Jake Bockenstedt

Jake Bockenstedt P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.28

K%16.1%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%3.5%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	5	0	6	24	6	2	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	8.3%	3.00	6.62	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	5	0	6	24	6	2	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	8.3%	3.00	6.43	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	92	410	93	46	13	95%	4.2	17.0%	13.1%	3.9%	5.0%	5.69	6.05	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	92	410	93	46	13	95%	4.2	17.0%	13.1%	3.9%	5.0%	5.69	6.05	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	92	410	93	46	13	95%	4.2	22.7%	11.2%	11.5%	3.2%	5.69	4.42	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	27	18	103	433	95	43	8	67%	3.8	16.9%	11.4%	5.5%	2.5%	4.81	4.49	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	27	18	103	433	95	43	8	67%	3.8	16.9%	11.4%	5.5%	2.5%	4.81	4.49	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	27	18	103	433	95	43	8	67%	3.8	21.9%	9.9%	12.0%	1.8%	4.81	3.52	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	34	162	33	16	2	0%	1.2	16.4%	11.2%	5.2%	1.1%	6.15	3.74	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	34	162	33	16	2	0%	1.2	16.4%	11.2%	5.2%	1.1%	6.15	3.74	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	34	162	33	16	2	0%	1.2	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	1.2%	6.15	3.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CWS	57	0	60	253	41	32	7	0%	1.1	16.1%	12.6%	3.5%	2.9%	5.28	5.28	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55	0	58	244	41	30	7	0%	1.0	16.7%	12.4%	4.3%	3.0%	5.24	5.27	-0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	CWS	52	0	55	233	39	29	7	0%	1.1	17.0%	12.4%	4.6%	3.1%	5.27	5.33	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	20	0	21	89	15	11	3	0%	1.1	16.7%	12.4%	4.3%	3.0%	5.24	5.27	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	CWS	29	0	30	127	21	16	4	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.4%	4.6%	3.1%	5.27	5.33	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	217	37	27	7	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.4%	4.5%	3.1%	5.26	4.93	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	105	27	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.4%	4.5%	3.1%	5.26	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		81	39	234	1029	175	123	35	48%	2.9	17.0%	12.0%	5.0%	3.4%	5.30	5.05	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	33	200	878	150	105	30	48%	2.9	17.0%	12.0%	5.0%	3.4%	5.30	5.05	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Bockenstedt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	16.1%	12.6%	2.9%	—	5.30	16.8%	4.4%	113	+0.02	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	86
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	85
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	82
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	80
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	80
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	80
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	78
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	78
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	77
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	77
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	76
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	76
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	76
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	76
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	76
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	76
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	76
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	16.6%	12.4%	1.16	5.26
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57