Jake Bockenstedt
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.52
FIP5.52
K%16.1%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%3.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 5 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 3.00 | 6.62 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 5 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 3.00 | 6.43 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 92 | 410 | 93 | 46 | 13 | 95% | 4.2 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.69 | 6.82 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 92 | 410 | 93 | 46 | 13 | 95% | 4.2 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 5.69 | 4.42 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 27 | 18 | 103 | 433 | 95 | 43 | 8 | 67% | 3.8 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 4.81 | 4.62 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 27 | 18 | 103 | 433 | 95 | 43 | 8 | 67% | 3.8 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 1.8% | 4.81 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 23 | 0 | 30 | 142 | 29 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.6% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 5.70 | 4.01 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.52 | 5.52 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.1% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.52 | 5.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 100 | 438 | 77 | 53 | 12 | — | — | 17.5% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.57 | 5.07 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.1% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.52 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 49 | 36 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.42 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 48 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.39 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.42 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.39 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 47 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.40 | 5.06 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 104 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.40 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 39 | 231 | 1009 | 172 | 123 | 42 | 51% | 3.0 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.23 | 5.48 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 34 | 200 | 875 | 149 | 107 | 36 | 51% | 3.0 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.23 | 5.48 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Bockenstedt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.52 | 16.1% | 12.7% | 3.3% | — | 5.44 | 17.0% | 4.6% | 136 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 87 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 84 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 84 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 82 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 82 |
| Robbie Peto R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 81 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 81 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 15.4% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .283 | 4.97 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 94 | -0.21 | 3.73 | 550 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 79 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 79 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 79 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 78 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.74 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .236 | 3.71 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 172 | -1.03 | 2.59 | 280 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 78 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 77 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 77 |
| Kaleb Roper R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.54 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.4% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.54 | 146 | 76 |
| Braxton Hyde R 2024 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.67 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 198 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 16.7% | 12.5% | 1.28 | 5.44 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |