José De León
P
Worcester Red Sox
+0.0
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'0" / 220 lbs
AAA
ERA5.04
FIP5.29
xFIP3.94
SIERA3.87
K%22.2%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%9.5%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p5526.1%
K%
p6124.3%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
SL+1.6 (25%)
FB+0.6 (48%)
CU (24%)
CT-1.1 (15%)
CH-1.2 (13%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 23 | 23 | 114 | 465 | 163 | 36 | 12 | 27.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 2.99 | 3.50 | +2.3 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 20 | 103 | 422 | 126 | 26 | 14 | 26.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.22 | 3.69 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 8 | 41 | 170 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 23.0% | 14.6% | 0.9% | 3.51 | 3.51 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 15 | 60 | 262 | 81 | 32 | 5 | 28.9% | 12.8% | 1.8% | 3.45 | 3.25 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | 18.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 23 | 2 | 32 | 151 | 56 | 18 | 6 | 35.0% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 7.03 | 3.61 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 11 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 20 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 4.05 | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 21 | 5 | 45 | 187 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 4.03 | 3.77 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 23 | 14 | 82 | 390 | 97 | 55 | 17 | 21.6% | 15.1% | 4.9% | 6.70 | 5.89 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 59 | 34 | 10 | 21.9% | 12.8% | 3.9% | 5.11 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 61 | 256 | 55 | 32 | 10 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 3.9% | 5.25 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 50 | 30 | 10 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 3.9% | 5.36 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 45 | 29 | 9 | 20.1% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 5.47 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 159 | 93 | 497 | 2141 | 564 | 238 | 68 | 26.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.02 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 37 | 200 | 862 | 227 | 96 | 27 | 26.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.02 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José De León (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.38 | 21.9% | 12.8% | 3.9% | — | 5.49 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 171 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 79 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 73 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.78 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 2.9% | .344 | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 43 | +0.28 | 2.00 | 320 | 72 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 72 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.88 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .288 | 3.97 | 19.0% | 12.4% | 171 | -0.91 | 3.15 | 248 | 71 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 71 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 71 |
| Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.18 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 4.9% | .274 | 6.02 | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12 | +0.84 | 2.35 | 260 | 70 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 70 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.30 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.0% | .300 | 4.15 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.15 | 3.81 | 208 | 70 |
| Radhames Liz R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 70 |
| Jeff Manship R 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 70 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.41 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 176 | 70 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 69 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.53 | 27.0% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .238 | 3.71 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 84 | -0.82 | 1.94 | 268 | 69 |
| Jake Sanchez R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 3.6% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.86 | 361 | 69 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.39 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 148 | 69 |
| Johnny Cueto R 2026 · 5.88 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.88 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 4.9% | .190 | 3.88 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 352 | -2.00 | 2.87 | 1,148 | 69 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 69 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.23 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | .279 | 6.48 | 10.4% | -2.6% | 17 | +1.25 | 3.46 | 160 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.