Jake Peppers — OGILVIE

Jake Peppers P Winston-Salem Dash

+0.0 WAR

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 160 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2027

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%19.6%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.0%

IP74

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2027

STUF2525

CTRL2525

CMD2020

K†4045

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	4	2	6	25	8	3	1	—	—	—	6.35	—	—
2024	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	97	417	86	43	8	15.3%	12.2%	3.2%	4.27	5.10	+0.2
2025	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	41	0	63	289	60	38	4	15.7%	15.2%	2.0%	4.88	4.80	+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	3	0	2	16	1	5	1	—	—	—	18.00	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	13	13	74	313	52	48	9	16.6%	15.2%	2.8%	5.54	5.54	-0.4
2026 Total	24	MLB	CWS	—	—	76	329	53	53	10	16.1%	16.0%	3.0%	5.87	5.39	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	CWS	14	14	75	317	56	45	9	17.8%	14.2%	2.8%	5.36	5.31	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	CWS	14	14	75	317	58	44	9	18.4%	13.8%	2.8%	5.25	5.22	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	CWS	14	14	74	314	59	43	9	18.7%	13.6%	2.8%	5.19	5.18	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	CWS	13	13	73	309	58	42	9	18.7%	13.5%	2.9%	5.18	5.19	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	CWS	13	13	72	303	56	41	9	18.6%	13.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.23	-0.1
2032	30	MLB	CWS	13	13	70	293	54	40	9	18.4%	13.7%	3.0%	5.26	5.29	-0.2
2033	31	MLB	CWS	12	12	67	283	52	39	9	18.2%	13.8%	3.0%	5.32	5.37	-0.3
2034	32	MLB	CWS	12	12	64	272	49	38	8	17.9%	14.0%	3.1%	5.40	5.45	-0.3
2035	33	MLB	CWS	11	11	62	260	46	37	8	17.6%	14.1%	3.2%	5.49	5.55	-0.4
2036	34	MLB	CWS	58	—	58	247	43	35	8	17.2%	14.3%	3.3%	5.59	5.66	-0.5
2037	35	MLB	CWS	55	—	55	232	39	34	8	16.9%	14.6%	3.4%	5.71	5.78	-0.5
2038	36	MLB	CWS	51	—	51	217	36	32	8	16.4%	14.8%	3.5%	5.83	5.92	-0.6
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			70	24	167	747	118	103	21	15.8%	13.7%	2.8%	4.73	5.05	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—			84	29	200	893	141	123	25	15.8%	13.7%	2.8%	4.73	5.05	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Peppers (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.54	16.6%	15.2%	2.8%	—	5.24	18.3%	4.4%	224	-0.30	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.47 FIP	24	SW	5.47	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.60	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.87	4.27	132	92
David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	91
Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	90
Jonathan Teaney R 2025 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	16.4%	15.7%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	108	89
Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.07 FIP	24	SW	5.07	14.3%	15.1%	2.3%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	135	89
J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.70 FIP	24	SW	4.70	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+1.01	4.70	195	89
Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.71 FIP	24	SW	4.71	15.7%	14.7%	1.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	117	88
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	19.8%	15.3%	2.2%	.283	4.53	18.5%	9.4%	111	-0.03	3.33	223	87
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	24	SW	5.00	15.1%	12.9%	2.8%	.229	4.32	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.68	3.69	239	87
Sam Wolff R 2027 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.13	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.62	2.67	178	87
John Matthews R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	16.5%	13.0%	2.0%	.264	4.99	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.53	4.46	213	87
Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.30 FIP	24	SW	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.4%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	87
Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.43 FIP	24	SW	4.43	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.98	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.55	4.43	196	87
Kris Hall R 2026 · 4.64 FIP	24	SW	4.64	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.02	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.64	106	86
Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	86
Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.24 FIP	24	SW	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.81	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.43	2.08	205	86
Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.43 FIP	24	SW	5.43	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	3.07	21.9%	12.7%	69	-2.36	3.07	149	86
Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP	25	SW	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.58	151	86
Seth McGarry R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	17.7%	14.4%	2.2%	.278	4.56	17.1%	7.5%	79	-0.06	3.40	261	85
Michael Mertz R 2026 · 5.20 FIP	24	SW	5.20	16.1%	13.9%	3.1%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	133	85

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.