Chris Martin
P
Texas Rangers
Age 40
RHP
6'8" / 224 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9687vR 77
ERA3.34
FIP3.32
K%22.6%
BB%2.7%
K-BB%19.9%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p1015.9%
K%
p1013.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.408
SI (12%)
CU (6%)
SL (6%)
CT (42%)
FB-0.6 (38%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 49 | 221 | 43 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 1.5% | 4.22 | 3.28 | +0.7 |
| 2015 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 49 | 221 | 43 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 1.4% | 4.22 | 3.06 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.9% | 1.7% | 19.2% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 3.06 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 1.6% | 20.1% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 2.92 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 58 | 0 | 56 | 216 | 65 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 2.3% | 27.8% | 4.2% | 3.40 | 3.14 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 58 | 0 | 56 | 216 | 65 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 2.3% | 27.8% | 4.2% | 3.40 | 3.14 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 19 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 3.0% | 27.3% | 1.5% | 1.00 | 1.76 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 19 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 3.0% | 27.3% | 1.5% | 1.00 | 1.93 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.2% | 2.8% | 15.5% | 2.2% | 4.21 | 3.12 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.8% | 3.0% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 4.21 | 3.01 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60 | 0 | 56 | 225 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.9% | 1.8% | 31.1% | 2.8% | 3.05 | 2.10 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60 | 0 | 56 | 225 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.9% | 1.8% | 31.1% | 2.7% | 3.05 | 2.06 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 52 | 205 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.1% | 2.5% | 20.6% | 1.0% | 1.03 | 2.01 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 52 | 205 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 2.4% | 20.0% | 1.0% | 1.03 | 2.13 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 45 | 184 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 1.1% | 26.7% | 2.8% | 3.38 | 2.40 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 45 | 184 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 1.6% | 25.5% | 2.7% | 3.38 | 2.53 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 39 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 43 | 177 | 44 | 5 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.7% | 2.9% | 21.8% | 3.4% | 2.91 | 3.22 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 39 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 43 | 177 | 44 | 5 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.9% | 2.8% | 22.0% | 3.4% | 2.91 | 3.22 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 20 | 1 | 18 | 85 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0.9 | 13.6% | 3.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 9.68 | 5.66 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 40 | MLB | TEX | 25 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 2.7% | 19.9% | 3.2% | 3.34 | 3.32 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 40 | MLB | TEX | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 2.7% | 19.9% | 3.2% | 3.34 | 3.32 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 40 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 44 | 198 | 36 | 5 | 10 | — | — | 18.4% | 2.6% | 15.9% | 4.9% | 5.86 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 40 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 41 | 172 | 36 | 5 | 10 | — | — | 21.2% | 2.9% | 18.3% | 5.6% | 6.39 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 41 | MLB | TEX | 36 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 35 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 3.4% | 18.6% | 3.7% | 3.94 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 42 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 29 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 4.1% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 4.30 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 43 | MLB | TEX | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 4.70 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 41 | MLB | TEX | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 35 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 3.4% | 18.6% | 3.7% | 3.94 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 42 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 29 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 4.1% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 4.30 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 43 | MLB | TEX | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 4.70 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 538 | 0 | 513 | 2114 | 508 | 58 | 65 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 2.7% | 21.3% | 3.1% | 3.56 | 3.10 | +13.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 210 | 0 | 200 | 824 | 198 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 2.7% | 21.3% | 3.1% | 3.56 | 3.10 | +5.4 | ||
| Career | — | 452 | 1 | 429 | 1765 | 428 | 50 | 47 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.3% | 2.8% | 21.4% | 2.7% | 3.44 | 2.89 | +12.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 211 | 0 | 200 | 823 | 200 | 23 | 22 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.3% | 2.8% | 21.4% | 2.7% | 3.44 | 2.89 | +5.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.29 | 25.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.50 | 20.9% | 16.9% | 99 | +1.21 | — | — | — |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 65 |
| Jose Valverde R 2025 · 2.19 FIP | 39 | SU | 2.19 | 25.4% | 6.3% | 0.8% | .350 | 5.20 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 38 | +3.01 | 2.19 | 122 | 60 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 40 | SU | 4.35 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 164 | 59 |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 2.27 FIP | 40 | SU | 2.27 | 29.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | .245 | 3.36 | 31.3% | 26.0% | 90 | +1.09 | 2.27 | 130 | 58 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 2.67 FIP | 40 | SU | 2.67 | 28.1% | 10.0% | 1.2% | .264 | 3.93 | 24.0% | 12.3% | 112 | +1.26 | 2.67 | 295 | 57 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.31 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.7% | .293 | 3.98 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.67 | 3.31 | 123 | 47 |
| Manny Acosta R 2024 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 102 | 43 |
| Luis Ayala R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 38 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 41 | SW | 4.46 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.3% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 3 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 35 | 22.2% | 3.7% | 1.46 | 3.99 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Craig Stammen ('22) | 6 | 66 | 23.0% | 5.4% | 1.19 | 3.36 |
| Dan Otero ('19) | 5 | 53 | 16.7% | 3.0% | 1.12 | 3.93 |
| Yusmeiro Petit ('21) | 7 | 72 | 20.4% | 4.6% | 1.27 | 3.28 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Nick Vincent ('20) | 6 | 45 | 22.7% | 6.3% | 1.13 | 3.71 |