Yariel Rodríguez
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA3.75
FIP3.98
K%25.1%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6795.7
Whiff%
p6427.5%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p450.317
SL+12.0 (41%)
SI (6%)
FB-0.5 (47%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 28 | 107 | 455 | 118 | 53 | 11 | 97% | 3.7 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 3.87 | 3.80 | +2.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 28 | 107 | 455 | 118 | 53 | 11 | 97% | 3.7 | 25.9% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 3.87 | 3.72 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 66 | 1 | 73 | 298 | 66 | 31 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 3.08 | 4.02 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 66 | 1 | 73 | 298 | 66 | 31 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 3.08 | 3.99 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 23 | 1 | 25 | 112 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 4% | 1.1 | 34.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 4.68 | 2.60 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TOR | 63 | 0 | 67 | 281 | 71 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 3.75 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TOR | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 71 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 3.75 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 92 | 393 | 103 | 53 | 9 | — | — | 26.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 2.4% | 4.00 | 3.60 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 76 | 321 | 103 | 53 | 9 | — | — | 32.0% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.12 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 68 | 0 | 71 | 301 | 64 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 63 | 0 | 67 | 281 | 58 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 5.05 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 61 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 55 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 5.05 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 285 | 22 | 367 | 1546 | 344 | 181 | 47 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.36 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 12 | 200 | 843 | 188 | 99 | 26 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 30 | 205 | 865 | 218 | 106 | 19 | 25% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 3.69 | 3.72 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 103 | 19 | 25% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 3.69 | 3.72 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yariel Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | — | 5.09 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 138 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 75 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 73 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 73 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.30 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -0.96 | 2.39 | 332 | 73 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 73 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 73 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 72 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 71 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 71 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 71 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 71 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 71 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 70 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 70 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 70 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 70 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 71 | 21.8% | 12.1% | 1.21 | 4.70 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |