Connor Staine
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 128
ERA5.70
FIP5.70
K%13.8%
BB%14.6%
K-BB%-0.8%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 147 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 21 | 20 | 94 | 418 | 93 | 28 | 8 | 95% | 4.5 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 5.25 | 3.71 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 21 | 20 | 94 | 418 | 93 | 28 | 8 | 95% | 4.5 | 22.2% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 1.9% | 5.25 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 20 | 19 | 90 | 383 | 101 | 42 | 11 | 95% | 4.5 | 20.3% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.66 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 20 | 19 | 90 | 383 | 101 | 42 | 11 | 95% | 4.5 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 3.84 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 25 | 25 | 106 | 475 | 82 | 56 | 15 | 100% | 4.3 | 14.0% | 13.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.91 | 4.94 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 25 | 25 | 106 | 475 | 82 | 56 | 15 | 100% | 4.3 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 4.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 16 | 15 | 79 | 336 | 79 | 42 | 12 | 94% | 4.9 | 19.0% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.22 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 40 | 42 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 13.8% | 14.6% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 14.6% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 147 | 624 | 119 | 84 | 20 | — | — | 19.0% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 5.64 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 13.8% | 14.6% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.32 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 46 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.52 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 69 | 292 | 47 | 40 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.1% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.52 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 16.1% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 51 | 44 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.48 | 5.09 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 134 | 116 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.48 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 79 | 370 | 1612 | 277 | 189 | 46 | 96% | 4.5 | 17.2% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.69 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 43 | 200 | 871 | 150 | 102 | 25 | 96% | 4.5 | 17.2% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor Staine (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.70 | 13.8% | 14.6% | 2.8% | — | 5.47 | 15.8% | 2.0% | 139 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.61 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 3.15 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.46 | 2.74 | 178 | 89 |
| Trystan Vrieling R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.66 | 16.8% | 17.2% | 3.3% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 297 | 85 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Johnny Hellweg R 2027 · 5.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.98 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.11 | 15.2% | 2.0% | 48 | -1.87 | 2.98 | 109 | 81 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.43 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.99 | 3.93 | 419 | 81 |
| Tanner Hall R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 81 |
| Ryan Cardona R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.21 | 12.0% | 14.9% | 2.3% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 367 | 80 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 78 |
| Will Carter R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 11.1% | 18.0% | 1.2% | .305 | 4.27 | 15.0% | 1.2% | 105 | -0.82 | 3.11 | 335 | 78 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 78 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 77 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 76 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.10 | 17.4% | 13.7% | 3.1% | .277 | 6.80 | 21.0% | 8.1% | 34 | +1.70 | 4.19 | 285 | 76 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 75 |
| Grant Judkins R 2025 · 6.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.22 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.0% | .306 | 5.85 | 15.7% | 6.6% | 207 | -0.37 | 5.40 | 322 | 75 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2024 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 74 |
| Evan Yates R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.51 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 2.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 169 | 74 |
| Chris McElvain R 2026 · 6.60 FIP | 25 | SP | 6.60 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.6% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 287 | 73 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 73 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 15.2% | 14.1% | 1.10 | 5.55 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |