Luis Quiñones
P
Wichita Wind Surge
+0.4
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.7%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%10.9%
IP75
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 17 | 17 | 75 | 341 | 115 | 65 | 6 | 26.6% | 21.5% | 2.3% | 4.06 | 4.83 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 21 | 17 | 78 | 341 | 105 | 54 | 7 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.6% | 5.21 | 4.78 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 31 | 13 | 93 | 395 | 110 | 39 | 19 | 23.5% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 5.30 | 5.75 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 36 | 1 | 74 | 343 | 85 | 50 | 4 | 21.5% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 5.09 | 3.92 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 8.10 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 14 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 72 | 37 | 9 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.58 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 79 | 336 | 79 | 43 | 9 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 4.35 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 73 | 307 | 69 | 36 | 9 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.61 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 66 | 34 | 9 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.66 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 285 | 63 | 33 | 9 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.73 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 60 | 32 | 8 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 56 | 31 | 8 | 21.5% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 52 | 30 | 8 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 47 | 28 | 8 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 111 | 50 | 328 | 1453 | 350 | 235 | 46 | 24.1% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 4.84 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 30 | 200 | 886 | 213 | 143 | 28 | 24.1% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 4.84 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Quiñones (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.67 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 211 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 89 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 87 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.41 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .283 | 4.31 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.90 | 3.41 | 104 | 87 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 86 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 85 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 85 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.77 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.74 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | -0.03 | 2.26 | 602 | 85 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 84 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 84 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 83 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 82 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.44 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .348 | 2.85 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 199 | 81 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 81 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 81 |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.40 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .356 | 3.44 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 141 | +0.04 | 2.83 | 432 | 80 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .353 | 4.68 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 127 | +0.87 | 2.67 | 279 | 80 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.63 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 124 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.