Shintaro Fujinami

Shintaro Fujinami P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 32 RHP 6'6" / 180 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 110

ERA5.17

FIP5.09

K%26.3%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.4

Whiff%

p8130.1%

p5523.2%

xwOBA vs

p310.334

CT+2.8

SL-1.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	64	7	79	357	83	44	9	11%	1.2	23.2%	12.3%	10.9%	2.5%	7.18	4.09	+0.4
2023	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	64	7	79	357	83	44	9	11%	1.2	23.2%	12.3%	10.9%	2.5%	7.18	4.09	+0.4
2023	29	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	64	7	79	357	83	44	9	11%	1.2	23.2%	12.3%	10.9%	2.5%	7.18	4.15	+0.4
2024	30	MIX MLE	4 levels	33	1	36	160	44	33	2	3%	1.1	21.3%	20.1%	1.2%	1.4%	5.94	4.61	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	4 levels	33	1	36	160	44	33	2	3%	1.1	21.3%	20.1%	1.2%	1.4%	5.94	4.61	—
2024	30	MIX RAW	4 levels	33	1	36	160	44	33	2	3%	1.1	27.5%	20.6%	6.9%	1.2%	5.94	4.12	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	21	0	19	95	24	26	0	0%	0.9	21.0%	24.6%	-3.7%	0.0%	5.79	4.45	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	21	0	19	95	24	26	0	0%	0.9	21.0%	24.6%	-3.7%	0.0%	5.79	4.45	—
2025	31	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	21	0	19	95	24	26	0	0%	0.9	25.3%	27.4%	-2.1%	0.0%	5.79	4.71	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			64	7	79	357	83	44	9	11%	1.2	23.2%	12.3%	10.9%	2.5%	7.18	4.15	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	SEA	4	0	4	17	4	3	0	0%	1.0	26.3%	19.1%	7.2%	2.6%	5.17	5.09	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	SEA	46	0	49	206	52	38	6	0%	1.1	25.1%	18.5%	6.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.29	-0.4
2028	34	MLB MLE	SEA	42	0	44	187	45	34	6	0%	1.1	24.1%	18.3%	5.8%	3.2%	5.37	5.52	-0.5
2027	33	MLB CTX	SEA	17	0	18	76	19	14	2	0%	1.1	25.1%	18.5%	6.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.29	-0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	SEA	13	0	14	59	14	11	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	18.3%	5.8%	3.2%	5.37	5.52	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		95	7	111	493	117	69	13	7%	1.2	23.6%	14.0%	9.6%	2.7%	6.63	4.34	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		170	13	200	887	210	124	23	7%	1.2	23.6%	14.0%	9.6%	2.7%	6.63	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		118	8	134	612	137	100	11	7%	1.1	22.4%	16.3%	6.1%	1.8%	6.65	4.28	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		176	12	200	913	205	149	17	7%	1.1	22.4%	16.3%	6.1%	1.8%	6.65	4.28	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shintaro Fujinami (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	26.3%	19.1%	2.6%	—	5.40	24.6%	6.2%	93	+0.31	—	—	—
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	66
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	62
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	60
AJ Ramos R 2018 · 5.02 FIP	31	SU	5.02	25.0%	17.0%	3.4%	.292	4.60	27.3%	16.6%	53	-0.42	2.55	266	60
Matt Bush R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	32	SU	4.72	17.6%	13.0%	2.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	59
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	59
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	59
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	59
Arquimedes Caminero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	32	SU	4.62	18.6%	11.1%	3.1%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	173	58
Luis García R 2019 · 5.34 FIP	32	SU	5.34	20.5%	11.5%	4.6%	.273	2.51	25.7%	19.8%	112	-2.83	2.33	617	58
Antonio Guzman R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	31	SU	4.96	19.3%	14.7%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	254	56
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	56
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	55
Fredy Quintero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	31	SU	4.62	17.2%	13.7%	2.2%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	241	55
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	54
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	54
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	54
David Phelps R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	24.5%	10.9%	3.5%	.289	3.46	26.7%	16.6%	84	-0.89	2.50	373	53
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	53
Hunter Strickland R 2021 · 3.96 FIP	32	SU	3.96	24.0%	9.1%	3.1%	.247	4.38	19.5%	9.5%	147	+0.42	2.30	523	53

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	25.2%	18.7%	1.11	5.24
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91