Fernery Ozuna P Round Rock Express
+0.2 WAR
Age 30 RHP 5'8" / 170 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
xFIP
SIERA
K%22.8%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.0%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201822ROKDSL Rangers 170124710202.25
202125AAFrisco RoughRiders3204619751171121.0%9.5%5.9%5.325.75-0.4
202226AAARound Rock Express480622717322622.4%8.7%2.8%4.913.86+0.8
202327AAARound Rock Express3545122554281019.5%13.5%4.9%5.475.86-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBARI40401693917522.8%9.9%3.1%4.524.52+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202731MLBARI39391633716522.7%9.9%3.2%4.544.57+0.2
202832MLBARI37371573516522.4%10.0%3.3%4.594.64+0.1
202933MLBARI36361503315522.2%10.2%3.3%4.664.72+0.1
203034MLBARI34341423115521.9%10.3%3.4%4.754.82+0.0
203135MLBARI32321342914521.5%10.6%3.5%4.874.94+0.0
203236MLBARI30301252614521.0%10.8%3.6%4.995.08-0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career1224171740156753021.1%10.1%4.1%5.004.84+0.9
/ 200 IP1435200865182883521.1%10.1%4.1%5.004.84+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Fernery Ozuna (OGILVIE) 4.52 22.8%9.9%3.1% 4.64 22.4%12.4%111 +0.12
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP 33 SU 4.26 22.0%10.5%3.1%.290 2.44 26.9%22.6%89 -1.82 1.94 112 92
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.9%7.6%4.5%.287 3.18 24.9%18.4%192 -1.44 2.56 268 86
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP 31 SW 3.85 25.1%10.8%2.7%.280 3.85 102 84
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 30 SU 4.83 18.6%12.2%3.2%.292 1.31 28.6%24.5%126 -3.52 1.30 218 83
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP 31 SW 3.73 24.5%8.2%3.0%.325 3.80 21.7%13.5%76 +0.07 3.65 137 83
Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 30 SU 4.58 17.1%10.2%3.0%.338 3.79 11.6%6.3%75 -0.79 3.73 164 80
Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP 32 SW 3.33 23.7%7.2%2.4%.342 4.98 23.4%12.7%66 +1.65 3.33 122 80
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 30 SW 4.24 22.2%11.1%2.9%.349 3.54 17.4%8.5%65 -0.70 3.05 227 80
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 30 SW 3.72 20.4%11.7%1.6%.287 3.88 20.6%8.4%77 +0.16 3.38 129 80
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 31 SW 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.68 16.9%7.2%90 +2.22 3.46 160 79
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 30 SW 3.56 23.3%8.5%2.5%.288 4.73 20.6%9.9%86 +1.17 2.72 392 79
Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.61 FIP 33 SU 3.61 17.6%8.8%1.6%.270 3.06 17.9%10.0%124 -0.55 2.72 172 79
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.45 FIP 32 SW 3.45 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.18 22.5%11.1%91 -0.27 2.48 147 79
Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 23.4%8.8%3.8%.245 3.25 160 79
Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.10 FIP 29 SU 4.10 21.2%7.9%3.2%.331 3.18 253 79
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP 31 SW 3.38 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.98 23.3%13.2%105 +0.60 3.38 212 78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.16 FIP 30 SU 5.16 18.6%7.6%4.9%.373 3.54 18.5%9.3%93 -1.62 3.45 170 78
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 30 SW 3.62 22.3%11.0%1.8%.247 3.62 224 78
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.21 FIP 31 SW 5.21 19.1%9.4%4.6%.253 3.95 17.2%8.0%67 -1.26 3.80 132 78
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 30 SW 4.06 24.4%11.8%2.8%.301 3.94 24.1%15.2%140 -0.12 1.69 468 78

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.