Austin Love — OGILVIE

Austin Love P Memphis Redbirds

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 232 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%24.6%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6565

CMD4045

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	5	8	27	13	1	1	71%	1.1	48.1%	3.7%	44.4%	3.7%	1.12	1.54	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	5	8	27	13	1	1	71%	1.1	48.1%	3.7%	44.4%	3.7%	1.12	1.85	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	26	25	126	564	151	52	15	96%	4.8	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	3.0%	5.73	4.34	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	26	25	126	564	151	52	15	96%	4.8	26.8%	9.2%	17.6%	2.7%	5.73	3.49	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	2	2	9	38	10	3	0	100%	4.3	26.3%	7.9%	18.4%	0.0%	6.23	1.88	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	2	2	9	38	10	3	0	100%	4.3	26.3%	7.9%	18.4%	0.0%	6.23	1.88	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	2	2	9	38	10	3	0	100%	4.3	26.3%	7.9%	18.4%	0.0%	6.23	1.83	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	41	0	56	231	63	26	3	0%	1.4	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	1.4%	2.41	3.58	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	41	0	56	231	63	26	3	0%	1.4	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	1.4%	2.41	3.58	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	41	0	56	231	63	26	3	0%	1.4	27.3%	11.3%	16.0%	1.3%	2.41	2.94	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	46	0	54	260	61	40	6	0%	1.2	19.3%	14.8%	4.5%	2.7%	6.46	4.82	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	46	0	54	260	61	40	6	0%	1.2	19.3%	14.8%	4.5%	2.7%	6.46	4.82	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	STL	20	0	25	108	28	12	4	0%	1.3	25.9%	11.1%	14.8%	3.7%	4.26	4.35	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	STL	26	0	29	152	33	28	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	18.4%	3.3%	1.3%	8.38	4.32	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	STL	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.6%	12.4%	12.2%	2.6%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	60	285	67	43	7	—	—	23.6%	15.1%	8.4%	2.3%	6.26	4.78	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	STL	135	0	141	597	144	72	17	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.0%	12.1%	2.8%	4.45	4.49	+0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	STL	128	0	135	570	135	68	17	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.9%	11.8%	2.9%	4.53	4.60	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	STL	121	0	127	535	125	64	17	0%	1.0	23.3%	12.0%	11.3%	3.1%	4.66	4.76	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	STL	57	0	60	253	61	31	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.0%	12.1%	2.8%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	STL	76	0	80	338	80	40	10	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.9%	11.8%	2.9%	4.53	4.60	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	STL	85	0	89	376	88	45	12	0%	1.0	23.3%	12.0%	11.3%	3.1%	4.66	4.76	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		219	0	230	969	230	116	29	0%	1.0	23.7%	12.0%	11.7%	3.0%	4.56	4.25	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	101	25	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.0%	11.7%	3.0%	4.56	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		122	32	253	1120	240	131	28	26%	2.1	21.5%	11.7%	9.8%	2.5%	5.02	4.14	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	25	200	887	190	104	22	26%	2.1	21.5%	11.7%	9.8%	2.5%	5.02	4.14	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Love (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	24.6%	12.4%	2.6%	—	4.61	23.8%	11.8%	403	+0.19	—	—	—
Brad Brach R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	29	SU	3.22	27.5%	10.8%	1.9%	.259	3.13	25.6%	17.1%	210	-0.09	2.69	410	70
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	70
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	69
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	69
Ryan Garton R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	25.2%	11.3%	2.3%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.48	3.14	307	69
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	69
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	69
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	68
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	68
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	67
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	67
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	67
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	67
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	66
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	66
Trevor Brigden R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	27	SU	3.88	24.0%	10.7%	2.6%	.247	5.05	23.5%	15.0%	35	+1.17	3.50	196	66
Tyler Cravy R 2016 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	21.6%	11.0%	2.3%	.297	5.66	13.8%	3.4%	53	+1.71	3.94	276	66
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	66
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	66
Pierce Johnson R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	22.4%	11.3%	2.3%	.269	3.00	32.2%	22.0%	79	-0.92	2.75	593	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	137	24.0%	12.1%	1.11	4.51
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Triston McKenzie ('24)	2.1	105	26.0%	9.4%	1.52	3.94
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Alek Manoah ('24)	2.1	105	23.4%	9.0%	1.03	3.34
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64