Peyton Gray
P
Texas Rangers
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10697vR 87
ERA3.78
FIP3.78
K%23.6%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%15.8%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p5726.4%
K%
p6625.2%
xwOBA vs
p830.280
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 71 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.9 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 2.80 | 4.31 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 71 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.9 | 37.0% | 12.0% | 25.0% | 2.6% | 2.80 | 2.92 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 2 | 73 | 307 | 89 | 27 | 8 | 4% | 1.6 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 3.58 | 4.56 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 2 | 73 | 307 | 89 | 27 | 8 | 4% | 1.6 | 29.0% | 8.8% | 20.2% | 2.6% | 3.58 | 3.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 34 | 0 | 46 | 192 | 52 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.2% | 6.1% | 19.0% | 2.0% | 2.53 | 2.87 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | TEX | 30 | 0 | 31 | 133 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 3.1% | 3.78 | 3.78 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | TEX | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 3.1% | 3.78 | 3.78 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 78 | 325 | 83 | 21 | 7 | — | — | 25.6% | 6.6% | 19.1% | 2.2% | 3.03 | 3.24 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 65 | 275 | 83 | 21 | 7 | — | — | 30.3% | 7.8% | 22.5% | 2.6% | 3.62 | 2.94 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 58 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 52 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 4.52 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 46 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 55 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 49 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 4.52 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 205 | 0 | 220 | 934 | 215 | 77 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 3.98 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 195 | 70 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 103 | 2 | 164 | 691 | 174 | 67 | 23 | 2% | 1.6 | 25.2% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 3.3% | 3.07 | 4.02 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 2 | 200 | 841 | 212 | 81 | 28 | 2% | 1.6 | 25.2% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 3.3% | 3.07 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Gray (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | — | 4.65 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 166 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 87 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 85 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 85 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.38 | 3.40 | 295 | 82 |
| Carlos Villanueva R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.53 | 22.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .259 | 5.02 | 19.0% | 15.9% | 74 | +1.49 | 3.53 | 135 | 82 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 81 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 21.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | .256 | 4.04 | 20.1% | 14.5% | 151 | -0.25 | 2.80 | 288 | 81 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 81 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 81 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 80 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 80 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 28.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .269 | 3.84 | 28.4% | 21.3% | 195 | +0.48 | 2.61 | 339 | 79 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 79 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 27.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.93 | 28.0% | 19.4% | 191 | +0.04 | 2.49 | 417 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 78 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 1.35 | 4.52 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |