173 | 726 | 163 | 92 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.22 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 838 | 188 | 106 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 1 | 134 | 561 | 122 | 82 | 15 | 1% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 3.63 | 4.57 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 151 | 1 | 200 | 837 | 181 | 123 | 22 | 1% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 3.63 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Davis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 23.8% | 13.2% | 2.6% | — | 4.65 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 133 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 87 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 83 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 82 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 82 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 82 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 82 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.59 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 0.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 160 | 81 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .269 | 3.14 | 32.2% | 22.0% | 79 | -0.79 | 2.83 | 577 | 81 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 81 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 81 |
| Kyle Grana R 2024 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.67 | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 109 | 81 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .333 | 3.63 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.23 | 2.59 | 280 | 80 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 60 | 23.1% | 12.9% | 1.04 | 4.60 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |