Fernery Ozuna — OGILVIE

Fernery Ozuna P Round Rock Express

Age 30 RHP 5'8" / 170 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.73

FIP4.73

K%20.9%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	7	0	12	47	10	2	0	0%	1.7	21.3%	4.3%	17.0%	0.0%	2.25	1.84	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	7	0	12	47	10	2	0	0%	1.7	21.3%	4.3%	17.0%	0.0%	2.25	1.93	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	32	0	46	197	51	17	11	0%	1.4	21.0%	9.5%	11.5%	6.0%	5.32	5.83	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	32	0	46	197	51	17	11	0%	1.4	25.9%	8.6%	17.3%	5.6%	5.32	5.11	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	62	271	73	22	6	0%	1.3	22.4%	8.7%	13.7%	2.8%	4.91	3.84	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	62	271	73	22	6	0%	1.3	26.9%	8.1%	18.8%	2.2%	4.91	3.07	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	4	51	225	54	28	10	11%	1.5	18.4%	11.6%	6.7%	4.9%	5.47	5.71	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	4	51	225	54	28	10	11%	1.5	18.4%	11.6%	6.7%	4.9%	5.47	5.71	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	4	51	225	54	28	10	11%	1.5	24.0%	12.4%	11.6%	4.4%	5.47	5.18	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	TEX	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.2%	10.6%	3.1%	4.73	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TEX	25	0	26	111	23	12	4	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.3%	4.81	4.89	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	TEX	10	0	10	42	9	4	2	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.6%	4.95	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	8	4	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.6%	4.95	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	83	21	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.6%	4.95	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		122	4	171	740	153	70	30	3%	1.4	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	4.1%	5.00	4.81	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	5	200	865	179	82	36	3%	1.4	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	4.1%	5.00	4.81	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fernery Ozuna (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	20.9%	10.2%	3.1%	—	4.89	20.7%	10.2%	26	+0.16	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	92
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	85
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	83
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	82
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	82
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	82
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	81
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	81
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	81
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	81
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	79
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	78
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	77
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	77
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	77
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	77
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	20.8%	10.4%	1.25	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64