Bryce Conley
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
+0.2
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.1%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%11.2%
IP110
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | A | Beloit Snappers | 20 | 16 | 85 | 359 | 98 | 37 | 8 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.46 | 4.72 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 25 | 19 | 102 | 432 | 98 | 59 | 11 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.1% | 3.43 | 5.39 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 29 | 14 | 94 | 398 | 88 | 44 | 6 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.2% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 41 | 0 | 55 | 261 | 55 | 28 | 6 | 16.4% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 4.88 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 7 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 11 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.91 | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 23 | 22 | 119 | 502 | 107 | 42 | 22 | 18.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.01 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 3 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.72 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 20 | 110 | 466 | 91 | 40 | 19 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 5.18 | 5.18 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 120 | 507 | 103 | 44 | 20 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 5.06 | 4.76 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 19 | 106 | 448 | 87 | 39 | 18 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 5.13 | 5.17 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 18 | 18 | 101 | 427 | 83 | 38 | 17 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 5.14 | 5.20 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 17 | 17 | 96 | 406 | 78 | 36 | 17 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 5.19 | 5.26 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 16 | 16 | 91 | 383 | 72 | 35 | 16 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 15 | 85 | 358 | 66 | 34 | 15 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 5.40 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 148 | 74 | 476 | 2045 | 375 | 245 | 68 | 18.3% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.89 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 31 | 200 | 860 | 158 | 103 | 29 | 18.3% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.89 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Conley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | — | 5.21 | 19.3% | 10.5% | 303 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 87 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.36 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 84 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.00 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .313 | 5.07 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | +0.07 | 4.87 | 294 | 81 |
| Ervin Santana R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 81 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 262 | 80 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 80 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.10 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.25 | 4.10 | 133 | 77 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 77 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.33 | 22.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | .266 | 4.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 90 | +0.38 | 3.64 | 605 | 77 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 3.51 | 27.5% | 19.3% | 120 | -0.63 | 3.39 | 316 | 76 |
| Jerome Williams R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.66 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.79 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.13 | 4.66 | 195 | 76 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.70 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 474 | 75 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 75 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.03 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 283 | 75 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.63 | 20.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | .341 | 3.71 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 59 | -0.92 | 2.98 | 598 | 75 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 74 |
| Scott Feldman R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.32 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 188 | +0.16 | 3.98 | 297 | 73 |
| Scott Copeland R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.62 | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 569 | 73 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.73 | 17.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | .277 | 4.50 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 81 | -1.23 | 3.40 | 556 | 72 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | .311 | 5.22 | 16.2% | 6.2% | 34 | +0.64 | 4.58 | 261 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.