Will Schomberg — OGILVIE

Will Schomberg P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.9 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION7 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%22.8%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	17	1	5	0	0%	0.9	5.9%	29.4%	-23.5%	0.0%	10.12	6.33	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	17	1	5	0	0%	0.9	5.9%	29.4%	-23.5%	0.0%	10.12	6.33	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	3	0	3	17	1	5	0	0%	0.9	5.9%	29.4%	-23.5%	0.0%	10.12	7.97	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	116	518	148	69	11	100%	4.7	21.4%	15.6%	5.9%	2.9%	3.71	4.85	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	116	518	148	69	11	100%	4.7	21.4%	15.6%	5.9%	2.9%	3.71	4.85	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	116	518	148	69	11	100%	4.7	28.6%	13.3%	15.3%	2.1%	3.71	3.56	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	13	90	374	112	38	7	54%	3.8	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.3%	3.20	3.86	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	13	90	374	112	38	7	54%	3.8	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.3%	3.20	3.86	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	13	90	374	112	38	7	54%	3.8	29.9%	10.2%	19.8%	1.9%	3.20	2.89	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	3	3	7	36	12	6	0	100%	2.4	—	—	—	—	6.14	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	3	3	7	36	12	6	0	100%	2.4	—	—	—	—	6.14	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	MIA	3	3	7	36	12	6	0	100%	2.4	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	6.14	2.40	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	MIA	2	2	11	48	11	7	1	100%	5.7	22.8%	13.7%	9.0%	2.8%	4.86	4.86	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	19	84	23	13	1	—	—	27.3%	15.0%	12.3%	1.6%	5.36	2.97	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	23	23	136	575	132	75	16	100%	5.9	22.9%	13.1%	9.8%	2.9%	4.78	4.78	+0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	22	22	134	567	129	72	17	100%	6.1	22.8%	12.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.76	4.77	+0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIA	22	22	130	550	125	70	17	100%	5.9	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.79	4.83	+0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIA	21	21	124	525	118	67	17	100%	5.9	22.4%	12.8%	9.6%	3.2%	4.88	4.95	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIA	19	19	117	494	109	65	17	100%	6.2	22.1%	13.1%	9.0%	3.4%	5.03	5.13	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	60	253	58	33	7	100%	6.0	22.9%	13.1%	9.8%	2.7%	4.70	4.70	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	85	359	82	46	10	100%	6.1	22.8%	12.8%	10.0%	2.8%	4.68	4.69	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIA	16	16	98	414	94	52	12	100%	6.1	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	2.9%	4.71	4.75	+0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIA	17	17	102	431	96	55	13	100%	6.0	22.4%	12.8%	9.6%	3.0%	4.79	4.86	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIA	17	17	100	422	93	55	14	100%	5.9	22.1%	13.1%	9.0%	3.2%	4.94	5.04	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		74	74	445	1881	424	242	55	100%	6.0	22.5%	12.9%	9.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.44	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	190	109	25	100%	6.0	22.5%	12.9%	9.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.44	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		55	41	216	945	211	135	24	75%	3.9	22.4%	14.3%	8.1%	2.5%	3.66	4.39	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	38	200	874	195	125	22	75%	3.9	22.4%	14.3%	8.1%	2.5%	3.66	4.39	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Schomberg (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	22.8%	13.7%	2.8%	—	4.79	22.8%	9.9%	401	-0.07	—	—	—
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	82
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	79
Buck Farmer R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	19.5%	8.7%	3.2%	.309	3.78	20.9%	12.5%	309	-0.51	3.16	907	79
Trace Bright R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	22	SP-	4.26	26.3%	14.7%	2.8%	.297	4.83	19.2%	5.8%	313	+0.57	4.26	413	79
Mike Clevinger R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	22.1%	10.7%	2.6%	.290	3.19	28.1%	19.0%	482	-0.83	2.28	1,236	79
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	78
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	78
Kyle Dowdy R 2018 · 4.51 FIP	25	SP-	4.51	18.7%	10.0%	3.1%	.344	4.88	18.4%	4.5%	125	+0.37	2.98	606	77
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	77
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.70	18.8%	3.1%	77	+0.03	3.95	270	77
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	77
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	76
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	75
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	75
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	75
Spencer Arrighetti R 2023 · 3.92 FIP	23	SP-	3.92	22.2%	11.1%	2.4%	.277	4.38	24.2%	12.8%	307	+0.46	3.92	538	75
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	75
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	75
Chase Silseth R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SP-	3.80	23.8%	10.8%	2.4%	.264	4.24	20.6%	8.1%	122	+0.44	3.30	332	74
Carson Seymour R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SP-	3.96	19.8%	10.2%	2.3%	.292	4.55	18.9%	9.6%	348	+0.59	3.39	572	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.9	130	22.6%	13.0%	1.17	4.85
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98