Carlos Tavera
P Chesapeake Baysox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | MIX2 levels | 25 | 8 | 85 | 5.51 | 4.83 | 21.9% | 13.8% | — | K 18.3% · BB 13.3% · FIP 5.12 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX3 levels | 18 | 2 | 24 | 4.56 | 3.44 | 22.7% | 13.6% | — | K 20.5% · BB 12.1% · FIP 3.85 |
| 2026 | 27 | AABAL | 10 | 0 | 14 | 5.93 | 6.03 | 29.0% | 12.9% | — | K 23.5% · BB 14.2% · FIP 7.16 |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBBAL | — | — | 0 | 5.11 | 5.11 | 20.9% | 12.4% | — | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 29 | MLBBAL | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5.11 | 5.16 | 20.9% | 12.3% | -0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 18.9% | 27.8% | -8.9% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 5.02 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 25.5% | 23.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.93 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | 16 | 16 | 57 | 246 | 81 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 3.6 | 25.4% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 4.40 | 5.14 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | Aberdeen IronBirds | 16 | 16 | 57 | 246 | 81 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 3.6 | 32.9% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 3.87 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | 23 | 17 | 80 | 368 | 89 | 58 | 15 | 74% | 3.5 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.86 | 5.86 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | 23 | 17 | 80 | 368 | 89 | 58 | 15 | 74% | 3.5 | 24.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 4.86 | 5.50 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 85 | 383 | 84 | 53 | 12 | 32% | 3.4 | 18.3% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.51 | 5.12 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 85 | 383 | 84 | 53 | 12 | 32% | 3.4 | 18.3% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.51 | 5.12 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 85 | 383 | 84 | 53 | 12 | 32% | 3.4 | 21.9% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 5.51 | 4.83 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 18 | 2 | 24 | 110 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 11% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 4.56 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 18 | 2 | 24 | 110 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 11% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 4.56 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 18 | 2 | 24 | 110 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 11% | 1.3 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 0.9% | 4.56 | 3.44 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Chesapeake Baysox | 10 | 0 | 14 | 62 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.93 | 7.16 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Chesapeake Baysox | 10 | 0 | 14 | 62 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.93 | 7.16 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA RAW | Chesapeake Baysox | 10 | 0 | 14 | 62 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.0% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 6.5% | 5.93 | 6.03 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.11 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 16 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 5.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 4.78 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 117 | 39 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 4.78 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 98 | 46 | 271 | 1220 | 251 | 190 | 44 | 47% | 2.8 | 20.6% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.88 | 5.33 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 72 | 34 | 200 | 899 | 185 | 140 | 33 | 47% | 2.8 | 20.6% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.88 | 5.33 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAChesapeake Baysox · 14 IPFIP 5.82 → 7.16 (+1.34)K% 29.0% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 29.03% | — | ×0.810 | 23.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.90% | — | ×1.100 | 14.19% |
| HR / BF /BF | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | 7.74% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 5.82 → 7.16, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 15 IPFIP 3.60 → 3.85 (+0.25)K% 23.9% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.88% | — | ×0.860 | 20.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.43% | — | ×0.900 | 12.09% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.49% | ÷0.945 | ×1.100 | 1.74% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 89).
Result: FIP 3.60 → 3.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 7 IPFIP 2.86 → 3.56 (+0.70)K% 20.0% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.00% | — | ×0.740 | 14.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.43% | — | ×1.180 | 13.49% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.899 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 80).
Result: FIP 2.86 → 3.56, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANorfolk Tides · 47 IPFIP 6.15 → 6.44 (+0.29)K% 18.2% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.18% | — | ×0.860 | 15.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.58% | — | ×0.900 | 14.03% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.76% | ÷0.996 | ×1.100 | 5.26% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).
Result: FIP 6.15 → 6.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABowie Baysox · 38 IPFIP 2.54 → 3.12 (+0.57)K% 27.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.63% | — | ×0.810 | 22.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.18% | — | ×1.100 | 12.30% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.66% | ÷1.249 | ×1.200 | 0.63% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 150).
Result: FIP 2.54 → 3.12, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABowie Baysox · 80 IPFIP 5.29 → 5.86 (+0.57)K% 24.2% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 24.18% | — | ×0.810 | 19.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.76% | — | ×1.100 | 17.34% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.08% | ÷1.208 | ×1.200 | 4.05% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 142).
Result: FIP 5.29 → 5.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 57 IPFIP 3.86 → 5.14 (+1.29)K% 32.9% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 32.93% | — | ×0.770 | 25.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.82% | — | ×1.150 | 15.89% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.25% | ÷1.029 | ×1.250 | 3.95% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 106).
Result: FIP 3.86 → 5.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 12 IPFIP 3.93 → 5.02 (+1.10)K% 25.5% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.49% | — | ×0.740 | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 23.53% | — | ×1.180 | 27.76% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).
Result: FIP 3.93 → 5.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).