Jake Sanchez — OGILVIE

Jake Sanchez P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 36 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%21.3%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	151	675	106	45	12	100%	5.6	12.8%	7.1%	5.7%	2.3%	4.71	4.19	—
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	151	675	106	45	12	100%	5.6	15.7%	6.7%	9.0%	1.8%	4.71	3.62	—
2016	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	44	1	67	278	72	15	2	2%	1.5	21.0%	5.9%	15.0%	0.9%	3.10	2.55	—
2016	26	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	44	1	67	278	72	15	2	2%	1.5	25.9%	5.4%	20.5%	0.7%	3.10	2.00	—
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	26	100	33	6	0	0%	1.1	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	1.37	1.86	—
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	26	100	33	6	0	0%	1.1	33.0%	6.0%	27.0%	0.0%	1.37	1.28	—
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	43	188	40	12	4	0%	1.3	19.2%	5.6%	13.6%	2.6%	3.98	3.62	—
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	43	188	40	12	4	0%	1.3	21.3%	6.4%	14.9%	2.1%	3.98	3.29	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	36	0	38	155	42	7	3	0%	1.1	23.8%	4.7%	19.1%	2.1%	4.50	2.83	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	Toros de Tijuana	36	0	38	155	42	7	3	0%	1.1	27.1%	4.5%	22.6%	1.9%	4.50	2.47	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	44	0	57	263	62	31	9	0%	1.3	19.6%	10.6%	9.0%	3.6%	5.68	4.75	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	44	0	57	263	62	31	9	0%	1.3	19.6%	10.6%	9.0%	3.6%	5.68	4.75	—
2023	33	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	44	0	57	263	62	31	9	0%	1.3	23.6%	11.8%	11.8%	3.4%	5.68	4.61	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	SD	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	SD	28	0	30	126	26	13	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	3.5%	4.80	4.95	-0.1
2027	37	MLB CTX	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	3.5%	4.80	4.95	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		0	0	0	1	0	0	0	—	—	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	3.5%	4.80	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	0	0	0	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.5%	10.3%	3.5%	4.80	4.57	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		208	28	382	1659	293	116	36	13%	1.8	17.6%	7.0%	10.6%	2.1%	4.24	3.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	15	200	869	153	61	19	13%	1.8	17.6%	7.0%	10.6%	2.1%	4.24	3.68	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	21.3%	9.9%	3.0%	—	4.95	20.8%	10.3%	30	+0.34	—	—	—
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	82
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	81
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	79
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	77
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	77
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	76
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	74
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	73
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	73
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	73
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	72
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	71
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	212	71
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	71
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	70
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	70
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	69
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	69
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.0%	10.2%	1.25	4.70
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47