Will Schomberg

P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 26 RHP 5'10" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.9 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#984ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	25	25	116	3.71	3.56	28.6%	13.3%	—	K 21.4% · BB 15.6% · FIP 4.85
2025	24	MIX2 levels	24	13	90	3.20	2.89	29.9%	10.2%	—	K 23.3% · BB 11.6% · FIP 3.86
2026	25	AAMIA	3	3	7	6.14	2.28	33.3%	16.7%	—	K 33.3% · BB 16.7% · FIP 2.40
2027PROJ	26	MLBMIA	1	1	3	4.79	4.79	23.0%	13.2%	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBMIA	7	7	42	4.68	4.70	22.9%	12.7%	0.3
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBMIA	10	10	58	4.70	4.74	22.7%	12.5%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control35Command50

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRorik Maltrud (age 24) · Zach Fruit (age 24) · Luis Santos (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%23.0%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%9.9%

Proj IP136

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1.0M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	17	1	5	0	0%	0.9	5.9%	29.4%	-23.5%	0.0%	10.12	6.33	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	17	1	5	0	0%	0.9	5.9%	29.4%	-23.5%	0.0%	10.12	7.97	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	116	518	148	69	11	100%	4.7	21.4%	15.6%	5.9%	2.9%	3.71	4.85	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	116	518	148	69	11	100%	4.7	21.4%	15.6%	5.9%	2.9%	3.71	4.85	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	116	518	148	69	11	100%	4.7	28.6%	13.3%	15.3%	2.1%	3.71	3.56	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	13	90	374	112	38	7	54%	3.8	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.3%	3.20	3.86	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	13	90	374	112	38	7	54%	3.8	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.3%	3.20	3.86	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	13	90	374	112	38	7	54%	3.8	29.9%	10.2%	19.8%	1.9%	3.20	2.89	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	3	3	7	36	12	6	0	100%	2.4	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	6.14	2.40	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	3	3	7	36	12	6	0	100%	2.4	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	6.14	2.40	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	3	3	7	36	12	6	0	100%	2.4	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	6.14	2.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	MIA	1	1	3	13	3	2	0	100%	3.0	23.0%	13.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	18	18	111	468	107	59	14	100%	6.2	22.9%	12.7%	10.2%	3.0%	4.76	4.78	+0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	98	415	94	52	13	100%	6.1	22.7%	12.5%	10.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.82	+0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIA	15	15	89	377	85	47	12	100%	6.0	22.4%	12.4%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.92	+0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIA	13	13	80	340	75	43	12	100%	6.2	22.1%	12.6%	9.5%	3.4%	4.98	5.08	+0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	7	7	42	177	41	22	5	100%	6.0	22.9%	12.7%	10.2%	2.8%	4.68	4.70	+0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	58	245	56	31	7	100%	5.8	22.7%	12.5%	10.3%	2.9%	4.70	4.74	+0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	63	266	60	33	8	100%	6.3	22.4%	12.4%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.83	+0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	63	266	59	34	9	100%	6.3	22.1%	12.6%	9.5%	3.2%	4.89	4.99	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	38	226	956	215	120	29	100%	6.0	22.5%	12.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.45	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	190	106	26	100%	6.0	22.5%	12.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.45	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		55	41	216	945	211	135	24	75%	3.9	22.4%	14.3%	8.1%	2.5%	3.66	4.39	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	38	200	874	195	125	22	75%	3.9	22.4%	14.3%	8.1%	2.5%	3.66	4.39	+1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 7 IPFIP 2.40 → 3.14 (+0.75)K% 33.3% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	33.33%	—	×0.810	27.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.67%	—	×1.100	18.33%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.200	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.40 → 3.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 69 IPFIP 3.21 → 4.27 (+1.06)K% 29.3% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.25%	—	×0.770	22.52%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.56%	—	×1.150	13.30%
HR / BF /BF	2.04%	÷1.006	×1.250	2.53%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 101).

Result: FIP 3.21 → 4.27, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 21 IPFIP 1.68 → 2.32 (+0.65)K% 32.5% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.50%	—	×0.810	26.33%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.00%	—	×1.100	5.50%
HR / BF /BF	1.25%	÷1.103	×1.200	1.36%

Result: FIP 1.68 → 2.32, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AModesto Nuts · 70 IPFIP 2.62 → 3.85 (+1.23)K% 31.5% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.49%	—	×0.740	23.31%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.99%	—	×1.180	15.32%
HR / BF /BF	0.97%	÷0.897	×1.300	1.41%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 79).

Result: FIP 2.62 → 3.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 46 IPFIP 4.89 → 6.33 (+1.44)K% 24.3% → 18.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.29%	—	×0.770	18.70%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.81%	—	×1.150	15.88%
HR / BF /BF	3.81%	÷0.935	×1.250	5.10%

Result: FIP 4.89 → 6.33, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Schomberg (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	23.0%	13.2%	2.9%	—	4.84	22.7%	10.2%	298	+0.05	—	—	—
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	80
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	79
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	79
Isaac Coffey R 2024 · 3.67 FIP	24	SP	3.67	24.3%	11.4%	2.1%	.280	5.77	18.5%	6.9%	56	+2.10	3.67	287	77
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	76
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	76
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	76
Rafael Montero R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	22.0%	11.2%	2.2%	.339	3.41	28.7%	22.8%	47	-0.47	2.43	714	76
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	75
Tyler Cravy R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	26	SP-	3.94	17.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.305	4.61	18.6%	7.8%	138	+0.67	3.94	276	75
Yariel Rodríguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	27	SP	3.76	24.9%	11.4%	2.4%	.275	3.72	24.1%	12.7%	89	-0.04	2.32	196	75
Luke Russo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	23	SP	3.74	21.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.326	5.00	19.6%	8.8%	159	+1.26	3.74	260	75
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	75
Mike Clevinger R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SP-	3.64	26.5%	11.3%	2.5%	.274	3.11	28.3%	20.3%	368	-0.53	2.28	1,236	75
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	75
Dylan Cumming R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	25	SP-	3.75	21.6%	9.8%	2.2%	.337	4.63	16.6%	8.0%	198	+0.88	3.75	406	74
J.P. France R 2021 · 4.04 FIP	26	SP-	4.04	27.6%	11.3%	3.4%	.306	4.38	21.0%	11.5%	292	+0.34	4.04	577	74
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	74
Hayden Minton R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	23	SP	4.04	19.7%	12.3%	1.9%	.357	4.53	19.4%	10.3%	187	+0.49	4.04	280	73
Riley Gowens R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	22.6%	10.3%	3.7%	.279	4.37	21.3%	12.1%	173	-0.18	4.30	295	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 927 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 430 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	103	22.7%	12.7%	1.19	4.82
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Les Cain ('68-'72, 2 WAR*)	1.9	93	24.6%*	12.9%*	1.00*	4.66*
Scipio Spinks ('69-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.0	67	23.7%*	12.2%*	1.04*	4.52*
Ken Kravec ('75-'82, 5 WAR*)	4.3	123	23.6%*	10.7%*	1.11*	4.73*
Daisuke Matsuzaka ('14)	4.0	99	20.9%	11.2%	0.97	4.45
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45