Will Schomberg
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 25
RHP
5'10" / 200 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION7 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
K%22.8%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 5.9% | 29.4% | -23.5% | 0.0% | 10.12 | 6.33 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 5.9% | 29.4% | -23.5% | 0.0% | 10.12 | 7.97 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 116 | 518 | 148 | 69 | 11 | 100% | 4.7 | 21.4% | 15.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.71 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 116 | 518 | 148 | 69 | 11 | 100% | 4.7 | 28.6% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 2.1% | 3.71 | 3.56 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 13 | 90 | 374 | 112 | 38 | 7 | 54% | 3.8 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 3.20 | 3.84 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 13 | 90 | 374 | 112 | 38 | 7 | 54% | 3.8 | 29.9% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 1.9% | 3.20 | 2.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 3 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 2.4 | — | — | — | — | 6.14 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 62 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 72 | 310 | 74 | 41 | 8 | — | — | 24.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 4.90 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 23 | 23 | 136 | 575 | 132 | 71 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.69 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 22 | 22 | 134 | 567 | 129 | 68 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.69 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 22 | 22 | 130 | 550 | 125 | 66 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.75 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 58 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 85 | 359 | 82 | 43 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.65 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 16 | 98 | 414 | 94 | 50 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.70 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 41 | 245 | 1033 | 235 | 125 | 30 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.29 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 102 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 55 | 41 | 216 | 945 | 211 | 135 | 25 | 75% | 3.9 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 3.66 | 4.46 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 38 | 200 | 874 | 195 | 125 | 23 | 75% | 3.9 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 3.66 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Schomberg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.71 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 401 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 82 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.47 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .309 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 309 | -0.66 | 3.05 | 907 | 81 |
| AJ Blubaugh R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.54 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .276 | 4.11 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 60 | -0.43 | 1.59 | 429 | 80 |
| Mike Clevinger R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.96 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .290 | 3.18 | 28.1% | 19.0% | 482 | -0.78 | 2.28 | 1,227 | 80 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.63 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 1.87 | 232 | 79 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.24 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .286 | 5.57 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 51 | +0.33 | 3.81 | 527 | 78 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 78 |
| Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.89 | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .344 | 4.91 | 18.4% | 4.5% | 125 | +0.02 | 2.81 | 606 | 78 |
| Garrett Stallings R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .327 | 4.15 | 17.0% | 8.9% | 243 | -0.09 | 3.20 | 595 | 78 |
| Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | .357 | 4.75 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 77 | +0.20 | 3.98 | 270 | 77 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 77 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2023 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.75 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 119 | 76 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.72 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 138 | +0.64 | 4.01 | 276 | 75 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.69 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .337 | 4.39 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 158 | +0.70 | 3.69 | 366 | 75 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 75 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 75 |
| Rafael Montero R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .325 | 3.79 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 177 | -0.87 | 2.38 | 663 | 74 |
| Forrest Snow R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 74 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.22 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .281 | 5.30 | 16.7% | 4.8% | 204 | +1.08 | 4.22 | 513 | 74 |
| Chris Ellis R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .284 | 5.27 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 165 | +1.42 | 3.85 | 780 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 134 | 22.8% | 12.3% | 1.13 | 4.72 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |