Jarrod Cande
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 74 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%20.6%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP74
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 0.99 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 0.92 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 19 | 15 | 80 | 356 | 92 | 22 | 9 | 79% | 4.2 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 4.93 | 4.43 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 19 | 15 | 80 | 356 | 92 | 22 | 9 | 79% | 4.2 | 25.8% | 6.2% | 19.7% | 2.5% | 4.93 | 3.09 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 19 | 19 | 105 | 431 | 109 | 26 | 14 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 3.25 | 4.37 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 19 | 19 | 105 | 431 | 109 | 26 | 14 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.3% | 6.0% | 19.3% | 3.2% | 3.25 | 3.50 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 23 | 21 | 106 | 461 | 95 | 46 | 15 | 91% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.15 | 5.66 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 23 | 21 | 106 | 461 | 95 | 46 | 15 | 91% | 4.6 | 20.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.15 | 4.44 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 71 | 0 | 74 | 314 | 64 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.84 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 80 | 332 | 68 | 30 | 12 | — | — | 20.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.74 | 4.52 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 73 | 309 | 64 | 30 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.83 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 71 | 300 | 63 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 68 | 286 | 60 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 20 | 119 | 503 | 105 | 50 | 18 | 95% | 5.7 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.52 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 84 | 30 | 93% | 5.7 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 55 | 301 | 1282 | 237 | 106 | 52 | 80% | 4.4 | 18.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.01 | 4.80 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 37 | 200 | 852 | 157 | 71 | 34 | 80% | 4.4 | 18.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.01 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jarrod Cande (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | — | 4.89 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 212 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 83 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 81 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 80 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 80 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 80 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 78 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .262 | 3.81 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -1.15 | 3.50 | 472 | 78 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 77 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 77 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 76 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.06 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.19 | 4.25 | 412 | 75 |
| Kutter Crawford R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.08 | 24.1% | 17.4% | 313 | -0.39 | 3.35 | 741 | 75 |
| Bubba Derby R 2025 · 5.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.48 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .287 | 5.37 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 71 | -0.11 | 3.74 | 550 | 75 |
| Jason Alexander R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .380 | 4.42 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 150 | +0.53 | 2.08 | 796 | 74 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 74 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 74 |
| Kris Medlen R 2029 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 74 |
| Hunter Dobbins R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.33 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 463 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 72 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |