José De León
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 33
RHP
6'0" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION44 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.96
FIP5.43
xFIP3.94
SIERA3.87
K%21.3%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%8.5%
IP45
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
SL+1.6 (25%)
FB+0.6 (48%)
CU (24%)
CT-1.1 (15%)
CH-1.2 (13%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 23 | 23 | 114 | 465 | 163 | 36 | 12 | 27.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 2.99 | 3.46 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 20 | 103 | 422 | 126 | 26 | 14 | 26.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.22 | 3.79 | +2.0 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 8 | 41 | 170 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 23.0% | 14.6% | 0.9% | 3.51 | 3.49 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 15 | 60 | 262 | 81 | 32 | 5 | 28.9% | 12.8% | 1.6% | 3.45 | 3.14 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 28.6% | 25.7% | 2.9% | 18.00 | 5.51 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 23 | 2 | 32 | 151 | 56 | 18 | 6 | 35.0% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 7.03 | 3.61 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 11 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 33.9% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 4.05 | 3.82 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 21 | 5 | 45 | 187 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 4.03 | 3.71 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 23 | 14 | 82 | 390 | 97 | 55 | 17 | 21.6% | 15.1% | 5.0% | 6.70 | 5.94 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 3.9% | 4.96 | 5.43 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 5.31 | 5.62 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 19.8% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 5.60 | 5.86 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 19.0% | 13.6% | 4.7% | 5.90 | 6.15 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 159 | 93 | 497 | 2141 | 564 | 238 | 68 | 26.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.02 | +8.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 37 | 200 | 862 | 227 | 96 | 27 | 26.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José De León (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.43 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 3.9% | — | 5.86 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 110 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 43 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 277 | 40 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 39 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.03 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | .303 | 3.99 | 22.5% | 16.9% | 190 | -1.04 | 2.03 | 804 | 38 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .278 | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 252 | +0.29 | 3.69 | 521 | 38 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 38 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 37 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.86 | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% | .304 | 3.48 | 14.5% | 7.1% | 139 | -2.38 | 3.48 | 292 | 36 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.71 | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 199 | 36 |
| Tom Koehler R 2024 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 36 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.57 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .285 | 6.83 | 7.6% | -1.5% | 12 | +2.26 | 3.73 | 469 | 36 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2029 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 36 |
| David Fletcher R 2023 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 36 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2029 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 34 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.92 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 32 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.58 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .296 | 4.03 | 26.7% | 20.7% | 134 | -0.55 | 2.87 | 864 | 32 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.78 | 7.1% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.78 | 115 | 32 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.13 | 13.6% | 6.6% | 68 | +0.22 | 4.91 | 225 | 31 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 283 | 31 |
| Vance Worley R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.84 | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 411 | 31 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.