Jacob Meador P Tulsa Drillers
Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 183 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 172162vR 153
ERA6.86
FIP6.86
K%13.6%
BB%21.7%
K-BB%-8.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
K: -5.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -12.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-12BBCONTACT: -3.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +4.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -1.72 (70 IP)-1.7WAR
-0.5-0.42627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL2020
CMD2020
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221MIX2 levels73937142243%1.237.8%5.4%32.4%5.4%4.153.56
202221MIX2 levels73937142243%1.237.8%5.4%32.4%5.4%4.153.56
202423MIX2 levels251810145896591372%4.015.6%14.0%1.6%3.1%5.195.28
202423MIX2 levels251810145896591372%4.021.0%12.9%8.1%2.8%5.194.63
202524AATulsa Drillers2710502534649837%1.914.7%21.3%-6.6%4.2%8.286.83
202524AATulsa Drillers2710502534649837%1.918.2%19.4%-1.2%3.2%8.286.28
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBLAD670702964064100%1.013.6%21.7%-8.0%3.3%6.866.86-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBLAD670702964660100%1.015.4%20.4%-4.9%3.2%6.576.54-1.5
202827MLBLAD660692914757100%1.016.0%19.6%-3.6%3.3%6.406.41-1.3
202726MLBLAD30031131202740%1.015.4%20.4%-4.9%3.2%6.576.54-0.7
202827MLBLAD42044186303660%1.016.0%19.6%-3.6%3.3%6.406.41-1.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career710743145063100%1.015.8%19.9%-4.1%3.3%6.476.08-1.1
/ 200 IP1900200844134169270%1.115.8%19.9%-4.1%3.3%6.476.08-1.6
Career59311597481231202753%2.716.4%16.1%0.3%3.6%6.105.72-0.6
/ 200 IP74392009391541513453%2.716.4%16.1%0.3%3.6%6.105.72-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jacob Meador (OGILVIE) 6.86 13.6%21.7%3.3% 6.48 15.7%-4.3%139 -0.38
David Whitehead R 2025 · 5.99 FIP 24 SW 5.99 10.7%19.2%2.5%.328 4.25 217 73
Lucas Erceg R 2027 · 5.74 FIP 26 SP- 5.74 17.1%18.1%3.3%.258 3.41 25.1%13.7%193 -2.33 2.09 339 73
Pedro Garcia R 2024 · 6.06 FIP 23 SW 6.06 12.6%24.0%1.8%.242 3.35 144 73
Oscar Verdugo R 2026 · 6.84 FIP 25 SP- 6.84 10.5%13.9%5.2%.241 6.16 10.8%-1.8%74 -0.68 5.39 144 72
Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP 25 SW 5.71 15.3%13.4%4.0%.325 5.38 232 72
Blake Hickman R 2025 · 6.54 FIP 24 SW 6.54 12.9%17.8%4.1%.312 4.45 156 72
Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 71
Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.66 FIP 27 SW 6.66 12.4%14.8%5.0%.314 4.38 15.8%4.6%70 -2.28 3.26 118 69
Jordan Brink R 2024 · 5.96 FIP 23 SW 5.96 18.3%19.2%3.6%.233 4.10 132 69
Braxton Hyde R 2025 · 5.67 FIP 24 SW 5.67 14.0%12.3%4.0%.345 3.90 198 69
Michael Kelly R 2026 · 6.28 FIP 25 SW 6.28 14.6%24.2%2.5%.299 3.61 24.8%15.9%45 -2.67 2.83 666 69
Jacob Dahlstrand R 2026 · 5.70 FIP 25 SW 5.70 8.6%13.8%2.9%.313 3.06 119 68
Levi Stoudt R 2026 · 6.29 FIP 25 SP- 6.29 13.7%13.8%4.7%.280 6.31 15.7%3.3%110 +0.02 4.37 395 67
Drake Fellows R 2026 · 5.70 FIP 25 SW 5.70 17.1%20.4%2.7%.367 4.86 16.3%5.6%215 -0.84 4.58 226 67
Miguel Medrano R 2025 · 6.01 FIP 24 SW 6.01 18.1%18.6%3.8%.287 2.73 232 67
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2024 · 5.84 FIP 23 SW 5.84 16.6%14.9%4.1%.307 4.59 120 66
Ethan Bosacker R 2026 · 5.94 FIP 25 SW 5.94 15.2%14.0%4.3%.280 3.38 272 64
Mike Ruff R 2026 · 6.85 FIP 25 SW 6.85 14.7%13.7%5.9%.292 3.86 260 64
Eriq Swan R 2025 · 5.91 FIP 24 SP- 5.91 17.1%16.4%4.0%.316 4.78 128 64
Aldo Montes R 2026 · 6.51 FIP 25 SP- 6.51 11.6%10.4%5.6%.337 4.61 11.6%1.4%110 -1.90 4.41 210 63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37015.0%20.6%1.266.61
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77