Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 97 | 431 | 100 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.0% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.28 | 5.59 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 97 | 431 | 100 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.28 | 4.51 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 6 | 20 | 89 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 67% | 2.2 | 12.2% | 15.1% | -2.9% | 6.2% | 6.30 | 7.40 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 6 | 20 | 89 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 67% | 2.2 | 23.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 6.30 | 5.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 17 | 8 | 48 | 226 | 49 | 24 | 14 | 47% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.25 | 7.18 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.89 | 4.89 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 64 | 296 | 64 | 31 | 16 | — | — | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 7.39 | 6.59 | -1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.89 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 50% | 4.5 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 88 | 22 | 82% | 5.1 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 37 | 165 | 746 | 128 | 93 | 41 | 76% | 3.4 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.68 | 6.29 | -1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 45 | 200 | 906 | 156 | 113 | 50 | 76% | 3.4 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.68 | 6.29 | -2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Osmond (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 21.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | — | 4.81 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 20 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 83 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 81 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 80 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 79 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 75 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 75 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 74 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 74 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 74 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 73 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 73 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 72 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 72 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 71 |
| Logan Martin R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.68 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 5.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 223 | 71 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 71 |
| Jake Dunning R 2027 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 70 |
| Brandt Thompson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 162 | 69 |
| Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.34 | 23.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 119 | 69 |
| Cesar Rosado R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.88 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% | .357 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 324 | 69 |