Chris Martin
P
Texas Rangers
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 40
RHP
6'8" / 224 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA3.13
FIP3.60
xFIP2.71
SIERA2.70
K%24.9%
BB%4.3%
K-BB%20.6%
IP30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL7575
CMD7070
K†6060
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p2521.8%
K%
p6524.9%
xwOBA vs
p590.303
SI (11%)
SL (5%)
CT (41%)
FB-0.6 (40%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 44 | 0 | 49 | 221 | 43 | 15 | 3 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 4.22 | 3.18 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 49 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 20.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 2.97 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 58 | 0 | 56 | 216 | 65 | 5 | 9 | 30.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.40 | 3.01 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 19 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 30.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.00 | 1.72 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 35 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 50 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 18.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.21 | 3.13 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60 | 0 | 56 | 225 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 32.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.05 | 1.96 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 37 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 56 | 0 | 52 | 205 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 23.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.03 | 2.07 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 38 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 46 | 0 | 45 | 184 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 27.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.38 | 2.50 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 39 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 50 | 0 | 43 | 177 | 44 | 5 | 6 | 24.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.91 | 3.32 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 8 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | 7.11 | — | — |
| ROS | 40 | MLB | TEX | 8 | — | 8 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.03 | 3.53 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 40 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 15 | 65 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 24.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 2.02 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 41 | MLB | TEX | 27 | — | 27 | 115 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 24.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.43 | 3.70 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 440 | 0 | 418 | 1709 | 424 | 47 | 42 | 24.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.23 | 2.72 | +12.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 211 | 0 | 200 | 818 | 203 | 23 | 20 | 24.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.23 | 2.72 | +5.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.53 | 25.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | — | 3.70 | 24.2% | 20.0% | 27 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 2.35 FIP | 40 | SU | 2.35 | 29.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | .245 | 3.35 | 31.3% | 26.0% | 90 | +1.00 | 2.35 | 130 | 61 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 2.67 FIP | 40 | SW | 2.67 | 28.1% | 10.0% | 1.2% | .264 | 3.91 | 24.0% | 12.3% | 112 | +1.24 | 2.67 | 295 | 60 |
| Jose Contreras R 2029 · 3.54 FIP | 43 | SW | 3.54 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | .263 | 2.98 | 20.5% | 13.4% | 57 | -0.56 | 2.98 | 111 | 59 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 40 | SW | 4.46 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 164 | 58 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2024 · 3.48 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.48 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 119 | 57 |
| Lorenzo Barcelo R 2024 · 3.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.38 | 12.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 199 | 53 |
| Manny Acosta R 2024 · 3.07 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.07 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 102 | 46 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.26 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.6% | .293 | 3.88 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.62 | 3.26 | 123 | 45 |
| Luis Ayala R 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.97 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 119 | 37 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2024 · 4.54 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.54 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 156 | 21 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 40 | SU | 3.92 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% | .238 | 4.13 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 429 | +0.21 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 19 |
| Tim Hudson R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 18 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 40 | SP- | 3.67 | 10.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% | .292 | 4.99 | 9.7% | 0.9% | 118 | +1.32 | 3.67 | 428 | 15 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.64 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 199 | 9 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 41 | SU | 4.55 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.5% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 8 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.94 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 152 | 0 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.38 | 13.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | .298 | 5.22 | 12.4% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.84 | 4.03 | 375 | 0 |
| Brad Penny R 2023 · 3.75 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.75 | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 135 | 0 |
| A.J. Burnett R 2024 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.04 | 20.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 164 | 0 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.48 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.80 | 3.68 | 676 | 0 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.