Yariel Rodríguez

Yariel Rodríguez P Buffalo Bisons

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 93

ERA3.83

FIP4.05

K%24.7%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%12.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6795.7

Whiff%

p6427.5%

p5022.1%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

SL+12.0 (41%)

SI (6%)

FB-0.5 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	107	455	118	53	11	97%	3.7	24.7%	11.4%	13.3%	2.4%	3.87	3.78	+1.4
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	107	455	118	53	11	97%	3.7	24.7%	11.4%	13.3%	2.4%	3.87	3.78	+1.4
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	28	107	455	118	53	11	97%	3.7	25.9%	11.6%	14.3%	2.4%	3.87	3.72	+1.5
2025	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	66	1	73	298	66	31	8	2%	1.1	22.1%	10.4%	11.7%	2.7%	3.08	4.02	+0.5
2025	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	66	1	73	298	66	31	8	2%	1.1	22.1%	10.4%	11.7%	2.7%	3.08	4.02	+0.5
2025	28	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	66	1	73	298	66	31	8	2%	1.1	22.1%	10.4%	11.7%	2.7%	3.08	3.99	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	22	169	711	157	78	21	23%	1.7	22.1%	11.0%	11.1%	3.0%	4.05	4.24	+0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	23	1	25	112	32	19	2	4%	1.1	32.2%	16.1%	16.1%	0.0%	4.68	2.42	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	23	1	25	112	32	19	2	4%	1.1	32.2%	16.1%	16.1%	0.0%	4.68	2.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	TOR	13	1	16	67	26	12	0	8%	1.2	38.8%	17.9%	20.9%	0.0%	2.87	2.09	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	TOR	10	0	9	45	6	7	2	0%	0.9	13.3%	15.6%	-2.2%	4.4%	7.71	6.38	—
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	TOR	10	0	9	45	6	7	2	0%	0.9	13.3%	15.6%	-2.2%	4.4%	7.71	6.38	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	TOR	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.8%	12.9%	2.8%	3.83	4.05	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	TOR	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.8%	12.9%	2.8%	3.83	4.05	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	TOR	—	—	31	137	38	22	3	—	—	27.9%	16.0%	11.8%	2.0%	4.52	2.73	+0.7
FULL	29	MLB A+C	TOR	—	—	15	64	38	22	3	—	—	59.4%	34.2%	25.2%	4.2%	9.18	4.72	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TOR	68	0	71	301	64	37	10	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.1%	9.1%	3.2%	4.80	4.97	-0.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	TOR	63	0	67	281	58	35	10	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.5%	8.0%	3.4%	5.04	5.20	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	TOR	65	0	68	287	61	35	9	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.1%	9.1%	3.2%	4.80	4.97	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	TOR	60	0	63	266	55	33	9	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.5%	8.0%	3.4%	5.04	5.20	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		227	22	306	1289	279	149	40	10%	1.3	21.6%	11.6%	10.1%	3.1%	4.42	4.44	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		149	14	200	843	182	97	26	10%	1.3	21.6%	11.6%	10.1%	3.1%	4.42	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		118	30	205	865	214	101	19	25%	1.7	24.8%	11.6%	13.1%	2.2%	3.69	3.69	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	29	200	844	209	98	19	25%	1.7	24.8%	11.6%	13.1%	2.2%	3.69	3.69	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yariel Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	23.2%	11.4%	2.9%	—	5.08	20.9%	8.6%	138	+0.56	—	—	—
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	332	79
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	75
Wily Peralta R 2018 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	22.7%	13.7%	2.4%	.310	4.89	15.3%	5.5%	154	+0.65	3.98	748	74
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Hunter Strickland R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	18.4%	9.5%	2.7%	.271	4.48	22.0%	13.3%	83	+0.26	2.30	523	74
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	74
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	73
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	73
Neftalí Feliz R 2017 · 5.59 FIP	29	SU	5.59	18.9%	10.7%	5.0%	.240	4.74	16.2%	2.5%	92	-0.85	3.54	291	73
Jacob Barnes R 2019 · 5.09 FIP	29	SU	5.09	21.9%	10.0%	4.7%	.303	3.54	23.1%	15.1%	101	-1.55	1.84	551	72
Brandon Maurer R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	19.7%	13.0%	3.2%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	234	72
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	72
Daniel Hudson R 2016 · 3.39 FIP	29	SU	3.39	21.6%	7.1%	2.2%	.319	3.84	23.5%	13.9%	181	+0.45	1.68	468	72
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	71
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	71
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	71
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	71
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	71	21.7%	12.0%	1.21	4.70
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15