Michael Knorr
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 245 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.06
FIP5.06
K%22.3%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 58 | 251 | 78 | 24 | 8 | 67% | 3.9 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.01 | 4.03 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 58 | 251 | 78 | 24 | 8 | 67% | 3.9 | 31.1% | 9.6% | 21.5% | 3.2% | 4.01 | 3.44 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 11 | 7 | 40 | 176 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 64% | 3.6 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.90 | 5.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 11 | 7 | 40 | 176 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 64% | 3.6 | 26.7% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 4.0% | 5.90 | 4.54 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 54 | 244 | 66 | 28 | 8 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 4.81 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 54 | 244 | 66 | 28 | 8 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 4.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 14 | 4 | 14 | 62 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 29% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 5.79 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | HOU | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 84 | 358 | 85 | 46 | 12 | — | — | 23.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 5.18 | 4.22 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 22.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 65 | 36 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 63 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 60 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 44 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 117 | 65 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.71 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 104 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 22 | 166 | 733 | 172 | 89 | 27 | 26% | 1.9 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 4.94 | 4.68 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 27 | 200 | 885 | 208 | 107 | 33 | 26% | 1.9 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 4.94 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Knorr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.06 | 22.3% | 12.7% | 3.4% | — | 5.08 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 200 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 81 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 81 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 81 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 81 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 80 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 80 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 80 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 80 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 80 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 79 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 79 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.09 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -1.00 | 1.97 | 682 | 79 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 79 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 79 |
| Luis Romero R 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.29 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .273 | 5.94 | 12.7% | 1.6% | 128 | +1.65 | 3.99 | 293 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 1.34 | 5.04 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |