Cooper Adams — OGILVIE

Cooper Adams P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%19.1%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	26	6	80	350	59	37	10	23%	3.1	13.0%	12.2%	0.8%	3.4%	5.08	5.42	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	26	6	80	350	59	37	10	23%	3.1	13.0%	12.2%	0.8%	3.4%	5.08	5.42	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	26	6	80	350	59	37	10	23%	3.1	16.9%	10.6%	6.3%	2.9%	5.08	4.64	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	69	286	80	23	3	3%	2.2	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	1.2%	2.73	3.05	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	69	286	80	23	3	3%	2.2	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	1.2%	2.73	3.05	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	69	286	80	23	3	3%	2.2	28.0%	8.0%	19.9%	1.0%	2.73	2.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	38	0	72	334	89	41	13	0%	1.9	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	4.7%	7.03	5.55	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	38	0	72	334	89	41	13	0%	1.9	21.6%	13.5%	8.1%	4.7%	7.03	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	BOS	38	0	72	334	89	41	13	0%	1.9	26.6%	12.3%	14.4%	3.9%	7.03	4.54	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	BOS	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.7%	8.3%	2.7%	4.70	4.70	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	78	359	94	44	14	—	—	26.1%	12.2%	14.0%	3.8%	6.86	5.49	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	67	0	71	298	58	32	8	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	2.8%	4.68	4.70	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	289	57	31	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.71	4.75	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	62	0	65	276	54	30	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	3.0%	4.79	4.86	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	BOS	59	0	62	260	50	29	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.1%	8.2%	3.2%	4.93	5.03	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	26	0	27	114	22	12	3	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	2.8%	4.68	4.70	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	39	0	41	173	34	19	5	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.71	4.75	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	44	0	46	194	38	21	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	3.0%	4.79	4.86	-0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	BOS	46	0	48	203	39	22	7	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.1%	8.2%	3.2%	4.93	5.03	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		154	0	162	683	133	74	21	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.8%	8.7%	3.0%	4.79	4.48	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	91	26	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.8%	8.7%	3.0%	4.79	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		95	7	221	970	180	114	31	7%	2.3	18.6%	11.7%	6.8%	3.2%	4.98	4.77	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	6	200	879	163	103	28	7%	2.3	18.6%	11.7%	6.8%	3.2%	4.98	4.77	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cooper Adams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	19.1%	10.7%	2.7%	—	4.77	19.6%	8.8%	204	+0.07	—	—	—
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	86
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	85
Roman Mendez R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	19.5%	10.3%	2.5%	.246	4.68	20.9%	10.7%	116	+0.56	4.12	230	85
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	85
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	85
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.46	18.7%	6.2%	63	+1.28	1.93	233	85
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	85
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	85
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	84
Kyle Martin R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	18.3%	10.0%	2.9%	.304	3.22	23.0%	10.0%	51	-1.19	3.01	214	84
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	84
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	84
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	84
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Junior Lopez R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	15.7%	9.9%	1.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	128	83
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	83
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	83
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	83
Cody Hall R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.5%	9.3%	1.1%	.306	4.08	23.1%	11.7%	66	+0.57	3.51	134	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	19.4%	10.8%	1.12	4.76
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86