J.P. France
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 198 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.67
FIP4.96
K%18.4%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%5.1%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p2318.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.363
CT+1.0 (23%)
SL (6%)
SI (5%)
CU (28%)
CH (15%)
FB-1.8 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 4 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.5 | 35.9% | 10.3% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.90 | 1.37 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 4 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.5 | 35.9% | 10.3% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.90 | 1.50 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 25 | 20 | 100 | 431 | 100 | 52 | 12 | 80% | 4.0 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.31 | 5.38 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 25 | 20 | 100 | 431 | 100 | 52 | 12 | 80% | 4.0 | 23.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.22 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 18 | 114 | 488 | 157 | 52 | 14 | 72% | 4.6 | 27.6% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 3.79 | 4.15 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 18 | 114 | 488 | 157 | 52 | 14 | 72% | 4.6 | 32.2% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 2.9% | 3.79 | 3.31 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 34 | 15 | 111 | 480 | 136 | 50 | 15 | 44% | 3.3 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 3.90 | 4.64 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 34 | 15 | 111 | 480 | 136 | 50 | 15 | 44% | 3.3 | 28.3% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 3.76 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 26 | 156 | 658 | 127 | 57 | 19 | 90% | 5.4 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 3.64 | 4.11 | +2.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 26 | 156 | 658 | 127 | 57 | 19 | 90% | 5.4 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 3.64 | 4.15 | +2.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 29 | 140 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 7.45 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 29 | 140 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.9% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 7.45 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 144 | 33 | 24 | 3 | 55% | 2.8 | 18.6% | 19.3% | -0.7% | 3.3% | 6.03 | 5.77 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 6 | 31 | 144 | 33 | 24 | 3 | 55% | 2.8 | 22.9% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 6.03 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 28 | 1 | 40 | 185 | 37 | 28 | 5 | 4% | 1.4 | 18.9% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | HOU | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | HOU | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 77 | 342 | 66 | 49 | 10 | — | — | 19.2% | 14.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 44 | 185 | 66 | 49 | 10 | — | — | 35.6% | 26.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 8.28 | 6.39 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.45 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 27 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.45 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 28 | 248 | 1068 | 188 | 109 | 36 | 26% | 2.3 | 17.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 23 | 200 | 862 | 152 | 88 | 29 | 26% | 2.3 | 17.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 162 | 92 | 591 | 2565 | 556 | 300 | 86 | 57% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 4.17 | 4.60 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 31 | 200 | 869 | 188 | 101 | 29 | 57% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 4.17 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| J.P. France (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.33 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 3.2% | — | 5.66 | 17.0% | 3.3% | 40 | +0.33 | — | — | — |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 65 |
| Derek Eitel R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 64 |
| Paul Clemens R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 63 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.33 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 254 | 62 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.98 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 78 | +0.02 | 2.86 | 306 | 62 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 61 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 203 | 61 |
| Jose A. Flores R 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 237 | 60 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 59 |
| Murphy Smith R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 300 | 59 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 59 |
| Seth Simmons R 2025 · 6.19 FIP | 30 | SW | 6.19 | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 251 | 58 |
| Luis Mateo R 2024 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.34 | 8.6% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 160 | 58 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 58 |
| Steve Johnson R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 58 |
| David Holman R 2024 · 5.57 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.57 | 8.9% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 129 | 57 |
| Marco Carrillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.94 | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .278 | 6.57 | 9.9% | 0.8% | 104 | +1.63 | 4.94 | 194 | 57 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 57 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.28 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.78 | 7.1% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.50 | 4.78 | 115 | 56 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 42 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 1.28 | 5.24 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |