Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 1 | 67 | 284 | 61 | 24 | 7 | 4% | 2.7 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.74 | 4.77 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 1 | 67 | 284 | 61 | 24 | 7 | 4% | 2.7 | 21.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 3.74 | 3.71 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 18.4% | 0.1% | 2.1% | 5.40 | 5.05 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 1.6% | 5.40 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 16 | 0 | 26 | 126 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 12.2% | 11.0% | 1.3% | 7.9% | 6.92 | 7.81 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | HOU | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 45 | 205 | 37 | 20 | 10 | — | — | 18.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.94 | 6.46 | -1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.24 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 81 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 1 | 107 | 474 | 73 | 54 | 20 | 2% | 2.1 | 15.3% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.73 | 5.61 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 2 | 200 | 889 | 136 | 101 | 38 | 2% | 2.1 | 15.3% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.73 | 5.61 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Conor Steinbaugh (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.62 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 82 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 80 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 80 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 80 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 79 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 79 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 79 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 79 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 78 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 78 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 78 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 78 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 78 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 78 |