Nick Hull — OGILVIE

Nick Hull P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%18.2%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	3	10	38	7	3	0	75%	2.4	18.4%	7.9%	10.5%	0.0%	3.72	2.54	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	3	10	38	7	3	0	75%	2.4	18.4%	7.9%	10.5%	0.0%	3.72	2.58	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	16	92	380	88	39	6	70%	4.0	17.2%	12.1%	5.2%	2.0%	4.11	4.26	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	16	92	380	88	39	6	70%	4.0	17.2%	12.1%	5.2%	2.0%	4.11	4.26	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	16	92	380	88	39	6	70%	4.0	23.2%	10.3%	12.9%	1.6%	4.11	3.31	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	10	89	383	94	41	8	31%	2.8	19.0%	12.2%	6.8%	2.9%	3.96	4.62	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	10	89	383	94	41	8	31%	2.8	19.0%	12.2%	6.8%	2.9%	3.96	4.62	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	10	89	383	94	41	8	31%	2.8	24.5%	10.7%	13.8%	2.1%	3.96	3.54	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	35	2	57	247	56	26	7	6%	1.6	18.4%	11.6%	6.8%	3.7%	3.61	5.07	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	35	2	57	247	56	26	7	6%	1.6	18.4%	11.6%	6.8%	3.7%	3.61	5.07	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	35	2	57	247	56	26	7	6%	1.6	22.7%	10.5%	12.1%	2.8%	3.61	4.09	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	18	9	54	254	45	27	8	50%	3.0	14.7%	9.6%	5.1%	3.5%	7.17	4.97	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	18	9	54	254	45	27	8	50%	3.0	14.7%	9.6%	5.1%	3.5%	7.17	4.97	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	SEA	18	9	54	254	45	27	8	50%	3.0	17.7%	10.6%	7.1%	3.1%	7.17	4.68	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	SEA	1	1	6	25	5	3	1	100%	5.9	18.2%	12.4%	5.8%	3.1%	5.21	5.21	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	60	279	50	30	9	—	—	17.8%	10.8%	7.0%	3.1%	6.97	5.00	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	75	0	79	332	62	40	10	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.1%	6.5%	3.1%	5.14	5.16	-0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	73	0	76	322	61	39	10	0%	1.0	18.9%	12.1%	6.8%	3.2%	5.14	5.18	-0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	69	0	73	307	58	37	10	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.1%	6.8%	3.4%	5.20	5.27	-0.6
2030	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	289	54	36	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.4%	6.3%	3.6%	5.32	5.42	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	31	0	33	139	26	17	4	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.1%	6.5%	3.1%	5.14	5.16	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	46	0	48	203	38	24	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	12.1%	6.8%	3.2%	5.14	5.18	-0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	50	0	53	224	42	27	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	12.1%	6.8%	3.4%	5.20	5.27	-0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	SEA	52	0	55	232	43	29	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.4%	6.3%	3.6%	5.32	5.42	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		180	0	189	799	150	97	27	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	3.3%	5.21	4.89	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	102	29	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	3.3%	5.21	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		112	40	302	1302	228	149	37	36%	2.7	17.5%	11.4%	6.1%	2.8%	4.50	4.61	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	27	200	863	151	99	24	36%	2.7	17.5%	11.4%	6.1%	2.8%	4.50	4.61	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Hull (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	18.2%	12.4%	3.1%	—	5.20	18.8%	6.7%	228	-0.01	—	—	—
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	85
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	84
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	84
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	83
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	82
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	82
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	81
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	81
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	81
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	80
Andrew Bash R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	17.6%	12.7%	2.6%	.249	4.07	16.7%	7.2%	231	-0.56	3.52	483	80
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	80
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	80
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	79
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	79
Adam Quintana R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	27	SW	4.17	18.6%	11.7%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	1.72	201	79
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	73	18.7%	12.2%	1.26	5.20
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04