Austin Love
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 232 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 146 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%24.6%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP146
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 184 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 71% | 1.1 | 48.1% | 3.7% | 44.4% | 3.7% | 1.12 | 1.54 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 71% | 1.1 | 48.1% | 3.7% | 44.4% | 3.7% | 1.12 | 1.85 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 26 | 25 | 126 | 564 | 151 | 52 | 15 | 96% | 4.8 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 5.73 | 4.19 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 26 | 25 | 126 | 564 | 151 | 52 | 15 | 96% | 4.8 | 26.8% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 2.7% | 5.73 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 4.3 | 26.3% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 1.88 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 4.3 | 26.3% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 1.83 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 41 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 63 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 2.41 | 3.51 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 41 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 63 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.3% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 1.3% | 2.41 | 2.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 31 | 0 | 39 | 176 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 15.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.35 | 5.57 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 139 | 0 | 146 | 615 | 151 | 75 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +1.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | STL | — | — | 184 | 791 | 194 | 101 | 22 | — | — | 24.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.63 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | STL | — | — | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.00 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 135 | 0 | 141 | 597 | 144 | 71 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +1.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 128 | 0 | 135 | 570 | 135 | 67 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.57 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | STL | 121 | 0 | 127 | 535 | 125 | 64 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.73 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 54 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 71 | 0 | 75 | 317 | 75 | 37 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | STL | 82 | 0 | 86 | 363 | 85 | 43 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.73 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 207 | 0 | 217 | 918 | 218 | 109 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.22 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 100 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 107 | 32 | 237 | 1036 | 226 | 120 | 26 | 30% | 2.2 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.75 | 4.12 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 27 | 200 | 874 | 191 | 102 | 22 | 30% | 2.2 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.75 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Love (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 2.6% | — | 4.58 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 403 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 71 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 70 |
| Brad Brach R 2028 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 27.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 210 | -0.09 | 2.73 | 410 | 69 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 69 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 68 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 68 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 3.81 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.03 | 3.57 | 224 | 68 |
| Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 68 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 67 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 67 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 67 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.01 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .297 | 5.85 | 13.8% | 3.4% | 53 | +1.84 | 4.01 | 276 | 67 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 67 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 67 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.31 | 19.5% | 7.1% | 1.7% | .272 | 3.73 | 21.9% | 14.4% | 174 | +0.42 | 2.71 | 392 | 67 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 66 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.69 | 19.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | .271 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 148 | -1.01 | 3.52 | 473 | 66 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 66 |
| Trevor Brigden R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.83 | 25.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .247 | 4.96 | 24.9% | 15.0% | 35 | +1.13 | 3.57 | 196 | 66 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 137 | 24.0% | 11.9% | 1.10 | 4.48 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |