Kenten Egbert
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
A+
peak 0.8 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%10.2%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%1.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 23 | 16 | 98 | 393 | 104 | 32 | 8 | 70% | 4.2 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 3.04 | 4.44 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 23 | 16 | 98 | 393 | 104 | 32 | 8 | 70% | 4.2 | 26.5% | 8.1% | 18.3% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 25 | 17 | 101 | 434 | 60 | 25 | 7 | 68% | 4.1 | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.26 | 3.95 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 25 | 17 | 101 | 434 | 60 | 25 | 7 | 68% | 4.1 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 4.26 | 3.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 18 | 2 | 30 | 153 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 11% | 1.6 | 12.4% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.89 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CHC | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 30 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.2% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.2% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 5.19 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 100 | 449 | 54 | 40 | 13 | — | — | 12.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.99 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 10.2% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 40 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 71 | 47 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.62 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 114 | 76 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 35 | 229 | 980 | 142 | 82 | 26 | 53% | 3.5 | 14.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.21 | 4.38 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 31 | 200 | 857 | 124 | 72 | 23 | 53% | 3.5 | 14.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.21 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kenten Egbert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 10.2% | 8.7% | 2.7% | — | 4.99 | 13.5% | 4.7% | 206 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 89 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.47 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 120 | +0.19 | 4.28 | 205 | 85 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 85 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 83 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 82 |
| Abel Amaya R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | .264 | 6.31 | 8.5% | 5.1% | 12 | +2.06 | 4.25 | 109 | 82 |
| Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 11.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 266 | 81 |
| Sugar Ray Marimon R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.08 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 107 | 81 |
| LJ Brewster R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 80 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 80 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 80 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 80 |
| Drasen Johnson R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.44 | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 110 | 79 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .276 | 5.13 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 40 | +0.72 | 4.13 | 405 | 79 |
| Blake McKnight R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 9.5% | 0.1% | 39 | +0.16 | 3.25 | 225 | 79 |
| Jose Reyes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.03 | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 225 | 78 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .306 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 5.1% | 183 | +0.73 | 3.41 | 390 | 78 |
| Colin Bates R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 78 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 78 |
| Kurt Heyer R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 178 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 12.7% | 8.8% | 1.07 | 5.05 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |