Shintaro Fujinami
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 32
RHP
6'6" / 180 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.29
FIP5.30
K%26.9%
BB%21.2%
K-BB%5.6%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.4
Whiff%
p8130.1%
K%
p5523.2%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
CT+2.8
SL-1.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 64 | 7 | 79 | 357 | 83 | 44 | 9 | 11% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 7.18 | 3.99 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 64 | 7 | 79 | 357 | 83 | 44 | 9 | 11% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 7.18 | 4.15 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 4 levels | 33 | 1 | 36 | 160 | 44 | 33 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 23.4% | -0.8% | 1.3% | 5.94 | 4.89 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 4 levels | 33 | 1 | 36 | 160 | 44 | 33 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 20.6% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 5.94 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 21 | 0 | 19 | 95 | 24 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.2% | 28.7% | -6.5% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 4.86 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 21 | 0 | 19 | 95 | 24 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 27.4% | -2.1% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 4.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 51 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 60 | 48 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 21.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 53 | 42 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 20.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.36 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 46 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 20.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.53 | 5.69 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 20.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.36 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 20.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.53 | 5.69 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 95 | 7 | 111 | 493 | 117 | 72 | 13 | 7% | 1.2 | 23.8% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 6.67 | 4.39 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 13 | 200 | 887 | 210 | 129 | 23 | 7% | 1.2 | 23.8% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 6.67 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 8 | 134 | 612 | 140 | 109 | 10 | 7% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 17.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 6.65 | 4.36 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 12 | 200 | 913 | 209 | 162 | 16 | 7% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 17.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 6.65 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shintaro Fujinami (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 26.9% | 21.2% | 2.5% | — | 5.58 | 25.2% | 4.9% | 93 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 65 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 60 |
| AJ Ramos R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 25.0% | 17.0% | 3.4% | .292 | 4.88 | 27.3% | 16.6% | 53 | -0.15 | 2.55 | 266 | 60 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 58 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.74 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 2.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 249 | 58 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 58 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 173 | 57 |
| Alan Busenitz R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.54 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .299 | 4.99 | 18.3% | 10.5% | 92 | +0.45 | 2.86 | 436 | 56 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.49 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 4.9% | .273 | 2.50 | 25.7% | 19.8% | 112 | -2.99 | 2.40 | 617 | 56 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.26 | 19.3% | 14.7% | 3.5% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 254 | 55 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.95 | 18.3% | 17.2% | 2.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 55 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 55 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.42 | 17.2% | 13.7% | 1.9% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 241 | 54 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 53 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2024 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 104 | 53 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 53 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 52 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 32 | SU | 6.16 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 6.3% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 162 | 52 |
| Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.23 | 26.7% | 12.1% | 5.2% | .338 | 5.49 | 21.1% | 12.4% | 66 | +0.26 | 2.45 | 260 | 51 |
| Matt Bowman R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.11 | 19.9% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .280 | 4.05 | 21.3% | 14.0% | 187 | -0.06 | 3.13 | 629 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 25.8% | 20.6% | 1.10 | 5.39 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |