Miguel Alfonseca
P
St. Lucie Mets
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%22.0%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 10.9% | 30.4% | -19.6% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 6.04 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 10.9% | 30.4% | -19.6% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 6.53 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 14 | 7 | 31 | 145 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 50% | 2.2 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 5.52 | 4.24 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 14 | 7 | 31 | 145 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 50% | 2.2 | 26.9% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 1.4% | 5.52 | 2.78 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 1 | 44 | 205 | 51 | 25 | 3 | 4% | 1.7 | 20.1% | 16.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 4.85 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 1 | 44 | 205 | 51 | 25 | 3 | 4% | 1.7 | 24.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 1.5% | 4.67 | 3.37 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 33 | 163 | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.4% | 12.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 7.56 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 33 | 163 | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 7.56 | 4.63 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 22 | 0 | 28 | 138 | 18 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 9.7% | 18.0% | -8.3% | 5.8% | 5.79 | 7.73 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 22 | 0 | 28 | 138 | 18 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 15.2% | -2.2% | 2.9% | 5.79 | 5.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 12 | 146 | 697 | 108 | 111 | 18 | 13% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 15.9% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 5.23 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 122 | 16 | 200 | 955 | 148 | 152 | 25 | 13% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 15.9% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 5.23 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miguel Alfonseca (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.60 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 82 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 81 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 81 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 80 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 80 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 80 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 80 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.82 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .313 | 4.72 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 84 | -0.10 | 4.36 | 194 | 80 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 79 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 79 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 79 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 79 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 79 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 79 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 79 |