Will Schomberg
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
+0.8
WAR
Age 25
RHP
5'10" / 200 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.1 · 2028
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.0%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%11.9%
IP99
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2028
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 10.12 | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 25 | 25 | 116 | 518 | 148 | 69 | 11 | 21.4% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 4.84 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 24 | 13 | 90 | 374 | 112 | 38 | 7 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.85 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 2 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.44 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 18 | 99 | 417 | 96 | 46 | 12 | 23.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.9 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 104 | 445 | 104 | 51 | 12 | 23.4% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 4.27 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 19 | 106 | 447 | 103 | 48 | 13 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 20 | 109 | 460 | 106 | 49 | 13 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 20 | 109 | 462 | 106 | 48 | 13 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.47 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 19 | 107 | 451 | 103 | 47 | 13 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.51 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 99 | 46 | 13 | 22.6% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.57 | +0.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 18 | 100 | 423 | 95 | 45 | 13 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.64 | +0.7 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 96 | 406 | 90 | 44 | 13 | 22.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.73 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 92 | 388 | 84 | 43 | 13 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.77 | 4.83 | +0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 16 | 87 | 368 | 79 | 41 | 12 | 21.4% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.87 | 4.94 | +0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 15 | 15 | 82 | 347 | 73 | 40 | 12 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 4.98 | 5.06 | +0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 77 | 325 | 73 | 35 | 12 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 4.92 | +0.2 |
| 2038 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 67 | 34 | 11 | 22.2% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 5.02 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 40 | 214 | 937 | 207 | 134 | 23 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 4.42 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 37 | 200 | 874 | 193 | 125 | 21 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 4.42 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Schomberg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 23.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.46 | 23.1% | 12.5% | 324 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.80 | 18.2% | 4.1% | 73 | -0.23 | 3.80 | 154 | 87 |
| Trent Sellers R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.51 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 2.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 178 | 87 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.90 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .284 | 3.50 | 22.7% | 14.3% | 84 | -1.40 | 3.50 | 368 | 86 |
| Ariel Peña R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.79 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.90 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 86 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 84 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.93 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.6% | .286 | 5.22 | 16.8% | 4.4% | 61 | +0.29 | 4.24 | 367 | 84 |
| Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.68 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .357 | 4.77 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 77 | +0.09 | 3.95 | 270 | 84 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.70 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.24 | 21.0% | 14.2% | 101 | -0.46 | 1.87 | 210 | 84 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.88 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.4% | .282 | 9.12 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.24 | 4.88 | 105 | 83 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.5% | .319 | 4.03 | 23.9% | 13.7% | 166 | -0.99 | 3.98 | 481 | 83 |
| Félix Peña R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.72 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.80 | 24.0% | 15.6% | 263 | +0.08 | 2.67 | 615 | 83 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.23 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .309 | 3.76 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 309 | -0.47 | 3.22 | 907 | 83 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2028 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .275 | 3.86 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 73 | +0.10 | 3.76 | 180 | 82 |
| George Klassen R 2024 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.2% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 196 | 82 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 3.86 | 23.1% | 15.3% | 135 | -0.61 | 3.35 | 394 | 82 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.98 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.24 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.26 | 3.98 | 115 | 82 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.57 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.30 | 3.27 | 339 | 81 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2023 · 4.92 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.92 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.92 | 119 | 81 |
| Corey Baker R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 17.4% | 10.2% | 1.5% | .295 | 5.02 | 15.5% | 7.3% | 170 | +1.25 | 3.08 | 267 | 81 |
| Austin Cates R 2023 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.95 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 110 | 81 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| Totals | $7M | $30M | +$23M | ||