Bryce Osmond — OGILVIE

Bryce Osmond P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.47

FIP5.47

K%17.3%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	97	431	100	47	15	100%	4.2	18.0%	12.4%	5.6%	4.4%	4.28	5.56	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	97	431	100	47	15	100%	4.2	18.0%	12.4%	5.6%	4.4%	4.28	5.56	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	97	431	100	47	15	100%	4.2	23.2%	10.9%	12.3%	3.5%	4.28	4.51	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	6	20	89	21	11	4	67%	2.2	12.2%	15.1%	-2.9%	6.4%	6.30	7.49	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	6	20	89	21	11	4	67%	2.2	12.2%	15.1%	-2.9%	6.4%	6.30	7.49	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	6	20	89	21	11	4	67%	2.2	23.6%	12.4%	11.2%	4.5%	6.30	5.25	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	31	8	64	305	67	34	18	26%	2.1	17.8%	12.3%	5.5%	7.1%	8.20	7.04	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	31	8	64	305	67	34	18	26%	2.1	17.8%	12.3%	5.5%	7.1%	8.20	7.04	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	LAA	31	8	64	305	67	34	18	26%	2.1	22.0%	11.1%	10.8%	5.9%	8.20	5.90	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	59	0	62	263	49	32	9	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.3%	5.31	5.29	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	59	0	62	260	49	31	9	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.1%	6.9%	3.4%	5.24	5.25	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAA	57	0	60	252	48	31	9	0%	1.0	19.1%	12.1%	7.0%	3.4%	5.25	5.29	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	26	0	27	114	21	14	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.3%	5.31	5.29	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	37	0	39	165	31	20	6	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.1%	6.9%	3.4%	5.24	5.25	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAA	43	0	45	190	36	23	7	0%	1.0	19.1%	12.1%	7.0%	3.4%	5.25	5.29	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	470	89	57	16	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.1%	6.8%	3.4%	5.26	4.89	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	102	29	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.1%	6.8%	3.4%	5.26	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		63	37	180	825	143	104	46	59%	2.9	17.3%	12.6%	4.6%	5.6%	5.89	6.31	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	41	200	915	158	116	51	59%	2.9	17.3%	12.6%	4.6%	5.6%	5.89	6.31	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryce Osmond (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.47	17.3%	12.6%	3.4%	—	5.28	18.9%	6.7%	184	-0.19	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	83
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	82
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	81
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	80
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	78
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	77
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	75
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	74
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	74
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	73
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	73
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	72
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	72
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	72
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	72
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	72
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	72
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	72
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	18.8%	12.2%	1.31	5.28
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77