Shintaro Fujinami
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.1
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'6" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.81
FIP4.90
xFIP5.05
SIERA4.60
K%23.0%
BB%16.4%
K-BB%6.6%
IP22
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3030
CMD4545
K†6565
FB Velo
p9098.4
Whiff%
p8130.1%
K%
p5523.2%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
CT+2.8
SL-1.9
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 64 | 7 | 79 | 357 | 83 | 44 | 9 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 7.18 | 4.01 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 33 | 1 | 36 | 160 | 44 | 33 | 2 | 22.6% | 23.4% | 1.4% | 5.94 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 21 | 0 | 19 | 95 | 24 | 26 | 0 | 22.2% | 28.7% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 22 | — | 22 | 95 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 28.5% | 17.6% | 2.6% | 5.85 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 27.4% | 16.9% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 8 | 134 | 612 | 140 | 109 | 11 | 22.9% | 17.8% | 1.8% | 6.65 | 4.38 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 12 | 200 | 913 | 209 | 163 | 16 | 22.9% | 17.8% | 1.8% | 6.65 | 4.38 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shintaro Fujinami (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 28.5% | 17.6% | 2.6% | — | 4.79 | 27.4% | 10.5% | 21 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 62 |
| AJ Ramos R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.08 | 25.0% | 17.0% | 3.5% | .292 | 4.53 | 27.3% | 16.6% | 53 | -0.55 | 2.55 | 266 | 61 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 61 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 60 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 59 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 59 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 59 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.85 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.9% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 231 | 58 |
| Leonel Campos R 2024 · 3.71 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.71 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 168 | 56 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.88 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 3.28 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.60 | 2.80 | 284 | 56 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.65 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 249 | 55 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 55 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 173 | 55 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.40 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.37 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -1.03 | 2.49 | 373 | 54 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.67 | 29.2% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .224 | 4.86 | 17.9% | 5.4% | 56 | +1.19 | 3.40 | 556 | 54 |
| Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.30 | 26.7% | 12.1% | 5.3% | .338 | 5.34 | 21.1% | 12.4% | 66 | +0.04 | 2.35 | 260 | 54 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.80 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 1.5% | .303 | 4.09 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 35 | +0.29 | 3.80 | 132 | 54 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .255 | 4.50 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.38 | 212 | 54 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 54 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 54 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.