Luis Quiñones — OGILVIE

Luis Quiñones P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%21.3%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	75	341	115	65	6	100%	4.4	26.6%	21.5%	5.0%	2.3%	4.06	4.82	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	75	341	115	65	6	100%	4.4	33.7%	19.1%	14.7%	1.8%	4.06	3.67	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	78	341	105	54	7	81%	3.7	23.5%	17.5%	6.0%	2.6%	5.21	4.77	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	17	78	341	105	54	7	81%	3.7	30.8%	15.8%	15.0%	2.1%	5.21	3.65	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	13	93	395	110	39	19	42%	3.0	23.5%	10.4%	13.1%	6.0%	5.30	5.75	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	13	93	395	110	39	19	42%	3.0	23.5%	10.4%	13.1%	6.0%	5.30	5.75	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	13	93	395	110	39	19	42%	3.0	27.8%	9.9%	18.0%	4.8%	5.30	4.64	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	74	343	85	50	4	3%	2.1	20.3%	13.0%	7.3%	1.3%	5.09	3.75	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	74	343	85	50	4	3%	2.1	20.3%	13.0%	7.3%	1.3%	5.09	3.75	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	74	343	85	50	4	3%	2.1	24.8%	14.6%	10.2%	1.2%	5.09	3.53	—
2025	28	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	3	2	3	14	6	2	1	67%	1.1	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	7.1%	8.10	5.21	—
2025	28	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	3	2	3	14	6	2	1	67%	1.1	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	7.1%	8.10	5.21	—
2025	28	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	3	2	3	14	6	2	1	67%	1.1	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	7.1%	8.10	5.20	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	18	1	21	91	35	20	2	6%	1.2	30.7%	24.0%	6.7%	2.8%	3.43	5.06	—
YTD	29	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	18	1	21	91	35	20	2	6%	1.2	30.7%	24.0%	6.7%	2.8%	3.43	5.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	A RAW	MIN	1	1	1	4	2	1	0	100%	1.0	50.0%	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.04	—
2026	29	AA RAW	MIN	17	0	20	87	33	19	2	0%	1.2	37.9%	21.8%	16.1%	2.3%	3.60	3.93	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIN	47	0	49	208	44	25	6	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	3.0%	4.76	4.83	-0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIN	44	0	46	194	41	23	6	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.0%	8.9%	3.2%	4.89	5.00	-0.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	MIN	41	0	43	180	37	22	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.2%	8.3%	3.4%	5.05	5.19	-0.3
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIN	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	3.0%	4.76	4.83	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIN	23	0	24	101	21	12	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.0%	8.9%	3.2%	4.89	5.00	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	MIN	27	0	28	118	24	14	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.2%	8.3%	3.4%	5.05	5.19	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	67	282	59	34	9	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.1%	8.8%	3.3%	4.93	4.66	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	102	27	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.1%	8.8%	3.3%	4.93	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		126	51	345	1525	367	243	48	40%	2.7	24.1%	15.9%	8.2%	3.2%	4.88	4.83	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	30	200	884	213	141	28	40%	2.7	24.1%	15.9%	8.2%	3.2%	4.88	4.83	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Quiñones (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	21.3%	11.8%	2.8%	—	5.00	20.9%	8.9%	138	+0.31	—	—	—
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	82
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	80
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	75
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	75
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	74
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	72
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	72
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	72
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	71
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	71
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	71
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	71
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	71
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	70
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	69
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	69
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	48	21.0%	12.0%	1.19	4.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64