Tim Elliott — OGILVIE

Tim Elliott P Everett AquaSox

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%21.9%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	19	10	82	386	90	42	20	53%	4.3	18.0%	12.5%	5.4%	6.0%	6.78	6.47	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	19	10	82	386	90	42	20	53%	4.3	23.3%	10.9%	12.4%	5.2%	6.78	5.60	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	5	31	158	40	10	9	22%	1.3	19.5%	7.3%	12.2%	5.8%	10.45	5.54	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	23	5	31	158	40	10	9	22%	1.3	25.3%	6.3%	19.0%	5.7%	10.45	5.26	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	25	0	25	114	23	16	4	0%	1.0	15.5%	16.1%	-0.6%	4.3%	4.01	6.21	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	25	0	25	114	23	16	4	0%	1.0	15.5%	16.1%	-0.6%	4.3%	4.01	6.21	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	25	0	25	114	23	16	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	14.0%	6.1%	3.5%	4.01	5.29	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SEA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.70	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.74	4.79	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.74	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.74	4.41	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.74	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		67	15	138	658	118	78	37	22%	2.1	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	5.7%	7.11	6.20	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	22	200	954	171	113	54	22%	2.1	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	5.7%	7.11	6.20	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tim Elliott (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	21.9%	11.2%	3.0%	—	4.79	21.9%	10.6%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	76
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	76
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	75
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	74
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	74
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	74
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	74
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	74
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	74
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	73
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	72
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	72
Peter Tago R 2021 · 3.91 FIP	29	SU	3.91	21.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	207	72
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	72
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	72
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	72
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	71