Jake Peppers — OGILVIE

Jake Peppers P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 160 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156148vR 140

ERA6.48

FIP6.48

K%11.7%

BB%19.0%

K-BB%-7.3%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL2525

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	4	2	6	25	8	3	1	50%	1.4	32.0%	12.0%	20.0%	4.0%	6.35	4.11	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	4	2	6	25	8	3	1	50%	1.4	32.0%	12.0%	20.0%	4.0%	6.35	4.16	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	97	417	86	43	8	100%	4.4	15.3%	12.2%	3.1%	3.0%	4.27	5.02	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	97	417	86	43	8	100%	4.4	15.3%	12.2%	3.1%	3.0%	4.27	5.02	—
2024	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	97	417	86	43	8	100%	4.4	20.6%	10.3%	10.3%	1.9%	4.27	3.73	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	63	289	60	38	4	0%	1.5	15.7%	15.2%	0.5%	2.1%	4.88	4.83	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	63	289	60	38	4	0%	1.5	15.7%	15.2%	0.5%	2.1%	4.88	4.83	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	63	289	60	38	4	0%	1.5	20.8%	13.1%	7.6%	1.4%	4.88	3.83	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	23	0	27	132	22	21	3	0%	1.2	12.8%	18.3%	-5.5%	2.8%	7.76	5.89	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	23	0	27	132	22	21	3	0%	1.2	12.8%	18.3%	-5.5%	2.8%	7.76	5.89	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	23	0	27	132	22	21	3	0%	1.2	16.7%	15.9%	0.8%	2.3%	7.76	5.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CWS	57	0	60	253	30	48	7	0%	1.1	11.7%	19.0%	-7.3%	2.9%	6.48	6.48	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	57	0	60	251	35	45	7	0%	1.0	14.0%	18.0%	-4.0%	2.9%	6.20	6.16	-1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	56	0	59	247	36	43	7	0%	1.0	14.7%	17.4%	-2.7%	2.9%	6.06	6.06	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	25	0	26	110	15	20	3	0%	1.0	14.0%	18.0%	-4.0%	2.9%	6.20	6.16	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	35	0	37	156	23	27	5	0%	1.1	14.7%	17.4%	-2.7%	2.9%	6.06	6.06	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	38	46	8	0%	1.1	14.4%	17.6%	-3.3%	2.9%	6.12	5.72	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	122	147	26	0%	1.1	14.4%	17.6%	-3.3%	2.9%	6.12	5.72	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		90	24	192	863	134	122	23	27%	2.1	15.5%	14.1%	1.4%	2.7%	5.02	5.06	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	25	200	899	139	127	24	27%	2.1	15.5%	14.1%	1.4%	2.7%	5.02	5.06	-3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Peppers (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.48	11.7%	19.0%	2.9%	—	6.11	14.3%	-3.4%	118	-0.37	—	—	—
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	80
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	79
Frankie De La Cruz R 2008 · 7.16 FIP	24	SW	7.16	7.5%	20.8%	3.8%	.361	2.87	16.4%	7.3%	13	-4.29	2.87	262	79
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	78
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	78
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	77
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	76
Kane Davis R 2000 · 7.22 FIP	25	SW	7.22	4.7%	15.3%	4.7%	.359	4.70	18.8%	8.9%	82	-2.52	3.40	125	76
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	76
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	75
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	75
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	74
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	74
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	74
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	74
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	73
Taylor Hawkins R 2017 · 5.98 FIP	23	SU	5.98	7.4%	19.5%	1.9%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	5.38	112	73
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	73
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	73
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	13.4%	18.1%	1.12	6.25
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99