Cooper Adams

P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	A+BOS	26	6	80	5.08	4.64	16.9%	10.6%	—	K 13.0% · BB 12.2% · FIP 5.42
2025	25	MIX2 levels	31	1	69	2.73	2.35	28.0%	8.0%	—	K 21.9% · BB 9.2% · FIP 3.05
2026	26	AABOS	38	0	72	7.03	4.69	26.6%	12.3%	—	K 21.6% · BB 13.5% · FIP 5.55
2027PROJ	27	MLBBOS	1	0	1	5.09	5.09	21.1%	12.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBBOS	19	0	20	5.06	5.10	21.2%	12.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ56% MLB	29	MLBBOS	24	0	25	5.10	5.17	21.1%	12.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control40Command50

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsCody Tucker (age 25) · Spencer Bivens (age 28) · Grant Black (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%21.1%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%8.6%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	26	6	80	350	59	37	10	23%	3.1	13.0%	12.2%	0.8%	3.4%	5.08	5.42	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	26	6	80	350	59	37	10	23%	3.1	13.0%	12.2%	0.8%	3.4%	5.08	5.42	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	26	6	80	350	59	37	10	23%	3.1	16.9%	10.6%	6.3%	2.9%	5.08	4.64	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	69	286	80	23	3	3%	2.2	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	1.2%	2.73	3.05	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	69	286	80	23	3	3%	2.2	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	1.2%	2.73	3.05	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	69	286	80	23	3	3%	2.2	28.0%	8.0%	19.9%	1.0%	2.73	2.35	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	38	0	72	334	89	41	13	0%	1.9	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	4.7%	7.03	5.55	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	38	0	72	334	89	41	13	0%	1.9	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	4.7%	7.03	5.55	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	38	0	72	334	89	41	13	0%	1.9	26.6%	12.3%	14.4%	3.9%	7.03	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	BOS	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.5%	8.6%	3.3%	5.09	5.09	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	51	0	53	225	48	28	8	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.3%	8.9%	3.4%	5.06	5.10	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	43	0	45	190	40	23	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.5%	5.10	5.17	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.3%	8.9%	3.4%	5.06	5.10	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	24	0	25	106	22	13	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.5%	5.10	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	191	40	23	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.4%	5.08	4.76	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	102	31	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.4%	5.08	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		95	7	221	970	180	114	31	7%	2.3	18.6%	11.7%	6.8%	3.2%	4.98	4.77	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	6	200	879	163	103	28	7%	2.3	18.6%	11.7%	6.8%	3.2%	4.98	4.77	-1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 72 IPFIP 4.54 → 5.55 (+1.01)K% 26.6% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.65%	—	×0.810	21.58%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.28%	—	×1.100	13.50%
HR / BF /BF	3.89%	÷1.000	×1.200	4.67%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.54 → 5.55, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greenville Drive · 43 IPFIP 2.56 → 3.40 (+0.84)K% 29.3% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.26%	—	×0.770	22.53%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.64%	—	×1.150	12.23%
HR / BF /BF	1.06%	÷1.117	×1.250	1.19%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 123).

Result: FIP 2.56 → 3.40, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 26 IPFIP 1.89 → 2.38 (+0.49)K% 25.5% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.51%	—	×0.810	20.66%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	3.06%	—	×1.100	3.37%
HR / BF /BF	1.02%	÷1.119	×1.200	1.09%

Result: FIP 1.89 → 2.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Greenville Drive · 80 IPFIP 4.58 → 5.42 (+0.84)K% 16.9% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.86%	—	×0.770	12.98%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.57%	—	×1.150	12.16%
HR / BF /BF	2.86%	÷1.043	×1.250	3.42%

Result: FIP 4.58 → 5.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cooper Adams (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	21.1%	12.5%	3.3%	—	5.13	21.1%	8.8%	98	+0.04	—	—	—
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	83
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	81
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	27	SU	4.76	23.0%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.18	3.73	223	81
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	81
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	80
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	80
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	80
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	80
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	80
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	80
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	80
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	21.1%	12.4%	1.30	5.08
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*