Jake Peppers
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 160 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 159149vR 140
ERA6.25
FIP6.25
K%12.3%
BB%17.5%
K-BB%-5.2%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 4 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 50% | 1.4 | 32.0% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 4.0% | 6.35 | 4.11 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 4 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 50% | 1.4 | 32.0% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 4.0% | 6.35 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 97 | 417 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.27 | 5.49 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 97 | 417 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 4.27 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 63 | 289 | 60 | 38 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.7% | 15.2% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 4.88 | 5.03 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 63 | 289 | 60 | 38 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.8% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 4.88 | 3.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 22 | 0 | 25 | 124 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.4% | 19.5% | -7.1% | 3.0% | 7.11 | 6.18 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CWS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 35 | 50 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.3% | 17.5% | -5.2% | 2.9% | 6.25 | 6.25 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.3% | 17.5% | -5.2% | 2.9% | 6.25 | 6.25 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 93 | 408 | 55 | 71 | 11 | — | — | 13.5% | 17.3% | -3.8% | 2.8% | 6.48 | 6.23 | -1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.3% | 17.5% | -5.2% | 2.9% | 6.25 | 5.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 42 | 46 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 15.9% | -1.2% | 2.9% | 5.93 | 5.85 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 46 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.73 | 5.67 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 15.9% | -1.2% | 2.9% | 5.93 | 5.85 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 30 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.73 | 5.67 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 49 | 49 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 15.5% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.36 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 131 | 131 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 15.5% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 24 | 191 | 855 | 132 | 122 | 28 | 27% | 2.1 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 25 | 200 | 897 | 139 | 128 | 29 | 27% | 2.1 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Peppers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.25 | 12.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | — | 5.76 | 15.3% | -0.3% | 136 | -0.49 | — | — | — |
| Dylan Rheault R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 85 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 84 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 83 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 83 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 81 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 81 |
| Blake Hickman R 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 81 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 80 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 79 |
| Luke Savage R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 79 |
| Ryan Vanderhei R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 14.6% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.56 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 39 | -1.70 | 3.56 | 130 | 79 |
| Kelvin Vasquez R 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.27 | 15.0% | 23.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 5.23 | 14.5% | -0.2% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.80 | 180 | 79 |
| Leandro Linares R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 79 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 78 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2027 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 78 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2026 · 6.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.70 | 10.3% | 15.9% | 4.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.25 | 110 | 78 |
| Abel Brito R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.54 | 14.0% | 23.6% | 3.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 147 | 77 |
| Jairo Beras R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 15.0% | 20.3% | 1.7% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 110 | 77 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 77 |
| Jake Gozzo R 2026 · 7.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 7.15 | 14.3% | 30.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 5.29 | 15.8% | -0.7% | 129 | -1.86 | 4.29 | 162 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 14.3% | 16.2% | 1.13 | 5.97 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |