Drew Conover — OGILVIE

Drew Conover P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 185 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157149vR 141

ERA6.53

FIP6.53

K%12.1%

BB%20.1%

K-BB%-8.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	1	0	1	4	2	2	0	0%	0.7	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	5.21	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	1	0	1	4	2	2	0	0%	0.7	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	5.21	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	1	0	1	4	2	2	0	0%	0.7	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.10	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	7	40	238	50	64	2	41%	2.4	15.6%	29.8%	-14.2%	1.3%	11.38	6.25	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	7	40	238	50	64	2	41%	2.4	15.6%	29.8%	-14.2%	1.3%	11.38	6.25	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	7	40	238	50	64	2	41%	2.4	21.0%	26.9%	-5.9%	0.8%	11.38	6.03	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	9	69	319	59	36	3	45%	3.5	12.9%	13.9%	-1.0%	1.3%	4.67	4.49	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	9	69	319	59	36	3	45%	3.5	12.9%	13.9%	-1.0%	1.3%	4.67	4.49	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	9	69	319	59	36	3	45%	3.5	18.5%	11.3%	7.2%	0.9%	4.67	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	30	1	37	179	28	31	5	3%	1.2	12.0%	19.9%	-7.9%	3.5%	6.14	6.52	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	30	1	37	179	28	31	5	3%	1.2	12.0%	19.9%	-7.9%	3.5%	6.14	6.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	CWS	30	1	37	179	28	31	5	3%	1.2	15.6%	17.3%	-1.7%	2.8%	6.14	5.51	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CWS	6	0	6	27	3	5	1	0%	1.1	12.1%	20.1%	-8.1%	2.8%	6.53	6.53	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	43	206	31	36	6	—	—	15.2%	17.7%	-2.5%	2.8%	6.19	6.52	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	67	0	70	296	42	56	8	0%	1.0	14.3%	19.0%	-4.7%	2.8%	6.25	6.21	-1.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	66	0	69	291	44	53	8	0%	1.0	14.9%	18.3%	-3.4%	2.9%	6.11	6.11	-1.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	282	43	51	8	0%	1.0	15.2%	18.0%	-2.8%	3.0%	6.07	6.11	-1.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	41	49	8	0%	1.0	15.2%	18.0%	-2.8%	3.1%	6.12	6.19	-1.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	29	0	30	127	18	24	4	0%	1.0	14.3%	19.0%	-4.7%	2.8%	6.25	6.21	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	41	0	43	182	27	33	5	0%	1.0	14.9%	18.3%	-3.4%	2.9%	6.11	6.11	-0.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	48	0	50	211	32	38	6	0%	1.0	15.2%	18.0%	-2.8%	3.0%	6.07	6.11	-0.8
2030	29	MLB CTX	CWS	50	0	52	220	33	40	7	0%	1.0	15.2%	18.0%	-2.8%	3.1%	6.12	6.19	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		168	0	176	743	111	136	22	0%	1.0	15.0%	18.3%	-3.3%	3.0%	6.13	5.77	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	126	155	25	0%	1.1	15.0%	18.3%	-3.3%	3.0%	6.13	5.77	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		68	17	147	740	102	153	13	25%	2.2	13.8%	20.7%	-6.9%	1.8%	6.86	5.55	-5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	23	200	1007	139	208	18	25%	2.2	13.8%	20.7%	-6.9%	1.8%	6.86	5.55	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Conover (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.53	12.1%	20.1%	2.8%	—	6.14	14.8%	-3.7%	206	-0.39	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	83
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	81
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	79
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	79
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	78
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	77
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	76
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	75
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	75
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	74
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	74
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	74
Taylor Hawkins R 2017 · 5.98 FIP	23	SU	5.98	7.4%	19.5%	1.9%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	5.38	112	73
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	73
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	73
Michael Kelly R 2018 · 6.36 FIP	25	SW	6.36	14.6%	24.2%	2.6%	.299	3.51	24.8%	15.9%	45	-2.85	2.77	666	73
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	73
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	72
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	72
Parker French R 2018 · 5.80 FIP	25	SW	5.80	7.8%	16.0%	2.4%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	415	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	14.3%	18.7%	1.12	6.22
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91