Nick Hull
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA5.24
FIP5.24
K%18.2%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 75% | 2.4 | 18.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 2.54 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 75% | 2.4 | 18.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 3.72 | 2.58 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 92 | 380 | 88 | 39 | 6 | 70% | 4.0 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 4.11 | 4.25 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 92 | 380 | 88 | 39 | 6 | 70% | 4.0 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 1.6% | 4.11 | 3.31 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 10 | 89 | 383 | 94 | 41 | 8 | 31% | 2.8 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.96 | 4.79 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 10 | 89 | 383 | 94 | 41 | 8 | 31% | 2.8 | 24.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 3.96 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 35 | 2 | 57 | 247 | 56 | 26 | 7 | 6% | 1.6 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.61 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 35 | 2 | 57 | 247 | 56 | 26 | 7 | 6% | 1.6 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 3.61 | 4.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 12 | 3 | 30 | 128 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 2.5 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 3.93 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.24 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.24 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 100 | 424 | 82 | 46 | 12 | — | — | 19.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 4.85 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 7 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 18.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.24 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 54 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 53 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.17 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 5.23 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.17 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 5.23 | 5.30 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 99 | 63 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 4.86 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 159 | 101 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 34 | 277 | 1176 | 215 | 135 | 33 | 32% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 4.56 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 25 | 200 | 848 | 155 | 97 | 24 | 32% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Hull (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 3.2% | — | 5.23 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 200 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 87 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 86 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 84 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 83 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 83 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 83 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 82 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 81 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 81 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 80 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 80 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 80 |
| Adam Quintana R 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 80 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Nick Frasso R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.17 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 30.1% | 14.0% | 24 | -1.49 | 2.60 | 248 | 79 |
| Brad Allen R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.3% | .315 | 6.07 | 14.7% | 1.5% | 87 | +1.85 | 4.22 | 149 | 79 |
| Kevin McGowan R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .322 | 5.39 | 15.4% | 4.7% | 64 | +0.55 | 2.93 | 426 | 79 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 79 |
| Seth McGarry R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.89 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 261 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 18.7% | 12.0% | 1.28 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |