J.P. Massey — OGILVIE

J.P. Massey P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.16

FIP6.16

K%14.6%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%-3.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	80	342	83	47	7	90%	4.0	18.2%	16.0%	2.2%	2.5%	3.81	4.95	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	80	342	83	47	7	90%	4.0	18.2%	16.0%	2.2%	2.5%	3.81	4.95	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	18	80	342	83	47	7	90%	4.0	24.3%	13.7%	10.5%	2.0%	3.81	3.92	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	20	17	69	316	66	39	6	85%	3.4	16.1%	14.2%	1.9%	2.1%	5.24	4.72	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	20	17	69	316	66	39	6	85%	3.4	16.1%	14.2%	1.9%	2.1%	5.24	4.72	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	20	17	69	316	66	39	6	85%	3.4	20.9%	12.3%	8.5%	1.9%	5.24	4.02	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	34	0	46	219	44	32	6	0%	1.4	15.5%	16.8%	-1.3%	3.3%	6.80	5.71	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	34	0	46	219	44	32	6	0%	1.4	15.5%	16.8%	-1.3%	3.3%	6.80	5.71	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	34	0	46	219	44	32	6	0%	1.4	20.1%	14.6%	5.5%	2.7%	6.80	4.96	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PIT	5	0	5	21	3	4	1	0%	1.0	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	2.9%	6.16	6.16	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	58	0	61	257	40	45	8	0%	1.1	15.5%	17.4%	-1.9%	3.0%	6.00	6.01	-0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	PIT	56	0	59	250	40	42	8	0%	1.1	16.0%	16.9%	-0.9%	3.1%	5.93	5.97	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	21	0	22	93	14	16	3	0%	1.0	15.5%	17.4%	-1.9%	3.0%	6.00	6.01	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	PIT	33	0	35	148	24	25	5	0%	1.1	16.0%	16.9%	-0.9%	3.1%	5.93	5.97	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	38	41	7	0%	1.1	15.8%	17.1%	-1.3%	3.1%	5.96	5.61	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	133	143	24	0%	1.1	15.8%	17.1%	-1.3%	3.1%	5.96	5.61	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		74	35	195	877	147	136	22	47%	2.6	16.8%	15.6%	1.2%	2.6%	5.02	5.06	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	36	200	898	150	140	23	47%	2.6	16.8%	15.6%	1.2%	2.6%	5.02	5.06	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
J.P. Massey (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.16	14.6%	18.2%	2.9%	—	5.99	15.7%	-1.4%	120	-0.17	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	82
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	79
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	75
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	75
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	75
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	74
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	73
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	73
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.91	14.2%	5.1%	266	-0.75	4.32	277	73
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	72
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.37	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.24	2.10	346	72
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.01	21.7%	7.0%	161	-1.05	3.37	241	71
Ricky Salinas R 2022 · 5.79 FIP	26	SU	5.79	14.3%	15.1%	3.6%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	274	71
Michael Kelly R 2018 · 6.36 FIP	25	SW	6.36	14.6%	24.2%	2.6%	.299	3.51	24.8%	15.9%	45	-2.85	2.77	666	71
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	71
Brad Case R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	26	SW	5.46	15.4%	17.4%	2.6%	.341	3.96	10.6%	4.5%	37	-1.50	3.78	393	70
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	70
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	70
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	70
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	15.4%	17.5%	1.16	6.03
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99