Reid Morgan

P Arkansas Travelers
Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 187 lbs AA
Overview
AAPROSPECT
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202124MIX3 levels222484.663.8424.4%5.0%—K 18.3% · BB 5.7% · FIP 5.20
202326MIX2 levels199485.405.6220.0%6.0%—K 15.6% · BB 7.1% · FIP 6.83
202427AASEA400464.664.0321.2%8.4%—K 17.2% · BB 9.2% · FIP 5.19
202528No MLB games played
202629No MLB games played
2027PROJ30MLBSEA1014.554.5521.0%9.2%0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB31MLBSEA7074.644.7220.9%9.6%-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%21.0%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%11.8%
Proj IP27
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.00 (27 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
201922MIX MLE2 levels90177614340%1.913.7%3.6%10.0%7.9%5.946.73—
201922MIX RAW2 levels90177614340%1.918.4%3.9%14.5%5.3%5.945.08—
202124MIX MLE3 levels22248201491089%2.218.3%5.7%12.6%5.3%4.665.20—
202124MIX RAW3 levels22248201491089%2.224.4%5.0%19.4%4.0%4.663.84—
202326MIX MLE2 levels1994821543131347%2.515.6%7.1%8.6%7.6%5.406.83—
202326MIX RAW2 levels1994821543131347%2.520.0%6.0%14.0%6.0%5.405.62—
202427AA MLEArkansas Travelers40046203431760%1.217.2%9.2%7.9%4.3%4.665.19—
202427AA MLEArkansas Travelers40046203431760%1.217.2%9.2%7.9%4.3%4.665.19—
202427AA RAWArkansas Travelers40046203431760%1.221.2%8.4%12.8%3.0%4.664.03—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202730MLBSEA10141000%1.021.0%9.2%11.8%3.1%4.554.550.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202831MLB MLESEA210229119930%1.020.9%9.6%11.3%3.3%4.644.72-0.0
202831MLB CTXSEA707306310%1.020.9%9.6%11.3%3.3%4.644.72-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW607296310%1.120.9%9.6%11.3%3.3%4.644.34+0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW190020084417889300%1.120.9%9.6%11.3%3.3%4.644.34+0.5
Career— MLE9011160695116484212%1.816.6%6.9%9.7%6.0%5.025.87-0.0
/ 200 IP— MLE11314200871145605212%1.816.6%6.9%9.7%6.0%5.025.87-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 46 IPFIP 3.99 → 5.19 (+1.20)K% 21.2% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF21.18%—×0.81017.16%
BB% (unintentional) /BF8.37%—×1.1009.21%
HR / BF /BF2.96%÷0.820×1.2004.33%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 64).

Result: FIP 3.99 → 5.19, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Everett AquaSox · 47 IPFIP 5.53 → 6.83 (+1.30)K% 20.3% → 15.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF20.28%—×0.77015.62%
BB% (unintentional) /BF6.13%—×1.1507.05%
HR / BF /BF6.13%÷1.012×1.2507.57%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).

Result: FIP 5.53 → 6.83, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 32 IPFIP 4.47 → 5.73 (+1.26)K% 21.1% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF21.05%—×0.81017.05%
BB% (unintentional) /BF5.26%—×1.1005.79%
HR / BF /BF4.51%÷0.892×1.2006.07%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 78).

Result: FIP 4.47 → 5.73, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 15 IPFIP 3.17 → 4.07 (+0.91)K% 27.4% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF27.42%—×0.77021.11%
BB% (unintentional) /BF4.84%—×1.1505.56%
HR / BF /BF3.23%÷1.078×1.2503.74%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).

Result: FIP 3.17 → 4.07, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AWest Virginia Power · 14 IPFIP 5.31 → 6.73 (+1.42)K% 18.5% → 13.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF18.46%—×0.74013.66%
BB% (unintentional) /BF3.08%—×1.1803.63%
HR / BF /BF6.15%÷1.016×1.3007.87%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).

Result: FIP 5.31 → 6.73, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).