Luis Quiñones
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%22.7%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 75 | 341 | 115 | 65 | 6 | 100% | 4.4 | 26.6% | 21.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 4.06 | 4.89 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 75 | 341 | 115 | 65 | 6 | 100% | 4.4 | 33.7% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 1.8% | 4.06 | 3.67 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 17 | 78 | 341 | 105 | 54 | 7 | 81% | 3.7 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 5.21 | 4.73 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 17 | 78 | 341 | 105 | 54 | 7 | 81% | 3.7 | 30.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 5.21 | 3.65 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 13 | 93 | 395 | 110 | 39 | 19 | 42% | 3.0 | 23.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 5.30 | 5.75 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 13 | 93 | 395 | 110 | 39 | 19 | 42% | 3.0 | 27.8% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 4.8% | 5.30 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 74 | 343 | 85 | 50 | 4 | 3% | 2.1 | 21.5% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 5.09 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 74 | 343 | 85 | 50 | 4 | 3% | 2.1 | 24.8% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 1.2% | 5.09 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 1.1 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 7.1% | 8.10 | 5.21 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 1.1 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 7.1% | 8.10 | 5.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 14 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 29 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.2% | 24.1% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 3.18 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 50 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 70 | 295 | 79 | 42 | 7 | — | — | 26.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 4.24 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 47 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 39 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.96 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.96 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 65 | 0 | 68 | 286 | 63 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.56 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 103 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 50 | 341 | 1507 | 367 | 246 | 47 | 41% | 2.8 | 24.4% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.84 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 29 | 200 | 884 | 215 | 144 | 28 | 41% | 2.8 | 24.4% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Quiñones (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.90 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 138 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 80 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 77 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 73 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 73 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 71 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 71 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 71 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 71 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 71 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 70 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 70 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 70 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 69 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 69 |
| Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.94 | 22.8% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .278 | 3.42 | 27.3% | 14.2% | 51 | -0.52 | 3.22 | 537 | 69 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 69 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 68 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 68 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 68 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 1.19 | 4.74 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |