Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 4 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 1.5 | 34.5% | 6.9% | 27.6% | 3.4% | 6.00 | 2.95 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 4 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 1.5 | 34.5% | 6.9% | 27.6% | 3.4% | 6.00 | 2.93 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 21 | 5 | 63 | 324 | 53 | 40 | 8 | 24% | 3.0 | 12.1% | 14.6% | -2.5% | 2.4% | 9.05 | 5.25 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 21 | 5 | 63 | 324 | 53 | 40 | 8 | 24% | 3.0 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 9.05 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 32 | 0 | 47 | 232 | 31 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.3% | 15.9% | -5.6% | 4.5% | 6.27 | 6.70 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 32 | 0 | 47 | 232 | 31 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.4% | 13.8% | -0.4% | 3.0% | 6.27 | 5.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 25 | 45 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.0% | 18.0% | -8.0% | 3.2% | 6.67 | 6.67 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 32 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.7% | 17.1% | -4.3% | 3.2% | 6.36 | 6.31 | -1.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 33 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.5% | 16.6% | -3.0% | 3.2% | 6.20 | 6.20 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 14 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.7% | 17.1% | -4.3% | 3.2% | 6.36 | 6.31 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 21 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.5% | 16.6% | -3.0% | 3.2% | 6.20 | 6.20 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 0 | 62 | 264 | 35 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.2% | 16.8% | -3.6% | 3.2% | 6.27 | 5.86 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 112 | 141 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.2% | 16.8% | -3.6% | 3.2% | 6.27 | 5.86 | -1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 7 | 116 | 585 | 73 | 86 | 19 | 12% | 2.0 | 12.5% | 14.7% | -2.2% | 3.3% | 7.76 | 5.71 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 12 | 200 | 1009 | 126 | 148 | 33 | 12% | 2.0 | 12.5% | 14.7% | -2.2% | 3.3% | 7.76 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tom Reisinger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.67 | 10.0% | 18.0% | 3.2% | — | 6.26 | 13.1% | -3.7% | 118 | -0.41 | — | — | — |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.52 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 2.5% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 178 | 79 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 78 |
| Blake Hickman R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 78 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Jarod Wright R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.87 | 12.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .282 | 4.28 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 53 | -1.59 | 4.28 | 170 | 77 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 77 |
| Luke Savage R 2025 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 77 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 76 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 75 |
| Dallas Woolfolk R 2025 · 6.39 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.39 | 12.9% | 21.9% | 2.9% | .324 | 5.21 | 14.0% | 0.7% | 50 | -1.18 | 5.21 | 100 | 75 |
| Edward Baram R 2026 · 6.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.45 | 11.8% | 18.3% | 3.7% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.82 | 119 | 75 |
| Damon Casetta-Stubbs R 2024 · 6.65 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.65 | 10.5% | 17.0% | 4.2% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 122 | 75 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2024 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 74 |
| Taylor Hawkins R 2024 · 6.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.08 | 7.4% | 19.5% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.37 | 112 | 74 |
| Leandro Linares R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 74 |
| Jake Ehret R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 12.3% | 15.8% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 173 | 74 |
| Logan Sendelbach R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 12.3% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 340 | 74 |
| Audry Lugo R 2024 · 5.73 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.73 | 13.7% | 16.3% | 3.1% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 113 | 74 |
| Geison Urbaez R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.51 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | .268 | 6.81 | 14.9% | -2.0% | 33 | +1.30 | 4.02 | 241 | 74 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 15.5% | 16.8% | 3.1% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 195 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 12.1% | 17.2% | 1.23 | 6.41 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |