Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 39 | 185 | 33 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.5% | 16.4% | -4.0% | 3.1% | 6.69 | 5.82 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 39 | 185 | 33 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 6.69 | 4.66 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 41 | 0 | 50 | 229 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.5% | 17.0% | -2.5% | 3.9% | 3.60 | 6.19 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 41 | 0 | 50 | 229 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.7% | 14.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.60 | 4.84 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 27 | 1 | 33 | 169 | 29 | 21 | 3 | 4% | 1.2 | 12.7% | 14.7% | -2.0% | 2.3% | 8.10 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 36 | 52 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.8% | 18.4% | -5.6% | 3.1% | 6.44 | 6.44 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8% | 18.4% | -5.6% | 3.1% | 6.44 | 6.44 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 101 | 453 | 65 | 73 | 12 | — | — | 14.4% | 16.2% | -1.8% | 2.6% | 6.99 | 6.01 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 43 | 47 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 16.4% | -1.5% | 3.1% | 6.09 | 5.99 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 47 | 46 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 15.8% | 0.4% | 3.1% | 5.87 | 5.81 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 47 | 44 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 15.6% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 5.78 | 5.77 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 16.4% | -1.5% | 3.1% | 6.09 | 5.99 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 31 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 15.8% | 0.4% | 3.1% | 5.87 | 5.81 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 36 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 15.6% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 5.78 | 5.77 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 532 | 86 | 84 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 15.9% | 0.2% | 3.1% | 5.88 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 133 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 15.9% | 0.2% | 3.1% | 5.88 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 1 | 122 | 583 | 78 | 94 | 19 | 1% | 1.3 | 13.4% | 16.1% | -2.8% | 3.2% | 5.81 | 5.77 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 2 | 200 | 953 | 127 | 154 | 30 | 1% | 1.3 | 13.4% | 16.1% | -2.8% | 3.2% | 5.81 | 5.77 | -0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Takacs (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.44 | 12.8% | 18.4% | 3.1% | — | 5.86 | 15.9% | -0.0% | 203 | -0.58 | — | — | — |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 86 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 85 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 83 |
| Luke Savage R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 83 |
| Kelvin Vasquez R 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.27 | 15.0% | 23.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 5.23 | 14.5% | -0.2% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.80 | 180 | 83 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 82 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 17.8% | 23.0% | 1.9% | .302 | 5.65 | 15.5% | 0.6% | 32 | +0.11 | 4.42 | 113 | 82 |
| Jake Gozzo R 2026 · 7.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 7.15 | 14.3% | 30.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 5.29 | 15.8% | -0.7% | 129 | -1.86 | 4.29 | 162 | 82 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 82 |
| Jairo Beras R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 15.0% | 20.3% | 1.7% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 110 | 81 |
| Darvin Garcia R 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.93 | 13.4% | 19.6% | 2.7% | .277 | 4.87 | 15.5% | -3.1% | 80 | -1.06 | 2.97 | 212 | 81 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 81 |
| Ryan Vanderhei R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 14.6% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.56 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 39 | -1.70 | 3.56 | 130 | 81 |
| Leandro Linares R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 81 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2025 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.06 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 4.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 108 | 81 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2026 · 6.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.70 | 10.3% | 15.9% | 4.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.25 | 110 | 81 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2027 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 80 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 80 |
| Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 6.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.68 | 13.5% | 18.4% | 4.3% | .245 | 4.87 | 17.4% | 4.0% | 147 | -1.81 | 4.31 | 164 | 80 |
| Abel Brito R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.54 | 14.0% | 23.6% | 3.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 147 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 15.2% | 16.6% | 1.20 | 6.04 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |