Chris Martin — OGILVIE

Chris Martin P Texas Rangers

Age 40 RHP 6'8" / 224 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9385vR 77

ERA3.20

FIP3.17

K%22.6%

BB%2.7%

K-BB%19.9%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL7575

CMD7070

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1015.9%

p1013.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.408

SI (12%)

CU (6%)

SL (6%)

CT (42%)

FB-0.6 (38%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	49	221	43	15	3	0%	1.1	18.1%	7.0%	11.1%	1.4%	4.22	3.24	+0.8
2015	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	49	221	43	15	3	0%	1.1	19.5%	6.8%	12.7%	1.4%	4.22	3.06	+0.9
2018	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	45	189	41	3	5	0%	0.9	20.9%	1.7%	19.2%	2.7%	4.23	3.04	+0.8
2018	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	45	189	41	3	5	0%	0.9	21.7%	1.6%	20.1%	2.6%	4.23	2.92	+0.9
2019	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	58	0	56	216	65	5	9	0%	1.0	30.1%	2.3%	27.8%	4.2%	3.40	3.14	+0.9
2019	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	58	0	56	216	65	5	9	0%	1.0	30.1%	2.3%	27.8%	4.2%	3.40	3.14	+0.9
2020	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	19	0	18	66	20	2	1	0%	0.9	30.3%	3.0%	27.3%	1.5%	1.00	1.76	+0.6
2020	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	19	0	18	66	20	2	1	0%	0.9	30.3%	3.0%	27.3%	1.5%	1.00	1.93	+0.6
2021	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	47	197	37	6	4	0%	0.9	18.2%	2.8%	15.5%	2.2%	4.21	3.12	+0.8
2021	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	47	197	37	6	4	0%	0.9	18.8%	3.0%	15.7%	2.0%	4.21	3.01	+0.9
2022	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	0	56	225	74	4	6	0%	0.9	32.9%	1.8%	31.1%	2.6%	3.05	1.95	+1.8
2022	36	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	0	56	225	74	4	6	0%	0.9	32.9%	1.8%	31.1%	2.7%	3.05	2.06	+1.7
2023	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	205	46	5	2	0%	0.9	23.1%	2.5%	20.6%	1.0%	1.03	2.03	+1.6
2023	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	205	46	5	2	0%	0.9	23.1%	2.5%	20.6%	1.0%	1.03	2.03	+1.6
2023	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	52	205	46	5	2	0%	0.9	22.4%	2.4%	20.0%	1.0%	1.03	2.13	+1.5
2024	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	45	184	50	3	5	0%	1.0	27.8%	1.1%	26.7%	2.8%	3.38	2.46	+1.1
2024	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	45	184	50	3	5	0%	1.0	27.8%	1.1%	26.7%	2.8%	3.38	2.46	+1.1
2024	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	45	184	50	3	5	0%	1.0	27.2%	1.6%	25.5%	2.7%	3.38	2.53	+1.1
2025	39	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	177	44	5	6	0%	0.9	24.7%	2.9%	21.8%	3.2%	2.91	3.14	+0.7
2025	39	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	177	44	5	6	0%	0.9	24.7%	2.9%	21.8%	3.2%	2.91	3.14	+0.7
2025	39	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	43	177	44	5	6	0%	0.9	24.9%	2.8%	22.0%	3.4%	2.91	3.22	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			418	0	387	1583	395	38	44	0%	0.9	25.0%	2.4%	22.6%	2.8%	3.39	2.83	+8.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	40	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	26	1	23	106	14	2	6	4%	0.9	13.6%	3.0%	10.6%	5.6%	8.22	5.43	-0.2
YTD	40	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	26	1	23	106	14	2	6	4%	0.9	13.6%	3.0%	10.6%	5.6%	8.22	5.43	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	40	AA RAW	TEX	1	1	1	4	2	0	0	100%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	40	AAA RAW	TEX	9	0	8	36	3	0	2	0%	0.9	8.3%	0.0%	8.3%	5.6%	7.88	5.45	—
2026	40	MLB RAW	TEX	16	0	14	66	9	2	4	0%	0.9	13.6%	3.0%	10.6%	6.1%	9.00	5.66	-0.2
SO FAR	40	MLB RAW	TEX	16	0	14	66	9	2	4	0%	0.9	13.6%	3.0%	10.6%	6.1%	9.00	5.66	-0.2
ROS	40	MLB MLE	TEX	4	0	4	16	4	0	0	0%	0.9	22.6%	2.7%	19.9%	3.0%	3.20	3.17	+0.1
ROS	40	MLB CTX	TEX	4	0	4	17	4	0	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	2.7%	19.9%	3.0%	3.20	3.17	+0.1
2026 TOT	40	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	27	122	18	2	6	—	—	14.4%	2.0%	12.4%	5.3%	7.52	5.11	-0.2
FULL	40	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	18	75	18	2	6	—	—	23.5%	3.2%	20.2%	8.6%	11.33	6.27	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	41	MLB MLE	TEX	36	0	38	161	35	6	6	0%	1.1	22.0%	3.4%	18.6%	3.7%	3.93	4.09	+0.2
2027	41	MLB CTX	TEX	36	0	38	160	35	6	6	0%	1.1	22.0%	3.4%	18.6%	3.7%	3.93	4.09	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		458	0	429	1760	434	44	50	0%	0.9	24.7%	2.5%	22.2%	2.9%	3.44	2.91	+8.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		213	0	200	820	202	21	23	0%	0.9	24.7%	2.5%	22.2%	2.9%	3.44	2.91	+3.9
Career	—	MLE		458	1	434	1786	431	51	47	0%	0.9	24.1%	2.8%	21.3%	2.7%	3.44	2.88	+8.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		211	0	200	822	199	23	22	0%	0.9	24.1%	2.8%	21.3%	2.7%	3.44	2.88	+3.8

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Chris Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.27	25.2%	2.7%	2.9%	—	4.09	22.0%	18.6%	38	+0.82	—	—	—
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	64
Jose Valverde R 2017 · 2.21 FIP	39	SU	2.21	25.4%	6.3%	0.8%	.350	5.47	14.9%	8.8%	38	+3.26	2.21	122	61
Fernando Rodney R 2017 · 2.69 FIP	40	SU	2.69	28.1%	10.0%	1.3%	.264	3.97	24.0%	12.3%	112	+1.28	2.69	295	60
Koji Uehara R 2015 · 2.31 FIP	40	SU	2.31	29.4%	5.0%	1.9%	.245	3.47	31.3%	26.0%	90	+1.16	2.31	130	58
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	47
Manny Acosta R 2019 · 3.08 FIP	38	SU	3.08	23.2%	13.3%	0.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	102	44
Luis Ayala R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	39	SU	4.00	15.9%	11.7%	1.4%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	119	39

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	41	23.7%	3.0%	1.26	3.59
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Seunghwan Oh ('18)	1.0	69	27.7%	5.9%	1.00	2.78
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.27	25.2%	2.7%	2.9%	—	4.09	22.0%	18.6%	38	+0.82	—	—	—
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	64
Jose Valverde R 2017 · 2.21 FIP	39	SU	2.21	25.4%	6.3%	0.8%	.350	5.47	14.9%	8.8%	38	+3.26	2.21	122	61
Fernando Rodney R 2017 · 2.69 FIP	40	SU	2.69	28.1%	10.0%	1.3%	.264	3.97	24.0%	12.3%	112	+1.28	2.69	295	60
Koji Uehara R 2015 · 2.31 FIP	40	SU	2.31	29.4%	5.0%	1.9%	.245	3.47	31.3%	26.0%	90	+1.16	2.31	130	58
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	47
Manny Acosta R 2019 · 3.08 FIP	38	SU	3.08	23.2%	13.3%	0.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	102	44
Luis Ayala R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	39	SU	4.00	15.9%	11.7%	1.4%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	119	39

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps