Reid Morgan — OGILVIE

Reid Morgan P Arkansas Travelers

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 187 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%18.9%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	17	76	14	3	4	0%	1.9	13.7%	3.6%	10.0%	7.9%	5.94	6.73	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	17	76	14	3	4	0%	1.9	18.4%	3.9%	14.5%	5.3%	5.94	5.08	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	2	48	201	49	10	8	9%	2.2	18.3%	5.7%	12.6%	5.3%	4.66	5.20	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	2	48	201	49	10	8	9%	2.2	24.4%	5.0%	19.4%	4.0%	4.66	3.84	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	9	48	215	43	13	13	47%	2.5	15.6%	7.1%	8.6%	7.6%	5.40	6.83	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	9	48	215	43	13	13	47%	2.5	15.6%	7.1%	8.6%	7.6%	5.40	6.83	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	9	48	215	43	13	13	47%	2.5	20.0%	6.0%	14.0%	6.0%	5.40	5.62	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	40	0	46	203	43	17	6	0%	1.2	17.2%	9.2%	7.9%	4.3%	4.66	5.19	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	40	0	46	203	43	17	6	0%	1.2	17.2%	9.2%	7.9%	4.3%	4.66	5.19	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	40	0	46	203	43	17	6	0%	1.2	21.2%	8.4%	12.8%	3.0%	4.66	4.03	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	SEA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.9%	8.8%	10.1%	3.3%	4.79	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SEA	24	0	26	108	21	10	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.1%	9.8%	3.4%	4.85	4.92	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	SEA	8	0	8	34	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.0%	9.1%	9.8%	3.4%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	34	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.0%	9.1%	9.8%	3.4%	4.85	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	75	25	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.1%	9.8%	3.4%	4.85	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		90	11	160	695	116	48	42	12%	1.8	16.6%	6.9%	9.7%	6.0%	5.02	5.87	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	14	200	871	145	60	52	12%	1.8	16.6%	6.9%	9.7%	6.0%	5.02	5.87	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reid Morgan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	18.9%	8.8%	3.3%	—	4.92	19.0%	9.8%	26	+0.13	—	—	—
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	84
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	80
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	80
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	79
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	78
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	78
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	78
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	78
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	77
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	77
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	77
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.9%	9.0%	1.30	4.82
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78