Drew Conover
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 185 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 162153vR 144
ERA6.43
FIP6.43
K%12.1%
BB%19.3%
K-BB%-7.3%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 6.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 7 | 40 | 238 | 50 | 64 | 2 | 41% | 2.4 | 15.6% | 29.8% | -14.2% | 1.4% | 11.38 | 6.30 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 7 | 40 | 238 | 50 | 64 | 2 | 41% | 2.4 | 21.0% | 26.9% | -5.9% | 0.8% | 11.38 | 6.03 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 9 | 69 | 319 | 59 | 36 | 3 | 45% | 3.5 | 12.9% | 13.9% | -1.0% | 1.4% | 4.67 | 4.52 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 9 | 69 | 319 | 59 | 36 | 3 | 45% | 3.5 | 18.5% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 4.67 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 21 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 14 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 8.5% | 19.0% | -10.5% | 4.9% | 5.40 | 7.49 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 36 | 57 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.1% | 19.3% | -7.3% | 2.8% | 6.43 | 6.43 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.1% | 19.3% | -7.3% | 2.8% | 6.43 | 6.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 97 | 423 | 50 | 78 | 13 | — | — | 11.8% | 18.5% | -6.7% | 3.1% | 6.15 | 6.72 | -1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.1% | 19.3% | -7.3% | 2.8% | 6.43 | 6.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 54 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 18.3% | -4.0% | 2.8% | 6.16 | 6.13 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 44 | 52 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 17.7% | -2.7% | 2.9% | 6.02 | 6.03 | -1.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 43 | 49 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.2% | 17.4% | -2.2% | 3.0% | 5.99 | 6.03 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 18 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 18.3% | -4.0% | 2.8% | 6.16 | 6.13 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 27 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 17.7% | -2.7% | 2.9% | 6.02 | 6.03 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 32 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.2% | 17.4% | -2.2% | 3.0% | 5.99 | 6.03 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 78 | 93 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 17.7% | -2.8% | 2.9% | 6.04 | 5.67 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 126 | 150 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 17.7% | -2.8% | 2.9% | 6.04 | 5.67 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 59 | 16 | 137 | 688 | 91 | 141 | 14 | 27% | 2.3 | 13.3% | 20.6% | -7.3% | 2.0% | 6.77 | 5.69 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 23 | 200 | 1004 | 133 | 206 | 20 | 27% | 2.3 | 13.3% | 20.6% | -7.3% | 2.0% | 6.77 | 5.69 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Conover (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.43 | 12.1% | 19.3% | 2.8% | — | 6.06 | 14.8% | -3.0% | 206 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Blake Hickman R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 79 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2024 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 79 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 77 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.52 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 2.5% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 178 | 75 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 75 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 75 |
| Taylor Hawkins R 2024 · 6.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.08 | 7.4% | 19.5% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.37 | 112 | 74 |
| Jarod Wright R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.87 | 12.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .282 | 4.28 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 53 | -1.59 | 4.28 | 170 | 74 |
| Geison Urbaez R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.51 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | .268 | 6.81 | 14.9% | -2.0% | 33 | +1.30 | 4.02 | 241 | 74 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 73 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 73 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2024 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 73 |
| Leandro Linares R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 73 |
| Michael Kelly R 2026 · 6.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.28 | 14.6% | 24.2% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.61 | 24.8% | 15.9% | 45 | -2.67 | 2.83 | 666 | 73 |
| Logan Sendelbach R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 12.3% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 340 | 73 |
| Brady Schanuel R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.65 | 17.9% | 23.5% | 2.0% | .200 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 132 | 72 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 72 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 72 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 14.1% | 18.2% | 1.10 | 6.15 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |