Ted Stuka — OGILVIE

Ted Stuka P FCL Tigers

Age 29 RHP 6'7" / 225 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%23.0%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers West	4	4	6	24	6	3	0	100%	1.4	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	7.94	2.57	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	GCL Tigers West	4	4	6	24	6	3	0	100%	1.4	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	7.94	2.57	—
2021	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	9	64	323	54	64	3	36%	2.6	12.4%	23.4%	-11.0%	1.3%	5.91	5.72	—
2021	24	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	25	9	64	323	54	64	3	36%	2.6	16.7%	19.8%	-3.1%	0.9%	5.91	5.02	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	28	145	30	33	1	0%	1.1	16.4%	23.6%	-7.2%	1.2%	9.11	5.36	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	28	145	30	33	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	22.8%	-2.1%	0.7%	9.11	4.98	—
2023	26	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	15	0	17	85	19	25	1	0%	1.1	15.2%	36.8%	-21.6%	1.8%	7.94	7.45	—
2023	26	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	15	0	17	85	19	25	1	0%	1.1	15.2%	36.8%	-21.6%	1.8%	7.94	7.45	—
2023	26	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	15	0	17	85	19	25	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	29.4%	-7.1%	1.2%	7.94	6.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	DET	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	23.0%	15.5%	7.4%	3.0%	5.15	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	DET	19	0	20	84	19	13	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.2%	7.5%	3.2%	5.17	5.24	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	DET	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	15.2%	7.5%	3.2%	5.17	5.24	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	15.2%	7.5%	3.2%	5.17	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	134	33	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.2%	7.5%	3.2%	5.17	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		70	13	114	577	83	144	7	19%	1.6	14.3%	24.9%	-10.6%	1.3%	7.08	5.76	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	23	200	1009	145	252	13	19%	1.6	14.3%	24.9%	-10.6%	1.3%	7.08	5.76	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ted Stuka (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	23.0%	15.5%	3.0%	—	5.24	22.7%	7.5%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	78
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	76
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	75
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	72
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	72
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	71
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	71
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	71
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	70
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	70
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	70
Jordan Jankowski R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	21.8%	16.9%	2.5%	.396	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	196	69
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	69
Louis Head R 2019 · 4.85 FIP	29	SU	4.85	21.2%	12.7%	3.5%	.450	3.54	23.7%	13.1%	108	-1.31	2.76	336	68
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	68
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	68
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	67
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	67