Jarrod Cande — OGILVIE

Jarrod Cande P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%18.2%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	4	0	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.45	0.99	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	4	0	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.45	0.92	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	19	15	80	356	92	22	9	79%	4.2	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	3.5%	4.93	4.31	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	19	15	80	356	92	22	9	79%	4.2	25.8%	6.2%	19.7%	2.5%	4.93	3.09	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	19	19	105	431	109	26	14	100%	5.5	19.5%	6.9%	12.5%	3.9%	3.25	4.46	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	19	19	105	431	109	26	14	100%	5.5	19.5%	6.9%	12.5%	3.9%	3.25	4.46	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	19	19	105	431	109	26	14	100%	5.5	25.3%	6.0%	19.3%	3.2%	3.25	3.50	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	23	21	106	461	95	46	15	91%	4.6	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	4.3%	4.15	5.42	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	23	21	106	461	95	46	15	91%	4.6	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	4.3%	4.15	5.42	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	23	21	106	461	95	46	15	91%	4.6	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	3.3%	4.15	4.44	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	15	0	20	102	15	12	3	0%	1.4	8.4%	13.3%	-4.9%	4.1%	7.08	6.35	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	15	0	20	102	15	12	3	0%	1.4	8.4%	13.3%	-4.9%	4.1%	7.08	6.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	ROK RAW	COL	2	0	2	6	3	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	26	AA RAW	COL	9	0	12	58	6	7	2	0%	1.3	10.3%	12.1%	-1.7%	3.4%	6.94	5.65	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	COL	4	0	7	38	6	5	1	0%	1.7	15.8%	13.2%	2.6%	2.6%	9.45	4.88	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	5	3	1	0%	1.1	18.2%	9.9%	8.3%	3.3%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	27	129	20	15	4	—	—	15.4%	11.4%	4.0%	3.0%	6.59	6.03	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	15	15	94	398	74	39	13	100%	6.3	18.6%	9.8%	8.8%	3.3%	4.96	4.98	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	15	15	92	386	72	38	13	100%	6.1	18.7%	9.8%	8.9%	3.4%	4.96	5.01	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	14	14	87	369	69	36	13	100%	6.2	18.6%	9.9%	8.8%	3.5%	5.03	5.10	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	COL	13	13	82	347	64	35	13	100%	6.3	18.4%	10.1%	8.2%	3.7%	5.16	5.26	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	6	6	35	148	27	14	5	100%	5.8	18.6%	9.8%	8.8%	3.3%	4.96	4.98	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	9	9	54	228	43	22	8	100%	6.0	18.7%	9.8%	8.9%	3.4%	4.96	5.01	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	10	10	62	262	49	26	9	100%	6.2	18.6%	9.9%	8.8%	3.5%	5.03	5.10	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	COL	10	10	64	270	50	27	10	100%	6.4	18.4%	10.1%	8.2%	3.7%	5.16	5.26	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		34	34	216	913	170	90	32	100%	6.4	18.6%	9.9%	8.7%	3.5%	5.04	4.72	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	157	83	30	100%	6.3	18.6%	9.9%	8.7%	3.5%	5.04	4.72	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		80	55	316	1366	242	120	53	69%	3.9	17.7%	8.8%	8.9%	3.9%	4.22	4.85	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	35	200	865	153	76	34	69%	3.9	17.7%	8.8%	8.9%	3.9%	4.22	4.85	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jarrod Cande (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	18.2%	9.9%	3.3%	—	5.03	18.6%	8.8%	273	+0.01	—	—	—
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	87
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	86
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	85
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	82
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	82
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	81
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	81
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	81
Bryce Conley R 2021 · 4.31 FIP	26	SW	4.31	17.9%	12.2%	2.2%	.285	4.22	16.4%	5.3%	48	-0.09	4.22	560	80
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	80
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	79
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	79
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	79
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	79
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	79
André Rienzo R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	27	SW	4.22	15.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.264	4.02	19.8%	5.1%	74	-0.20	3.53	200	79
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	78
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	78
TJ Shook R 2023 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	21.0%	9.6%	3.6%	.273	4.07	21.2%	12.4%	191	-0.44	3.35	451	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	86	18.5%	9.9%	1.34	5.02
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Andrew Suárez ('23)	1.1	74	18.2%	7.8%	1.51	5.02
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50