Casey Sadler — OGILVIE

Casey Sadler P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 36 RHP 6'3" / 223 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.26

FIP4.29

K%22.4%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p3923.7%

p6825.5%

xwOBA vs

p900.243

FB+6.4

SL+4.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	86	353	53	26	10	100%	6.1	12.6%	7.9%	4.8%	3.5%	4.19	4.95	-0.0
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	14	86	353	53	26	10	100%	6.1	15.0%	7.4%	7.6%	2.8%	4.19	4.29	+0.6
2017	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	7	79	326	66	11	5	27%	3.0	15.2%	3.4%	11.8%	2.1%	4.00	3.37	—
2017	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	7	79	326	66	11	5	27%	3.0	20.2%	3.4%	16.9%	1.5%	4.00	2.67	—
2018	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	8	81	360	64	28	7	28%	2.8	16.0%	7.8%	8.2%	2.2%	3.65	3.95	+0.6
2018	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	8	81	360	64	28	7	28%	2.8	17.8%	7.8%	10.0%	1.9%	3.65	3.68	+0.8
2019	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	5	85	356	84	17	11	11%	1.8	21.8%	4.9%	16.9%	3.1%	2.65	3.56	+1.0
2019	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	5	85	356	84	17	11	11%	1.8	23.6%	4.8%	18.8%	3.1%	2.65	3.41	+1.2
2020	30	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	17	0	19	86	21	12	3	0%	1.1	24.4%	14.0%	10.5%	3.6%	5.12	4.77	-0.0
2020	30	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	17	0	19	86	21	12	3	0%	1.1	24.4%	14.0%	10.5%	3.5%	5.12	4.81	-0.1
2021	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	44	156	43	10	1	0%	1.0	25.5%	6.9%	18.6%	0.7%	0.61	2.21	+1.2
2021	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	44	156	43	10	1	0%	1.0	27.6%	6.4%	21.2%	0.6%	0.61	2.12	+1.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	1	19	88	21	6	4	5%	0.8	17.5%	6.3%	11.2%	4.0%	7.71	4.63	—
2023	33	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	1	19	88	21	6	4	5%	0.8	17.5%	6.3%	11.2%	4.0%	7.71	4.63	—
2023	33	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	1	19	88	21	6	4	5%	0.8	23.9%	6.8%	17.0%	4.5%	7.71	4.60	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			95	2	115	469	97	37	10	2%	1.2	20.7%	7.9%	12.8%	2.1%	2.42	3.51	+1.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	SEA	4	0	4	17	4	2	0	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.2%	13.2%	2.8%	4.26	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	SEA	42	0	44	187	40	18	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.2%	4.52	4.69	-0.1
2027	37	MLB CTX	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.2%	4.52	4.69	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		95	2	116	471	97	37	10	2%	1.2	20.7%	7.9%	12.8%	2.1%	2.43	3.53	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		165	3	200	813	168	64	17	2%	1.2	20.7%	7.9%	12.8%	2.1%	2.43	3.53	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		200	35	413	1725	306	113	46	18%	2.1	17.7%	6.5%	11.2%	2.6%	3.55	3.88	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	17	200	835	148	55	22	18%	2.1	17.7%	6.5%	11.2%	2.6%	3.55	3.88	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Casey Sadler (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	22.4%	9.2%	2.8%	—	4.69	21.3%	11.4%	44	+0.40	—	—	—
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	82
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	78
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	77
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	76
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	76
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	75
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	73
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	72
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	72
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	71
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	70
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	70
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	212	70
Peter Moylan R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	36	SU	3.11	18.4%	8.2%	0.9%	.259	3.84	18.2%	9.1%	145	+0.73	3.11	174	69
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	69
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	68
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	68
Alexi Ogando R 2018 · 4.10 FIP	34	SW	4.10	15.0%	6.4%	2.6%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	132	68
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	68
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	48	21.9%	9.5%	1.15	4.38
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42