Jaden Hamm — OGILVIE

Jaden Hamm P Erie SeaWolves

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.8 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130120vR 111

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%18.6%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP62

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL—45

CMD3545

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	20	MIX	2 levels	5	5	12	41	12	1	0	100%	2.4	29.3%	2.4%	26.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.94	—
2023	20	MIX	2 levels	5	5	12	41	12	1	0	100%	2.4	29.3%	2.4%	26.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.35	—
2024	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	24	23	99	399	122	31	8	96%	4.1	23.5%	8.9%	14.6%	3.2%	2.64	4.01	—
2024	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	24	23	99	399	122	31	8	96%	4.1	30.6%	7.8%	22.8%	2.0%	2.64	2.63	—
2025	22	MIX	2 levels	22	22	88	384	80	37	11	100%	4.0	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	3.3%	4.70	4.70	—
2025	22	MIX	2 levels	22	22	88	384	80	37	11	100%	4.0	20.8%	9.6%	11.2%	2.9%	4.70	4.17	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	DET	11	11	62	261	49	27	8	100%	5.6	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	3.1%	4.90	4.90	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	11	11	63	267	53	26	8	100%	5.8	20.0%	9.7%	10.3%	3.1%	4.76	4.71	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	DET	11	11	64	271	56	26	8	100%	5.8	20.8%	9.5%	11.3%	3.0%	4.65	4.60	+0.0
2029	26	MLB	DET	11	11	64	271	57	25	8	100%	5.8	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	3.0%	4.59	4.56	+0.1
2030	27	MLB	DET	11	11	63	266	56	25	8	100%	5.7	21.1%	9.5%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	+0.0
2031	28	MLB	DET	10	10	61	258	54	25	8	100%	6.1	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	3.2%	4.64	4.68	-0.1
2032	29	MLB	DET	10	10	58	247	51	24	8	100%	5.8	20.8%	9.9%	10.9%	3.3%	4.74	4.81	-0.2
2033	30	MLB	DET	9	9	55	232	47	24	8	100%	6.1	20.4%	10.2%	10.3%	3.5%	4.89	4.99	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	DET	5	5	28	118	24	11	3	100%	5.6	20.0%	9.7%	10.3%	2.9%	4.69	4.64	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	DET	7	7	43	182	38	17	5	100%	6.1	20.8%	9.5%	11.3%	2.9%	4.58	4.53	+0.0
2029	26	MLB	DET	8	8	51	215	45	20	6	100%	6.4	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	2.9%	4.52	4.49	+0.0
2030	27	MLB	DET	9	9	54	228	48	22	7	100%	6.0	21.1%	9.5%	11.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2031	28	MLB	DET	9	9	55	232	49	22	7	100%	6.1	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	3.1%	4.57	4.61	-0.0
2032	29	MLB	DET	9	9	53	224	47	22	7	100%	5.9	20.8%	9.9%	10.9%	3.2%	4.66	4.73	-0.1
2033	30	MLB	DET	8	8	51	215	44	22	7	100%	6.4	20.4%	10.2%	10.3%	3.4%	4.81	4.91	-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			56	56	334	1409	293	136	43	100%	6.0	20.8%	9.7%	11.1%	3.1%	4.61	4.25	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	176	81	26	100%	5.9	20.8%	9.7%	11.1%	3.1%	4.61	4.25	+2.7
Career	—			51	50	199	824	171	74	25	98%	3.9	20.8%	9.0%	11.8%	3.1%	3.39	4.18	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—			51	50	200	828	172	74	26	98%	3.9	20.8%	9.0%	11.8%	3.1%	3.39	4.18	+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaden Hamm (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	18.6%	10.2%	3.1%	—	4.62	20.6%	11.1%	192	-0.28	—	—	—
Marcelo Perez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP	23	SP	4.02	18.0%	8.6%	2.5%	.288	4.99	14.1%	6.7%	217	+0.97	4.02	285	89
Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP	23	SP	3.92	20.3%	9.9%	2.3%	.315	4.36	22.3%	13.8%	422	+0.44	3.76	537	88
Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP	23	SP	4.88	16.5%	9.4%	3.6%	.288	5.29	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.41	4.52	340	86
Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP	24	SP	4.24	18.9%	10.3%	2.6%	.329	4.33	21.3%	10.9%	132	+0.09	2.63	213	85
Tommy Mace R 2026 · 5.24 FIP	23	SP	5.24	16.0%	12.1%	3.6%	.261	5.13	14.7%	2.7%	376	-0.11	4.93	501	85
Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	23	SP	5.00	21.4%	10.8%	4.2%	.236	4.59	22.3%	3.9%	180	-0.41	4.20	311	85
Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP	4.46	18.3%	11.6%	2.6%	.242	5.24	13.0%	-1.0%	147	+0.78	4.46	222	85
CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 5.01 FIP	22	SP	5.01	21.8%	12.7%	3.9%	.302	4.47	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.54	3.95	411	84
Trent Palmer R 2026 · 4.85 FIP	23	SP	4.85	22.0%	10.4%	4.2%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	-0.02	3.51	140	84
Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP	4.23	21.7%	8.4%	3.5%	.329	3.55	21.5%	12.4%	178	-0.68	2.49	298	84
Brandon White R 2026 · 5.11 FIP	23	SP	5.11	16.7%	10.3%	3.8%	.264	4.10	17.7%	10.4%	245	-1.01	3.90	264	84
Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.05 FIP	23	SP-	5.05	16.3%	9.9%	3.8%	.275	5.83	12.5%	3.6%	64	+0.78	5.05	146	84
Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.66 FIP	23	SP	4.66	20.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.266	5.22	16.1%	2.8%	185	+0.56	3.71	370	83
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	23	SP	4.82	21.7%	13.8%	3.3%	.311	5.12	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.30	3.36	432	83
Chris Kachmar R 2027 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	16.1%	11.4%	2.2%	.309	4.74	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.35	4.39	353	83
Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	23	SP	4.78	21.2%	11.0%	3.8%	.276	5.00	18.0%	6.0%	296	+0.22	4.22	513	83
Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP	24	SP	3.87	23.2%	10.7%	2.5%	.239	5.71	20.0%	6.1%	278	+1.84	3.87	325	83
Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.80	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.56	2.21	778	83
Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.53	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.05	4.07	338	83
Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	23	SP-	4.94	20.2%	12.2%	3.7%	.269	4.98	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.04	4.60	529	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	8	61	20.5%	9.7%	1.23	4.72
Jacob Barnes ('24)	7	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Bryan Shaw ('23)	8	64	21.4%	9.4%	1.12	4.19
Shane Greene ('21)	7	56	21.4%	8.5%	1.16	4.67
Buck Farmer ('24)	10	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Drew VerHagen ('23)	6	43	19.7%	9.4%	1.40	4.82
Trevor Cahill ('21)	7	67	21.3%	10.1%	1.29	4.66